Portsmouth vs Millwall — Championship
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Fratton Park·Portsmouth·England·20,821
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Portsmouth and Millwall meet in the Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Portsmouth have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Millwall have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Portsmouth and 1.48 for Millwall. The models give Portsmouth a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Millwall win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Portsmouth—
Millwall19º
Position
11º
1.14
PPG
1.38
29%
Win %
38%
1.29
Goals / game
1.88
1.43
Conceded / game
1.88
64%
BTTS %
47%
21%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
53%
7.1
Avg corners
3.6
15.3
Avg shots
12.9
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.7
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
12.5
Avg fouls
13.4
54.0%
Avg possession
44.5%
Home vs Away
Portsmouth
Home (4)
—
Millwall
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
25%
1.25
Goals / game
1.50
1.75
Conceded / game
2.50
50%
BTTS %
64%
25%
Clean sheet %
18%
50%
Over 2.5 %
45%
7.1
Avg corners
3.6
15.3
Avg shots
12.9
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.7
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
54.0%
Avg possession
44.5%
Goals Scored
| Portsmouth | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 75% | 70% | 76% | 67% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 20% | 35% | 50% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 0% | 10% | 12% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 25% | 30% | 24% | 33% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Portsmouth | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 75% | 80% | 71% | 50% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 75% | 40% | 35% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 25% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 25% | 20% | 29% | 50% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Portsmouth | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 6% |
| BTTS | 64% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Portsmouth | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Portsmouth (H)D
Blackburn2–2
Blackburn2–2W
Cardiff2–0
Cardiff2–0L
Derby0–2
Derby0–2L
QPR1–3
QPR1–3D
Birmingham1–1
Birmingham1–1W
Leicester1–0
Leicester1–0Millwall (A)D
Middlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2LBlackburn1–3
Blackburn1–3L
Southampton1–5
Southampton1–5W
Cambridge United1–0
Cambridge United1–0W
Bristol City2–0
Bristol City2–0DQPR1–1
QPR1–1Number of Corners
12.1
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.6
95 games
11.3
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Portsmouth | Millwall | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 82% | 92% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 73% | 84% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 73% | 72% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 64% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 75% | 64% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 63% | 55% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 45% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 36% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Portsmouth | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.1 | 3.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 7.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 88% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 88% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 73% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
2
Portsmouth
25%
0
Draws
0%
6
Millwall
75%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
21/02/26Portsmouth
Millwall
1–3Portsmouth22/11/25Millwall
Portsmouth
3–1Millwall05/04/25Portsmouth
Millwall
2–1Portsmouth28/01/25Millwall
Portsmouth
0–1Millwall13/08/24Millwall
Portsmouth
0–1Millwall10/08/21Portsmouth
Millwall
2–1Portsmouth10/04/12Millwall
Portsmouth
0–1Millwall26/12/11Portsmouth
Millwall
1–0Portsmouth| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Portsmouth- ●Portsmouth have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●70% of Portsmouth's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Portsmouth have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Portsmouth have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Millwall- ●Millwall have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Millwall have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Millwall have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Millwall's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
PortsmouthDHBlackburn2–2
Blackburn2–2DACharlton0–0
Charlton0–0WHCardiff2–0
Cardiff2–0LHDerby0–2
Derby0–2LABristol City1–2
Bristol City1–2WALincoln3–1
Lincoln3–1–ASouthampton11/10
Southampton11/10–HSheffield Utd14/10
Sheffield Utd14/10–ANorwich17/10
Norwich17/10MillwallDHWest Ham2–2
West Ham2–2DAMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2LABlackburn1–3
Blackburn1–3WHBolton4–0
Bolton4–0LHWrexham0–3
Wrexham0–3LASouthampton1–5
Southampton1–5–APreston10/10
Preston10/10–HSwansea13/10
Swansea13/10–HLincoln17/10
Lincoln17/10Top Scorers
PortsmouthT. Waddingham2 ⚽
A. Segecic2 ⚽
C. Bishop1 ⚽
Conor Shaughnessy1 ⚽
E. Adams1 ⚽
Colby·Bishop1 ⚽
MillwallLyndon Dykes4 ⚽
J. Cooper3 ⚽
M. Sykes3 ⚽
T. Arconte3 ⚽
M. Servais2 ⚽
Caleb Taylor2 ⚽
Cards Given
PortsmouthA. Segecic1 🟨
E. Adams1 🟨
Ebou Adams1 🟨
John Michael Lewis Mousinho1 🟨
Marlon Pack1 🟨
R. R. Shein1 🟨
MillwallJenson Metcalfe3 🟨
T. Arconte2 🟨
J. Metcalfe2 🟨
Casper De Norre1 🟨
J. Coburn1 🟨
Derek Mazou Sacko1 🟨