Larne vs Dungannon Swifts — Premiership
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Inver Park·Larne·Northern Ireland·3,000
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Larne and Dungannon Swifts meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 13 November 2026. Larne have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Dungannon Swifts have won 55% of their 20 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Larne and 1.17 for Dungannon Swifts. The models give Larne a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Dungannon Swifts win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Larne—
Dungannon Swifts4º
Position
8º
2.11
PPG
1.27
67%
Win %
36%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.89
Conceded / game
1.27
35%
BTTS %
40%
50%
Clean sheet %
45%
55%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.5
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
18.3
Avg fouls
0.0
41.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Larne
Home (5)
—
Dungannon Swifts
Away (6)
1.80
PPG
1.67
60%
Win %
50%
1.60
Goals / game
0.83
1.20
Conceded / game
0.83
40%
BTTS %
31%
40%
Clean sheet %
54%
60%
Over 2.5 %
46%
5.5
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
41.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Larne | Home | Away | Dungannon Swifts | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 70% | 70% | 80% | 86% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 40% | 50% | 55% | 57% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 29% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 30% | 30% | 20% | 14% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Larne | Home | Away | Dungannon Swifts | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 40% | 55% | 71% | 46% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 40% | 30% | 25% | 29% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 30% | 10% | 15% | 29% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% | 45% | 29% | 54% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Larne | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 10% |
| BTTS | 35% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Larne | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Larne (H)L
Linfield1–2
Linfield1–2L
Coleraine FC2–3
Coleraine FC2–3W
Cliftonville FC2–0
Cliftonville FC2–0W
Bangor1–0
Bangor1–0W
Glentoran2–1
Glentoran2–1L
Lincoln Red Imps FC0–3
Lincoln Red Imps FC0–3Dungannon Swifts (A)WBangor2–1
Bangor2–1DBangor0–0
Bangor0–0LGlentoran0–2
Glentoran0–2L
Crusaders FC0–3
Crusaders FC0–3W
Limavady United2–0
Limavady United2–0WCliftonville FC2–0
Cliftonville FC2–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Larne | Dungannon Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
16
Larne
67%
4
Draws
17%
4
Dungannon Swifts
17%
75%
Over 1.5
18/24
50%
Over 2.5
12/24
21%
Over 3.5
5/24
29%
BTTS
7/24
25/04/26Dungannon Swifts
Larne
8–0Dungannon Swifts13/03/26Dungannon Swifts
Larne
2–1Dungannon Swifts29/11/25Larne
Dungannon Swifts
1–2Larne04/10/25Larne
Dungannon Swifts
2–0Larne01/04/25Larne
Dungannon Swifts
1–1Larne22/02/25Dungannon Swifts
Larne
0–1Dungannon Swifts23/12/24Larne
Dungannon Swifts
0–1Larne06/10/24Dungannon Swifts
Larne
0–3Dungannon Swifts20/01/24Larne
Dungannon Swifts
0–2Larne13/10/23Larne
Dungannon Swifts
0–0Larne07/08/23Dungannon Swifts
Larne
4–4Dungannon Swifts14/02/23Larne
Dungannon Swifts
0–3Larne18/11/22Dungannon Swifts
Larne
2–1Dungannon Swifts08/11/22Dungannon Swifts
Larne
4–0Dungannon Swifts26/02/22Larne
Dungannon Swifts
0–2Larne15/01/22Dungannon Swifts
Larne
0–1Dungannon Swifts02/11/21Dungannon Swifts
Larne
3–2Dungannon Swifts02/10/21Larne
Dungannon Swifts
2–4Larne13/03/21Larne
Dungannon Swifts
0–2Larne13/02/21Dungannon Swifts
Larne
3–0Dungannon Swifts| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 | Linfield | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 29 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Larne | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 19 |
| 5 |  Carrick Rangers | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 |  Ballymena United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Crusaders FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 8 | Dungannon Swifts | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Cliftonville FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Portadown | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 8 |
| 12 | Bangor | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
Team Insights
Larne- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Larne have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Larne have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Larne's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Dungannon Swifts- ●Dungannon Swifts have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Dungannon Swifts failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dungannon Swifts have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dungannon Swifts have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Dungannon Swifts's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
LarneLHLinfield1–2
Linfield1–2LHColeraine FC2–3
Coleraine FC2–3WACrusaders FC3–0
Crusaders FC3–0WACarrick Rangers5–2
Carrick Rangers5–2WHCliftonville FC2–0
Cliftonville FC2–0WAPortadown2–0
Portadown2–0–ABangor24/10
Bangor24/10–HLimavady United27/10
Limavady United27/10–HPortadown30/10
Portadown30/10Dungannon SwiftsDABangor0–0
Bangor0–0LHCarrick Rangers2–4
Carrick Rangers2–4LAGlentoran0–2
Glentoran0–2DHBallymena United1–1
Ballymena United1–1LACrusaders FC0–3
Crusaders FC0–3LHLinfield0–1
Linfield0–1–HCliftonville FC24/10
Cliftonville FC24/10–ALinfield31/10
Linfield31/10–HLimavady United07/11
Limavady United07/11Top Scorers
LarneP. O'Neill6 ⚽
M. Lusty3 ⚽
D. Bent3 ⚽
J. Simpson3 ⚽
S. Graham2 ⚽
K. O'Hara1 ⚽
Dungannon SwiftsS. McAllister10 ⚽
K. Dillon5 ⚽
A. Mitchell3 ⚽
J. Glackin2 ⚽
J. Ogedi-Uzokwe1 ⚽
J. Berry-McNally1 ⚽
Cards Given
Larne5 🟨
M. Gibson4 🟨
C. Gallagher3 🟨
P. O'Neill3 🟨
M. Lusty2 🟨
J. McEneff2 🟨
Dungannon SwiftsJ. Scott3 🟨
S. McAllister3 🟨
B. McKeown2 🟨
P. Doyle2 🟨
A. Glenny2 🟨
D. Wallace2 🟨