Cardiff vs Watford — Championship
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Cardiff and Watford meet in the Championship 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Cardiff have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Watford have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Cardiff and 1.08 for Watford. The models give Cardiff a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Watford win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff—
Watford21º
Position
17º
0.57
PPG
1.14
0%
Win %
29%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.57
Conceded / game
1.29
77%
BTTS %
62%
0%
Clean sheet %
15%
69%
Over 2.5 %
54%
7.4
Avg corners
4.2
16.7
Avg shots
15.0
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
10.3
Avg fouls
10.7
64.7%
Avg possession
47.3%
Home vs Away
Cardiff
Home (3)
—
Watford
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
0.33
0%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.33
1.33
Conceded / game
1.33
86%
BTTS %
60%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
71%
Over 2.5 %
40%
7.4
Avg corners
4.2
16.7
Avg shots
15.0
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
64.7%
Avg possession
47.3%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff | Home | Away | Watford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 86% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 43% | 50% | 31% | 38% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 29% | 33% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 14% | 33% | 23% | 13% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff | Home | Away | Watford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 85% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 57% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 14% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 8% |
| BTTS | 77% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 15% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 54% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 77% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 62% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 77% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff (H)D
Stoke City1–1
Stoke City1–1D
Sheffield Utd2–2
Sheffield Utd2–2L
Norwich1–2
Norwich1–2D
Wrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1W
Swindon Town3–2
Swindon Town3–2W
AS Roma4–1
AS Roma4–1Watford (A)L
West Brom0–1
West Brom0–1L
Swansea0–2
Swansea0–2DWrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1D
Barnet2–2
Barnet2–2L
Boreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2L
Middlesbrough1–5
Middlesbrough1–5Number of Corners
11.8
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.7
81 games
10.2
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Cardiff | Watford | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 78% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 78% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 78% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 56% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 56% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 67% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 44% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 11% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cardiff | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.4 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 89% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 44% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 67% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
6
Cardiff
38%
5
Draws
31%
5
Watford
31%
75%
Over 1.5
12/16
50%
Over 2.5
8/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
75%
BTTS
12/16
14/01/25Watford
Cardiff
1–1Watford29/12/24Cardiff
Watford
1–2Cardiff03/02/24Cardiff
Watford
0–1Cardiff07/10/23Watford
Cardiff
1–1Watford19/04/23Cardiff
Watford
1–3Cardiff02/11/22Watford
Cardiff
1–2Watford13/03/21Watford
Cardiff
1–2Watford05/12/20Cardiff
Watford
0–1Cardiff22/02/19Watford
Cardiff
1–5Watford15/12/18Cardiff
Watford
3–2Cardiff28/12/14Watford
Cardiff
2–4Watford29/11/14Cardiff
Watford
0–1Cardiff06/04/13Cardiff
Watford
0–0Cardiff23/10/12Watford
Cardiff
2–1Watford09/04/12Watford
Cardiff
1–1Watford26/12/11Cardiff
Watford
1–1Cardiff| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 9 |  Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 |  Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 |  Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 |  Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
Cardiff- ●Cardiff have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Cardiff have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cardiff have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Watford- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Watford have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Watford have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●87% of Watford's points have been earned at home.
- ●Watford have conceded 78% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CardiffLABolton0–1
Bolton0–1DHStoke City1–1
Stoke City1–1LAPortsmouth0–2
Portsmouth0–2LAQPR1–2
QPR1–2DHSheffield Utd2–2
Sheffield Utd2–2DADerby2–2
Derby2–2–HCharlton19/09
Charlton19/09–ABlackburn10/10
Blackburn10/10–HWatford13/10
Watford13/10WatfordLHStoke City1–2
Stoke City1–2WHPreston2–1
Preston2–1LAWest Brom0–1
West Brom0–1LASwansea0–2
Swansea0–2DHWest Ham1–1
West Ham1–1DAWrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1–ABristol City18/09
Bristol City18/09–HBurnley10/10
Burnley10/10–ACardiff13/10
Cardiff13/10Top Scorers
CardiffY. Salech7 ⚽
C. Ashford4 ⚽
I. Davies3 ⚽
C. Willock3 ⚽
J. Moylan2 ⚽
R. Tankiewicz2 ⚽
WatfordA. Nabizada3 ⚽
M. Doumbia2 ⚽
L. Kjerrumgaard2 ⚽
I. Bravo1 ⚽
M. Bola1 ⚽
Mamadou Doumbia1 ⚽
Cards Given
CardiffPerry Tian Hee Ng2 🟨
A. Robertson2 🟨
B. Barry-Murphy1 🟨
J. Colwill1 🟨
J. Moylan1 🟨
I. Davies1 🟨
Watford3 🟨
O. Maamma2 🟨
Iker Bravo2 🟨
H. Kyprianou2 🟨
E. Bove2 🟨
K. Keben2 🟨