Millwall vs Swansea — Championship
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Millwall and Swansea meet in the Championship 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Millwall have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Swansea have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Millwall and 1.40 for Swansea. The models give Millwall a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Swansea win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Millwall—
Swansea13º
Position
2º
1.50
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
57%
1.83
Goals / game
1.57
1.83
Conceded / game
0.71
40%
BTTS %
31%
33%
Clean sheet %
46%
47%
Over 2.5 %
46%
4.0
Avg corners
4.9
12.4
Avg shots
12.5
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
13.1
Avg fouls
9.3
48.4%
Avg possession
58.5%
Home vs Away
Millwall
Home (3)
—
Swansea
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
67%
2.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
0%
BTTS %
50%
60%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
100%
4.0
Avg corners
4.9
12.4
Avg shots
12.5
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
48.4%
Avg possession
58.5%
Goals Scored
| Millwall | Home | Away | Swansea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 60% | 80% | 62% | 56% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 40% | 20% | 46% | 44% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 40% | 0% | 15% | 11% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 40% | 20% | 38% | 44% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Millwall | Home | Away | Swansea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 40% | 80% | 54% | 44% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 22% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 60% | 20% | 46% | 56% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Millwall | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Millwall | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 62% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Millwall (H)L
Newcastle0–1
Newcastle0–1W
Bolton4–0
Bolton4–0L
Wrexham0–3
Wrexham0–3W
Norwich3–0
Norwich3–0W
Antwerp1–0
Antwerp1–0L
Hull City0–2
Hull City0–2Swansea (A)L
Southampton1–3
Southampton1–3W
Derby3–0
Derby3–0W
Stoke City2–1
Stoke City2–1L
Merthyr Town0–3
Merthyr Town0–3DNorwich1–1
Norwich1–1W
QPR2–1
QPR2–1Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.7
81 games
9.4
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Millwall | Swansea | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 75% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 38% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 25% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 13% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 0% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 0% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Millwall | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.6 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 56% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 44% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 38% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
6
Millwall
38%
4
Draws
25%
6
Swansea
38%
56%
Over 1.5
9/16
44%
Over 2.5
7/16
6%
Over 3.5
1/16
44%
BTTS
7/16
04/01/26Swansea
Millwall
2–1Swansea27/09/25Millwall
Swansea
1–1Millwall26/04/25Swansea
Millwall
1–0Swansea26/10/24Millwall
Swansea
0–1Millwall04/05/24Millwall
Swansea
0–1Millwall30/09/23Swansea
Millwall
0–3Swansea14/03/23Swansea
Millwall
2–1Swansea16/08/22Millwall
Swansea
2–2Millwall05/04/22Swansea
Millwall
0–1Swansea15/09/21Millwall
Swansea
0–0Millwall10/04/21Swansea
Millwall
0–3Swansea03/10/20Millwall
Swansea
2–1Millwall30/06/20Swansea
Millwall
1–1Swansea23/11/19Millwall
Swansea
0–1Millwall09/02/19Millwall
Swansea
1–0Millwall01/09/18Swansea
Millwall
1–2Swansea| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 |  Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 9 |  Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 |  Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 |  Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 |  Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
Millwall- ●Millwall have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of Millwall's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Millwall's goals conceded were conceded away.
Swansea- ●Swansea have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Swansea have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MillwallLABlackburn1–3
Blackburn1–3WHBolton4–0
Bolton4–0LHWrexham0–3
Wrexham0–3LASouthampton1–5
Southampton1–5WHNorwich3–0
Norwich3–0WABristol City2–0
Bristol City2–0–AMiddlesbrough15/09
Middlesbrough15/09–HWest Ham19/09
West Ham19/09–APreston10/10
Preston10/10SwanseaWHBurnley3–1
Burnley3–1LASouthampton1–3
Southampton1–3DHWrexham0–0
Wrexham0–0WHWatford2–0
Watford2–0WADerby3–0
Derby3–0DHSheffield Utd0–0
Sheffield Utd0–0–ALincoln19/09
Lincoln19/09–HNorwich10/10
Norwich10/10–AMillwall13/10
Millwall13/10Top Scorers
MillwallM. Sykes3 ⚽
Lyndon Dykes3 ⚽
T. Arconte3 ⚽
J. Cooper3 ⚽
L. Cundle2 ⚽
J. Coburn2 ⚽
SwanseaA. Idah3 ⚽
J. Opoku3 ⚽
Zan Vipotnik2 ⚽
Ronald2 ⚽
Eom Ji-Sung2 ⚽
Adam Idah1 ⚽
Cards Given
MillwallJenson Metcalfe3 🟨
J. Metcalfe2 🟨
T. Arconte2 🟨
J. Coburn1 🟨
Lyndon Dykes1 🟨
M. Sykes1 🟨
SwanseaM. Widell2 🟨
F. Lissah2 🟨
E. Just1 🟨
Filip Lissah1 🟨
J. Fulton1 🟨
C. Burgess1 🟨