Blackburn vs Cardiff — Championship
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Blackburn and Cardiff meet in the Championship 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Blackburn have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Cardiff have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Blackburn and 1.63 for Cardiff. The models give Blackburn a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Cardiff win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Blackburn—
Cardiff15º
Position
21º
1.14
PPG
0.57
29%
Win %
0%
1.43
Goals / game
1.00
1.43
Conceded / game
1.57
60%
BTTS %
77%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
73%
Over 2.5 %
69%
6.2
Avg corners
7.4
13.4
Avg shots
16.7
4.4
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.3
Avg fouls
10.3
53.0%
Avg possession
64.7%
Home vs Away
Blackburn
Home (4)
—
Cardiff
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
0.25
50%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
0.75
1.50
Conceded / game
1.75
83%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
67%
6.2
Avg corners
7.4
13.4
Avg shots
16.7
4.4
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
53.0%
Avg possession
64.7%
Goals Scored
| Blackburn | Home | Away | Cardiff | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 67% | 77% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 50% | 44% | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 11% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Blackburn | Home | Away | Cardiff | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 83% | 56% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 33% | 54% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 11% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 17% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Blackburn | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS | 60% | 77% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Blackburn | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 15% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 69% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Blackburn (H)W
Millwall3–1
Millwall3–1L
Sheffield Utd1–2
Sheffield Utd1–2L
QPR1–2
QPR1–2LSheffield Utd1–2
Sheffield Utd1–2W
Middlesbrough2–1
Middlesbrough2–1W
Barnsley3–0
Barnsley3–0Cardiff (A)L
Bolton0–1
Bolton0–1L
Portsmouth0–2
Portsmouth0–2LQPR1–2
QPR1–2D
Derby2–2
Derby2–2W
Forest Green5–1
Forest Green5–1W
Cork City6–1
Cork City6–1Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.7
81 games
11.8
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Blackburn | Cardiff | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 89% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 78% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 67% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 33% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 33% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Blackburn | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.2 | 7.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 78% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 44% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
7
Blackburn
32%
8
Draws
36%
7
Cardiff
32%
64%
Over 1.5
14/22
41%
Over 2.5
9/22
27%
Over 3.5
6/22
55%
BTTS
12/22
15/03/25Cardiff
Blackburn
1–2Cardiff09/11/24Blackburn
Cardiff
1–3Blackburn20/02/24Blackburn
Cardiff
0–0Blackburn21/10/23Cardiff
Blackburn
1–0Cardiff27/09/23Cardiff
Blackburn
5–2Cardiff01/01/23Cardiff
Blackburn
1–0Cardiff04/10/22Blackburn
Cardiff
1–0Blackburn15/01/22Blackburn
Cardiff
0–1Blackburn25/09/21Cardiff
Blackburn
5–1Cardiff10/04/21Blackburn
Cardiff
2–2Blackburn03/10/20Cardiff
Blackburn
0–0Cardiff07/07/20Blackburn
Cardiff
2–3Blackburn24/08/19Cardiff
Blackburn
0–0Cardiff07/03/17Cardiff
Blackburn
1–1Cardiff17/08/16Blackburn
Cardiff
2–1Blackburn02/01/16Blackburn
Cardiff
1–0Blackburn18/08/15Cardiff
Blackburn
1–1Cardiff17/02/15Blackburn
Cardiff
1–1Blackburn08/08/14Cardiff
Blackburn
1–1Cardiff01/04/13Blackburn
Cardiff
3–0Blackburn| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 9 |  Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 |  Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 |  Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 |  Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
Blackburn- ●Blackburn have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●70% of Blackburn's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Blackburn's points have been earned at home.
- ●Blackburn have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Cardiff- ●Cardiff have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Cardiff have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cardiff have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BlackburnWHMillwall3–1
Millwall3–1LHSheffield Utd1–2
Sheffield Utd1–2LAPreston1–2
Preston1–2DALincoln0–0
Lincoln0–0LHQPR1–2
QPR1–2WHMiddlesbrough2–1
Middlesbrough2–1–APortsmouth19/09
Portsmouth19/09–HCardiff10/10
Cardiff10/10–ABristol City13/10
Bristol City13/10CardiffLABolton0–1
Bolton0–1DHStoke City1–1
Stoke City1–1LAPortsmouth0–2
Portsmouth0–2LAQPR1–2
QPR1–2DHSheffield Utd2–2
Sheffield Utd2–2DADerby2–2
Derby2–2–HCharlton19/09
Charlton19/09–ABlackburn10/10
Blackburn10/10–HWatford13/10
Watford13/10Top Scorers
BlackburnA. Gudjohnsen4 ⚽
T. Cantwell2 ⚽
Oladapo Afolayan2 ⚽
R. Morishita2 ⚽
Kristi Montgomery1 ⚽
M. Litherland1 ⚽
CardiffY. Salech7 ⚽
C. Ashford4 ⚽
I. Davies3 ⚽
C. Willock3 ⚽
J. Moylan2 ⚽
R. Tankiewicz2 ⚽
Cards Given
BlackburnT. Atcheson3 🟨
T. Cantwell3 🟨
Sam Morsy2 🟨
S. McLoughlin2 🟨
A. Forshaw2 🟨
S. Morsy2 🟨
CardiffPerry Tian Hee Ng2 🟨
A. Robertson2 🟨
B. Barry-Murphy1 🟨
J. Colwill1 🟨
J. Moylan1 🟨
I. Davies1 🟨