Glentoran vs Larne — Premiership
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Glentoran and Larne meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Glentoran have recorded 7 wins from 20 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Larne have won 57% of their 23 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Glentoran and 1.42 for Larne. The models give Glentoran a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Larne win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Glentoran—
Larne4º
Position
3º
1.62
PPG
2.17
46%
Win %
67%
1.31
Goals / game
1.83
0.85
Conceded / game
0.83
60%
BTTS %
39%
30%
Clean sheet %
48%
50%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
5.5
0.0
Avg shots
12.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.6
0.0
Avg fouls
18.3
0.0%
Avg possession
41.5%
Home vs Away
Glentoran
Home (7)
—
Larne
Away (5)
1.86
PPG
2.60
57%
Win %
80%
1.43
Goals / game
2.40
0.71
Conceded / game
0.60
55%
BTTS %
36%
36%
Clean sheet %
55%
45%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
5.5
0.0
Avg shots
12.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.6
0.0%
Avg possession
41.5%
Goals Scored
| Glentoran | Home | Away | Larne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 91% | 78% | 74% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 27% | 44% | 43% | 33% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 22% | 9% | 0% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 9% | 22% | 26% | 25% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Glentoran | Home | Away | Larne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 64% | 78% | 52% | 58% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 45% | 44% | 30% | 33% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 36% | 22% | 48% | 42% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Glentoran | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS | 60% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Glentoran | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 52% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Glentoran (H)W
Limavady United1–0
Limavady United1–0W
Dungannon Swifts2–0
Dungannon Swifts2–0W
Carrick Rangers2–0
Carrick Rangers2–0L
Coleraine FC1–2
Coleraine FC1–2D
Bangor1–1
Bangor1–1L
Crusaders FC1–2
Crusaders FC1–2Larne (A)WBangor2–1
Bangor2–1WCrusaders FC3–0
Crusaders FC3–0WCarrick Rangers5–2
Carrick Rangers5–2W
Portadown2–0
Portadown2–0W
Lincoln Red Imps FC2–0
Lincoln Red Imps FC2–0DColeraine FC0–0
Coleraine FC0–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Glentoran | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
6
Glentoran
19%
10
Draws
32%
15
Larne
48%
74%
Over 1.5
23/31
55%
Over 2.5
17/31
29%
Over 3.5
9/31
58%
BTTS
18/31
04/09/26Glentoran
Larne
2–1Glentoran17/04/26Larne
Glentoran
0–0Larne06/03/26Larne
Glentoran
1–1Larne10/02/26Glentoran
Larne
2–2Glentoran13/01/26Larne
Glentoran
1–4Larne12/12/25Glentoran
Larne
1–0Glentoran26/04/25Glentoran
Larne
0–0Glentoran18/03/25Larne
Glentoran
2–2Larne02/11/24Larne
Glentoran
0–2Larne20/09/24Glentoran
Larne
2–0Glentoran16/04/24Larne
Glentoran
1–2Larne23/02/24Glentoran
Larne
3–0Glentoran24/11/23Glentoran
Larne
2–1Glentoran11/08/23Larne
Glentoran
1–2Larne07/04/23Glentoran
Larne
2–0Glentoran14/01/23Larne
Glentoran
0–1Larne28/10/22Larne
Glentoran
4–0Larne12/08/22Glentoran
Larne
0–0Glentoran13/05/22Larne
Glentoran
2–4Larne19/04/22Larne
Glentoran
0–0Larne| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | +19 | 35 |
| 2 |  Linfield | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 33 |
| 3 | Larne | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 26 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Cliftonville FC | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 7 | Crusaders FC | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | -9 | 18 |
| 8 |  Ballymena United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Dungannon Swifts | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 14 |
| 11 | Bangor | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 9 |
| 12 | Portadown | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 8 |
Team Insights
Glentoran- ●Glentoran have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Glentoran have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Glentoran have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Glentoran have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Glentoran have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Glentoran have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Glentoran have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Glentoran have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Larne- ●Larne have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Larne have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Larne have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Larne have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Larne have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Larne have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Larne have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Larne's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
GlentoranDAColeraine FC1–1
Coleraine FC1–1WHLimavady United1–0
Limavady United1–0DAPortadown0–0
Portadown0–0WHDungannon Swifts2–0
Dungannon Swifts2–0WHCarrick Rangers2–0
Carrick Rangers2–0WACliftonville FC2–1
Cliftonville FC2–1–ACarrick Rangers07/11
Carrick Rangers07/11–HBangor13/11
Bangor13/11–ACliftonville FC20/11
Cliftonville FC20/11LarneWHPortadown1–0
Portadown1–0DHLimavady United1–1
Limavady United1–1WABangor2–1
Bangor2–1LHLinfield1–2
Linfield1–2LHColeraine FC2–3
Coleraine FC2–3WACrusaders FC3–0
Crusaders FC3–0–ACliftonville FC06/11
Cliftonville FC06/11–HDungannon Swifts13/11
Dungannon Swifts13/11–HBallymena United21/11
Ballymena United21/11Top Scorers
GlentoranJ. Jenkins8 ⚽
5 ⚽
A. McEneff3 ⚽
J. Stewart3 ⚽
B. Gallagher2 ⚽
J. Malone2 ⚽
LarneP. O'Neill7 ⚽
J. Simpson3 ⚽
D. Bent3 ⚽
M. Lusty3 ⚽
K. O'Hara2 ⚽
R. Doherty2 ⚽
Cards Given
Glentoran7 🟨
J. Malone6 🟨
J. Singleton4 🟨
J. Stewart4 🟨
M. Kane4 🟨
R. Clarke3 🟨
Larne5 🟨
M. Gibson4 🟨
S. Graham3 🟨
M. Lusty3 🟨
C. Gallagher3 🟨
P. O'Neill3 🟨