Birmingham vs Millwall — Championship
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St Andrew's Stadium·Birmingham·England·30,009
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Birmingham and Millwall meet in the Championship 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Birmingham have recorded 9 wins from 17 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Millwall have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 1.21 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Birmingham and 1.43 for Millwall. The models give Birmingham a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Millwall win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Birmingham—
Millwall3º
Position
10º
1.70
PPG
1.40
40%
Win %
40%
1.70
Goals / game
1.60
1.10
Conceded / game
1.60
65%
BTTS %
42%
35%
Clean sheet %
32%
71%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.9
Avg corners
4.4
12.8
Avg shots
12.4
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.5
12.3
Avg fouls
12.9
49.9%
Avg possession
46.5%
Home vs Away
Birmingham
Home (5)
—
Millwall
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
2.20
Goals / game
1.40
1.40
Conceded / game
2.00
88%
BTTS %
58%
13%
Clean sheet %
25%
88%
Over 2.5 %
42%
5.9
Avg corners
4.4
12.8
Avg shots
12.4
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.5
49.9%
Avg possession
46.5%
Goals Scored
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 89% | 74% | 57% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 75% | 44% | 32% | 43% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 25% | 11% | 11% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 11% | 26% | 43% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 88% | 44% | 68% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 63% | 11% | 32% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 13% | 0% | 16% | 14% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 13% | 56% | 32% | 43% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Birmingham | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 5% |
| BTTS | 65% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Birmingham | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 76% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 6% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 94% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Birmingham (H)W
Preston4–0
Preston4–0D
Middlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2D
Wolves2–2
Wolves2–2D
Southampton1–1
Southampton1–1L
Brentford1–6
Brentford1–6D
Bristol City2–2
Bristol City2–2Millwall (A)WPreston1–0
Preston1–0DMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2L
Blackburn1–3
Blackburn1–3LSouthampton1–5
Southampton1–5W
Cambridge United1–0
Cambridge United1–0WBristol City2–0
Bristol City2–0Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.6
115 games
11.3
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Birmingham | Millwall | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 85% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 77% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 69% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 62% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 62% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 54% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 46% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 38% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Birmingham | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 6.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 62% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
8
Birmingham
33%
8
Draws
33%
8
Millwall
33%
71%
Over 1.5
17/24
42%
Over 2.5
10/24
33%
Over 3.5
8/24
33%
BTTS
8/24
25/02/26Birmingham
Millwall
3–0Birmingham04/11/25Millwall
Birmingham
4–0Millwall09/03/24Birmingham
Millwall
1–0Birmingham02/09/23Millwall
Birmingham
1–1Millwall18/04/23Birmingham
Millwall
0–1Birmingham02/11/22Millwall
Birmingham
0–0Millwall23/04/22Millwall
Birmingham
2–2Millwall04/12/21Birmingham
Millwall
3–1Birmingham17/02/21Birmingham
Millwall
2–0Birmingham28/11/20Millwall
Birmingham
0–0Millwall26/02/20Birmingham
Millwall
0–0Birmingham30/11/19Millwall
Birmingham
1–1Millwall13/03/19Millwall
Birmingham
0–2Millwall28/11/18Birmingham
Millwall
0–2Birmingham17/02/18Millwall
Birmingham
0–1Millwall21/10/17Birmingham
Millwall
2–0Birmingham10/02/15Millwall
Birmingham
0–1Millwall30/09/14Birmingham
Millwall
1–3Birmingham25/03/14Birmingham
Millwall
2–3Birmingham01/10/13Millwall
Birmingham
4–0Millwall| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 6 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 |  Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Birmingham- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Birmingham have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Birmingham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 73% of their goals in the first half.
Millwall- ●Millwall have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
BirminghamWHPreston4–0
Preston4–0WAWest Brom1–0
West Brom1–0DHMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WADerby2–1
Derby2–1LANorwich1–2
Norwich1–2DHWolves2–2
Wolves2–2–HQPR17/10
QPR17/10–ACardiff24/10
Cardiff24/10–ALincoln31/10
Lincoln31/10MillwallLHSwansea0–1
Swansea0–1WAPreston1–0
Preston1–0DHWest Ham2–2
West Ham2–2DAMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2LABlackburn1–3
Blackburn1–3WHBolton4–0
Bolton4–0–HLincoln17/10
Lincoln17/10–APortsmouth24/10
Portsmouth24/10–HDerby31/10
Derby31/10Top Scorers
BirminghamA. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
August Priske3 ⚽
K. Furuhashi2 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽
Liam Millar2 ⚽
MillwallLyndon Dykes4 ⚽
J. Cooper3 ⚽
M. Sykes3 ⚽
T. Arconte3 ⚽
Camiel Neghli3 ⚽
Caleb Taylor2 ⚽
Cards Given
BirminghamB. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Carlos Vicente3 🟨
Phil Neumann3 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
Alex Cochrane2 🟨
C. Klarer1 🟨
MillwallJenson Metcalfe4 🟨
Derek Mazou Sacko3 🟨
T. Arconte2 🟨
Lyndon Dykes2 🟨
J. Metcalfe2 🟨
Zak Sturge2 🟨