Norwich vs Watford — Championship
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Norwich and Watford meet in the Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Norwich have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Watford have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.12 for Norwich and 1.09 for Watford. The models give Norwich a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Watford win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Norwich—
Watford19º
Position
22º
1.00
PPG
0.80
33%
Win %
20%
1.89
Goals / game
0.80
2.11
Conceded / game
1.90
53%
BTTS %
56%
32%
Clean sheet %
13%
68%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.4
Avg corners
4.2
14.4
Avg shots
14.4
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.4
10.7
Avg fouls
10.9
50.2%
Avg possession
48.7%
Home vs Away
Norwich
Home (4)
—
Watford
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
0.20
50%
Win %
0%
2.50
Goals / game
0.40
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
67%
BTTS %
57%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.4
Avg corners
4.2
14.4
Avg shots
14.4
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.4
50.2%
Avg possession
48.7%
Goals Scored
| Norwich | Home | Away | Watford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 78% | 60% | 69% | 78% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 56% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 33% | 30% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 22% | 40% | 31% | 22% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Norwich | Home | Away | Watford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 67% | 70% | 88% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 33% | 40% | 44% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 11% | 30% | 19% | 22% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 33% | 30% | 13% | 22% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Norwich | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 13% |
| BTTS | 53% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Norwich | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 63% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 81% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 63% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Norwich (H)L
Bolton3–4
Bolton3–4W
Birmingham2–1
Birmingham2–1W
Burnley4–1
Burnley4–1L
West Brom1–2
West Brom1–2W
Milton Keynes Dons4–1
Milton Keynes Dons4–1D
Cambridge United0–0
Cambridge United0–0Watford (A)L
Cardiff1–5
Cardiff1–5L
Bristol City0–1
Bristol City0–1LWest Brom0–1
West Brom0–1L
Swansea0–2
Swansea0–2D
Wrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1D
Barnet2–2
Barnet2–2Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.6
115 games
9.5
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Norwich | Watford | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 83% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 67% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 42% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 42% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 42% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 42% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 8% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Norwich | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 42% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 58% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
9
Norwich
45%
0
Draws
0%
11
Watford
55%
75%
Over 1.5
15/20
65%
Over 2.5
13/20
35%
Over 3.5
7/20
50%
BTTS
10/20
29/12/25Watford
Norwich
0–1Watford06/12/25Norwich
Watford
3–2Norwich12/08/25Norwich
Watford
1–2Norwich01/02/25Norwich
Watford
0–1Norwich21/09/24Watford
Norwich
4–1Watford13/02/24Watford
Norwich
4–2Watford28/11/23Norwich
Watford
3–2Norwich02/01/23Watford
Norwich
0–1Watford15/10/22Norwich
Watford
2–1Norwich21/01/22Norwich
Watford
0–3Norwich18/09/21Watford
Norwich
1–3Watford20/04/21Watford
Norwich
0–1Watford26/12/20Norwich
Watford
1–0Norwich07/07/20Norwich
Watford
2–1Norwich08/11/19Watford
Norwich
0–2Watford11/05/16Watford
Norwich
4–2Watford05/12/15Norwich
Watford
2–0Norwich21/02/15Norwich
Watford
0–3Norwich16/08/14Watford
Norwich
3–0Watford24/09/13Norwich
Watford
2–3Norwich| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 6 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Norwich- ●Norwich have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Norwich have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Norwich have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Norwich have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Norwich have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Norwich have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Norwich have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Norwich have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Watford- ●Watford have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Watford have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Watford have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Watford have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Watford's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Watford's points have been earned at home.
- ●Watford have conceded 79% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NorwichLASwansea1–2
Swansea1–2LHBolton3–4
Bolton3–4LAMiddlesbrough3–4
Middlesbrough3–4WHBirmingham2–1
Birmingham2–1WASheffield Utd3–1
Sheffield Utd3–1LAStoke City0–1
Stoke City0–1–HSouthampton14/10
Southampton14/10–HPortsmouth17/10
Portsmouth17/10–ACharlton24/10
Charlton24/10WatfordLACardiff1–5
Cardiff1–5LHBurnley0–4
Burnley0–4LABristol City0–1
Bristol City0–1LHStoke City1–2
Stoke City1–2WHPreston2–1
Preston2–1LAWest Brom0–1
West Brom0–1–HCharlton17/10
Charlton17/10–AWolves24/10
Wolves24/10–ANorwich31/10
Norwich31/10Top Scorers
NorwichMohamed Toure3 ⚽
M. Toure3 ⚽
A. Brooks3 ⚽
M. Kvistgaarden2 ⚽
A. Slimane2 ⚽
H. Darling2 ⚽
WatfordA. Nabizada3 ⚽
M. Doumbia2 ⚽
L. Kjerrumgaard2 ⚽
Hector Kyprianou1 ⚽
I. Bravo1 ⚽
M. Bola1 ⚽
Cards Given
NorwichJ. Cordoba5 🟨
Kellen Fisher2 🟨
A. Brooks2 🟨
Jack Stacey2 🟨
Jose Cordoba2 🟨
Ante Crnac1 🟨
Watford3 🟨
Edo Kayembe3 🟨
Amin Nabizada3 🟨
Iker Bravo2 🟨
H. Kyprianou2 🟨
E. Bove2 🟨