Birmingham vs QPR — Championship
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Birmingham and QPR meet in the Championship 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Birmingham have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. QPR have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Birmingham and 1.57 for QPR. The models give Birmingham a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an QPR win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Birmingham—
QPR9º
Position
5º
1.43
PPG
1.71
29%
Win %
43%
1.43
Goals / game
1.14
1.29
Conceded / game
0.71
71%
BTTS %
57%
29%
Clean sheet %
36%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.7
Avg corners
6.4
11.8
Avg shots
14.4
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.9
Avg fouls
8.4
46.7%
Avg possession
50.0%
Home vs Away
Birmingham
Home (3)
—
QPR
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
50%
1.67
Goals / game
1.50
1.67
Conceded / game
0.75
100%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
43%
80%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.7
Avg corners
6.4
11.8
Avg shots
14.4
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
46.7%
Avg possession
50.0%
Goals Scored
| Birmingham | Home | Away | QPR | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 89% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 44% | 50% | 43% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 0% | 11% | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 11% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Birmingham | Home | Away | QPR | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 100% | 56% | 64% | 71% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 80% | 22% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 0% | 44% | 36% | 29% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Birmingham | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 21% |
| BTTS | 71% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Birmingham | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 79% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Birmingham (H)D
Wolves2–2
Wolves2–2D
Southampton1–1
Southampton1–1L
Brentford1–6
Brentford1–6D
Bristol City2–2
Bristol City2–2D
Barcelona2–2
Barcelona2–2WBristol City2–1
Bristol City2–1QPR (A)D
West Brom1–1
West Brom1–1D
Charlton0–0
Charlton0–0W
Blackburn2–1
Blackburn2–1W
Portsmouth3–1
Portsmouth3–1W
Bromley7–0
Bromley7–0W
SC Wiener Neustadt3–1
SC Wiener Neustadt3–1Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.7
81 games
10.1
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Birmingham | QPR | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 88% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 63% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 50% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 50% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 38% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 25% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 25% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Birmingham | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 38% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
6
Birmingham
27%
5
Draws
23%
11
QPR
50%
73%
Over 1.5
16/22
45%
Over 2.5
10/22
18%
Over 3.5
4/22
50%
BTTS
11/22
11/03/26QPR
Birmingham
1–0QPR09/12/25Birmingham
QPR
2–1Birmingham29/03/24Birmingham
QPR
2–1Birmingham22/09/23QPR
Birmingham
0–0QPR18/03/23Birmingham
QPR
0–1Birmingham28/10/22QPR
Birmingham
2–0QPR02/01/22QPR
Birmingham
1–2QPR28/09/21Birmingham
QPR
2–0Birmingham27/02/21QPR
Birmingham
2–1QPR24/10/20Birmingham
QPR
0–0Birmingham29/02/20Birmingham
QPR
2–2Birmingham11/12/19QPR
Birmingham
0–2QPR09/02/19Birmingham
QPR
3–4Birmingham01/09/18QPR
Birmingham
0–0QPR28/04/18Birmingham
QPR
3–1Birmingham16/12/17QPR
Birmingham
1–2QPR18/02/17QPR
Birmingham
1–4QPR24/09/16Birmingham
QPR
1–1Birmingham27/02/16Birmingham
QPR
2–0Birmingham17/10/15QPR
Birmingham
2–1QPR| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 |  Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 |  Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 |  Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 |  Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 |  Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
Birmingham- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Birmingham have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●70% of Birmingham's points have been earned away.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 78% of their goals in the first half.
QPR- ●QPR have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●QPR have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of QPR's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of QPR's points have been earned away.
- ●QPR have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BirminghamWADerby2–1
Derby2–1LANorwich1–2
Norwich1–2DHWolves2–2
Wolves2–2DHSouthampton1–1
Southampton1–1WAWrexham2–1
Wrexham2–1DHBristol City2–2
Bristol City2–2–HMiddlesbrough19/09
Middlesbrough19/09–AWest Brom10/10
West Brom10/10–HPreston13/10
Preston13/10QPRDAWest Brom1–1
West Brom1–1DACharlton0–0
Charlton0–0LHMiddlesbrough0–1
Middlesbrough0–1WHCardiff2–1
Cardiff2–1WABlackburn2–1
Blackburn2–1DHBolton0–0
Bolton0–0–HPreston19/09
Preston19/09–AWest Ham09/10
West Ham09/10–HDerby14/10
Derby14/10Top Scorers
BirminghamA. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
P. Neumann2 ⚽
K. Furuhashi2 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽
J. E. Solis Romero1 ⚽
QPRP. Smyth3 ⚽
R. Burrell3 ⚽
A. Lloyd3 ⚽
I. Chair3 ⚽
K. Saito2 ⚽
R. Kone2 ⚽
Cards Given
BirminghamB. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Carlos Vicente2 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
Phil Neumann2 🟨
A. Cochrane1 🟨
J. Stansfield1 🟨
QPRJ. Clarke-Salter2 🟨
R. Edwards2 🟨
Jake Clarke-Salter2 🟨
Glen Kamara2 🟨
Rumarn Burrell1 🟨
1 🟨