Stoke City vs Bristol City — Championship
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Stoke City and Bristol City meet in the Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Stoke City have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Bristol City have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Stoke City and 1.52 for Bristol City. The models give Stoke City a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bristol City win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Stoke City—
Bristol City10º
Position
11º
1.43
PPG
1.67
43%
Win %
50%
1.57
Goals / game
1.67
1.57
Conceded / game
1.83
57%
BTTS %
64%
36%
Clean sheet %
14%
36%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.6
Avg corners
5.7
11.6
Avg shots
15.9
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.1
15.1
Avg fouls
10.4
45.9%
Avg possession
46.6%
Home vs Away
Stoke City
Home (3)
—
Bristol City
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
1.75
67%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.67
Conceded / game
2.00
38%
BTTS %
78%
50%
Clean sheet %
11%
25%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.6
Avg corners
5.7
11.6
Avg shots
15.9
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.1
45.9%
Avg possession
46.6%
Goals Scored
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Bristol City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 88% | 100% | 64% | 40% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 25% | 17% | 50% | 40% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 13% | 0% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 13% | 0% | 36% | 60% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Bristol City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 83% | 86% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 13% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 50% | 17% | 14% | 20% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stoke City | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 21% |
| BTTS | 57% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stoke City | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Stoke City (H)W
Charlton4–0
Charlton4–0W
Norwich1–0
Norwich1–0D
Hull City1–1
Hull City1–1L
Swansea1–2
Swansea1–2W
Oldham2–0
Oldham2–0D
Valencia1–1
Valencia1–1Bristol City (A)L
Southampton1–4
Southampton1–4W
Burnley2–1
Burnley2–1W
Preston3–1
Preston3–1D
Birmingham2–2
Birmingham2–2D
Exeter City1–1
Exeter City1–1D
Plymouth0–0
Plymouth0–0Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.7
81 games
11.3
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Stoke City | Bristol City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 71% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 71% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 22% | 71% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 22% | 57% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 57% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 43% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 14% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stoke City | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 44% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 71% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
6
Stoke City
35%
2
Draws
12%
9
Bristol City
53%
82%
Over 1.5
14/17
41%
Over 2.5
7/17
24%
Over 3.5
4/17
41%
BTTS
7/17
02/05/26Stoke City
Bristol City
2–0Stoke City01/11/25Bristol City
Stoke City
5–1Bristol City12/02/25Stoke City
Bristol City
2–0Stoke City22/10/24Bristol City
Stoke City
2–2Bristol City04/05/24Bristol City
Stoke City
4–0Bristol City30/09/23Stoke City
Bristol City
2–3Stoke City07/04/23Bristol City
Stoke City
1–2Bristol City17/12/22Stoke City
Bristol City
1–2Stoke City15/04/22Bristol City
Stoke City
0–1Bristol City24/11/21Stoke City
Bristol City
1–0Stoke City02/04/21Stoke City
Bristol City
0–2Stoke City20/09/20Bristol City
Stoke City
0–2Bristol City15/07/20Stoke City
Bristol City
1–1Stoke City14/09/19Bristol City
Stoke City
1–2Bristol City01/01/19Bristol City
Stoke City
0–2Bristol City27/10/18Stoke City
Bristol City
0–1Stoke City19/09/17Stoke City
Bristol City
2–0Stoke City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 |  Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 |  Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 |  Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 |  Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 |  Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
Stoke City- ●Stoke City have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Stoke City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●82% of Stoke City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Stoke City have scored 91% of their goals in the first half.
Bristol City- ●Bristol City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bristol City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Bristol City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●80% of Bristol City's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Bristol City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●70% of Bristol City's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Stoke CityWAWatford2–1
Watford2–1DACardiff1–1
Cardiff1–1WHCharlton4–0
Charlton4–0WHNorwich1–0
Norwich1–0LAWolves1–4
Wolves1–4LASouthampton1–3
Southampton1–3–HSheffield Utd19/09
Sheffield Utd19/09–ABolton10/10
Bolton10/10–HMiddlesbrough13/10
Middlesbrough13/10Bristol CityLASouthampton1–4
Southampton1–4WABurnley2–1
Burnley2–1WAPreston3–1
Preston3–1WHPortsmouth2–1
Portsmouth2–1DABirmingham2–2
Birmingham2–2LHMillwall0–2
Millwall0–2–HLincoln15/09
Lincoln15/09–HWatford18/09
Watford18/09–ACharlton10/10
Charlton10/10Top Scorers
Stoke CityS. Gallagher3 ⚽
R. Bozenik2 ⚽
Justin Devenny2 ⚽
E. Galbraith2 ⚽
Eric Junior Bocat1 ⚽
D. Soumare1 ⚽
Bristol CityL. Tolaj4 ⚽
S. Twine2 ⚽
D. Ballard2 ⚽
J. Knight1 ⚽
L. Eissat1 ⚽
J. Wallace1 ⚽
Cards Given
Stoke CityS. Ingelsson3 🟨
B. Lawal2 🟨
Bae Jun-Ho2 🟨
Ethan Galbraith2 🟨
S. Gallagher2 🟨
El Hadji Soumare1 🟨
Bristol CityA. Randell3 🟨
J. Knight2 🟨
Lisav Naif Eissat1 🟨
R. Cardines1 🟨
R. Dickie1 🟨
Sam Greenwood1 🟨