Lincoln vs Birmingham — Championship
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Lincoln and Birmingham meet in the Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Lincoln have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Birmingham have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Lincoln and 1.42 for Birmingham. The models give Lincoln a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Birmingham win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Lincoln—
Birmingham12º
Position
10º
1.38
PPG
1.38
38%
Win %
25%
0.88
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.38
47%
BTTS %
73%
35%
Clean sheet %
27%
53%
Over 2.5 %
73%
3.6
Avg corners
5.6
11.9
Avg shots
12.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
12.7
Avg fouls
12.7
40.2%
Avg possession
47.7%
Home vs Away
Lincoln
Home (4)
—
Birmingham
Away (4)
0.50
PPG
1.75
0%
Win %
50%
0.75
Goals / game
1.25
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
50%
40%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.6
Avg corners
5.6
11.9
Avg shots
12.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
40.2%
Avg possession
47.7%
Goals Scored
| Lincoln | Home | Away | Birmingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 60% | 83% | 93% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 12% | 0% | 17% | 60% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 40% | 17% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Lincoln | Home | Away | Birmingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 80% | 58% | 73% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 60% | 42% | 40% | 71% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 25% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 20% | 42% | 27% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lincoln | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 7% |
| BTTS | 47% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lincoln | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 7% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Lincoln (H)L
Swansea1–2
Swansea1–2D
Southampton1–1
Southampton1–1D
Blackburn0–0
Blackburn0–0L
Portsmouth1–3
Portsmouth1–3L
Leyton Orient0–2
Leyton Orient0–2W
Wycombe4–3
Wycombe4–3Birmingham (A)W
Derby2–1
Derby2–1L
Norwich1–2
Norwich1–2W
Wrexham2–1
Wrexham2–1D
Sheffield Utd0–0
Sheffield Utd0–0WSwansea1–0
Swansea1–0W
Crewe2–1
Crewe2–1Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
10.7
93 games
10.4
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Lincoln | Birmingham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 100% | 92% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 100% | 85% |
| Over 8 | 82% | 80% | 72% |
| Over 9 | 73% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 30% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 20% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 27% | 10% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lincoln | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.2 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 64% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 90% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 50% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Lincoln
0%
0
Draws
0%
3
Birmingham
100%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
08/03/25Lincoln
Birmingham
1–0Lincoln11/01/25Lincoln
Birmingham
2–1Lincoln19/10/24Birmingham
Lincoln
1–3Birmingham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Lincoln- ●Lincoln have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lincoln have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Lincoln's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●82% of Lincoln's points have been earned away.
Birmingham- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Birmingham have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●64% of Birmingham's points have been earned away.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LincolnLHSwansea1–2
Swansea1–2WABristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0WAPreston1–0
Preston1–0DHSouthampton1–1
Southampton1–1DHBlackburn0–0
Blackburn0–0WABolton1–0
Bolton1–0–ASheffield Utd10/10
Sheffield Utd10/10–HWest Ham14/10
West Ham14/10–AMillwall17/10
Millwall17/10BirminghamDHMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WADerby2–1
Derby2–1LANorwich1–2
Norwich1–2DHWolves2–2
Wolves2–2DHSouthampton1–1
Southampton1–1WAWrexham2–1
Wrexham2–1–AWest Brom10/10
West Brom10/10–HPreston13/10
Preston13/10–HQPR17/10
QPR17/10Top Scorers
LincolnB. House2 ⚽
D. Jefferies2 ⚽
T. Bayliss2 ⚽
F. Draper2 ⚽
R. Hackett-Fairchild1 ⚽
R. Street1 ⚽
BirminghamA. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
P. Neumann2 ⚽
K. Furuhashi2 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽
J. E. Solis Romero1 ⚽
Cards Given
LincolnF. Draper4 🟨
Dom Jefferies2 🟨
C. Cohen2 🟨
C. McGrandles2 🟨
Ben House2 🟨
B. House2 🟨
BirminghamB. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Phil Neumann3 🟨
Carlos Vicente2 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
August Priske1 🟨
C. Klarer1 🟨