Wolves vs Watford — Championship
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Wolves and Watford meet in the Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Wolves have recorded 8 wins from 12 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Watford have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Wolves and 1.08 for Watford. The models give Wolves a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Watford win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Wolves—
Watford7º
Position
17º
1.83
PPG
1.14
50%
Win %
29%
2.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.29
50%
BTTS %
62%
50%
Clean sheet %
15%
67%
Over 2.5 %
54%
6.3
Avg corners
4.2
15.6
Avg shots
15.0
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.1
Avg fouls
10.7
56.4%
Avg possession
47.3%
Home vs Away
Wolves
Home (2)
—
Watford
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
0.33
50%
Win %
0%
3.00
Goals / game
0.33
1.50
Conceded / game
1.33
60%
BTTS %
60%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
40%
6.3
Avg corners
4.2
15.6
Avg shots
15.0
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
56.4%
Avg possession
47.3%
Goals Scored
| Wolves | Home | Away | Watford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 77% | 88% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 71% | 31% | 38% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 60% | 14% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 13% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Wolves | Home | Away | Watford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 43% | 85% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 29% | 38% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 57% | 15% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Wolves | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS | 50% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Wolves | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 54% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 77% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 62% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Wolves (H)W
Stoke City4–1
Stoke City4–1D
Blackburn2–2
Blackburn2–2W
Port Vale3–0
Port Vale3–0W
Racing Santander3–0
Racing Santander3–0L
Real Sociedad1–2
Real Sociedad1–2D
Fulham1–1
Fulham1–1Watford (A)L
West Brom0–1
West Brom0–1L
Swansea0–2
Swansea0–2D
Wrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1D
Barnet2–2
Barnet2–2L
Boreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2L
Middlesbrough1–5
Middlesbrough1–5Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.7
81 games
10.2
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Wolves | Watford | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 78% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 78% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 56% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 44% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 11% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Wolves | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 67% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
5
Wolves
45%
2
Draws
18%
4
Watford
36%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
10/03/22Watford
Wolves
4–0Watford11/09/21Wolves
Watford
0–2Wolves01/01/20Wolves
Watford
2–1Wolves28/09/19Watford
Wolves
2–0Watford27/04/19Wolves
Watford
1–2Wolves07/04/19Wolves
Watford
3–2Wolves20/10/18Watford
Wolves
0–2Watford07/03/15Watford
Wolves
2–2Watford26/12/14Wolves
Watford
0–1Wolves01/03/13Watford
Wolves
1–1Watford17/11/12Wolves
Watford
2–1Wolves| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 9 |  Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 |  Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 |  Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 |  Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
Wolves- ●Wolves have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Wolves have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●70% of Wolves's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●64% of Wolves's points have been earned away.
- ●Wolves have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Watford- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Watford have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Watford have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●87% of Watford's points have been earned at home.
- ●Watford have conceded 78% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
WolvesWASheffield Utd1–0
Sheffield Utd1–0DABirmingham2–2
Birmingham2–2LAWest Ham2–4
West Ham2–4WHStoke City4–1
Stoke City4–1WAPreston3–1
Preston3–1DHBlackburn2–2
Blackburn2–2–HWest Brom20/09
West Brom20/09–AMiddlesbrough10/10
Middlesbrough10/10–HBolton13/10
Bolton13/10WatfordLHStoke City1–2
Stoke City1–2WHPreston2–1
Preston2–1LAWest Brom0–1
West Brom0–1LASwansea0–2
Swansea0–2DHWest Ham1–1
West Ham1–1DAWrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1–ABristol City18/09
Bristol City18/09–HBurnley10/10
Burnley10/10–ACardiff13/10
Cardiff13/10Top Scorers
WolvesF. Lopez5 ⚽
R. Gomes3 ⚽
A. Armstrong2 ⚽
R. Jimenez2 ⚽
J. James1 ⚽
H. Bueno1 ⚽
WatfordA. Nabizada3 ⚽
M. Doumbia2 ⚽
L. Kjerrumgaard2 ⚽
I. Bravo1 ⚽
M. Bola1 ⚽
Mamadou Doumbia1 ⚽
Cards Given
Wolves2 🟨
M. Mane2 🟨
K. Trippier1 🟨
Ladislav Krejčí1 🟨
B. Traore1 🟨
M. Munetsi1 🟨
Watford3 🟨
O. Maamma2 🟨
Iker Bravo2 🟨
H. Kyprianou2 🟨
E. Bove2 🟨
K. Keben2 🟨