Derby vs Norwich — Championship
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Derby and Norwich meet in the Championship 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Derby have recorded 3 wins from 16 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Norwich have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Derby and 1.51 for Norwich. The models give Derby a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Norwich win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Derby—
Norwich23º
Position
19º
0.67
PPG
1.00
11%
Win %
33%
0.89
Goals / game
1.89
1.67
Conceded / game
2.11
63%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
30%
56%
Over 2.5 %
65%
5.5
Avg corners
4.4
11.6
Avg shots
14.4
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.8
Avg fouls
10.7
51.6%
Avg possession
50.2%
Home vs Away
Derby
Home (5)
—
Norwich
Away (5)
0.40
PPG
0.60
0%
Win %
20%
0.80
Goals / game
1.40
1.80
Conceded / game
2.20
71%
BTTS %
40%
0%
Clean sheet %
30%
71%
Over 2.5 %
70%
5.5
Avg corners
4.4
11.6
Avg shots
14.4
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
51.6%
Avg possession
50.2%
Goals Scored
| Derby | Home | Away | Norwich | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 71% | 80% | 65% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 14% | 30% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 0% | 10% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 29% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Derby | Home | Away | Norwich | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 80% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 71% | 40% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 14% | 30% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 0% | 20% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derby | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 25% |
| BTTS | 65% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derby | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 19% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Derby (H)D
Wrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1L
Birmingham1–2
Birmingham1–2L
West Brom0–1
West Brom0–1L
Swansea0–3
Swansea0–3D
Cardiff2–2
Cardiff2–2L
Lincoln1–2
Lincoln1–2Norwich (A)LSwansea1–2
Swansea1–2L
Manchester City0–5
Manchester City0–5L
Middlesbrough3–4
Middlesbrough3–4W
Sheffield Utd3–1
Sheffield Utd3–1L
Stoke City0–1
Stoke City0–1WCardiff2–1
Cardiff2–1Number of Corners
11.5
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
10.6
115 games
8.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Derby | Norwich | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 75% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 42% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 80% | 42% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 25% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 8% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 40% | 8% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 30% | 0% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Derby | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 90% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 42% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
5
Derby
36%
5
Draws
36%
4
Norwich
29%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
43%
Over 2.5
6/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
64%
BTTS
9/14
21/04/26Derby
Norwich
2–1Derby21/10/25Norwich
Derby
1–0Norwich08/02/25Derby
Norwich
1–1Derby28/09/24Norwich
Derby
2–3Norwich10/04/21Norwich
Derby
0–1Norwich03/10/20Derby
Norwich
0–1Derby29/12/18Derby
Norwich
3–4Derby03/10/18Norwich
Derby
1–1Norwich10/02/18Norwich
Derby
1–1Norwich28/10/17Derby
Norwich
1–2Derby02/01/17Derby
Norwich
3–0Derby26/11/16Norwich
Derby
1–0Norwich14/03/15Derby
Norwich
1–1Derby20/12/14Norwich
Derby
2–2Norwich| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Derby- ●Derby have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Derby have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Derby's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Derby have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Norwich- ●Norwich have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Norwich have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Norwich have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Norwich have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Norwich have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DerbyLAQPR1–4
QPR1–4DHWrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1DABurnley1–1
Burnley1–1LHBirmingham1–2
Birmingham1–2LHWest Brom0–1
West Brom0–1LAWest Ham0–3
West Ham0–3–HStoke City17/10
Stoke City17/10–ASheffield Utd24/10
Sheffield Utd24/10–AMillwall31/10
Millwall31/10NorwichLHSouthampton0–1
Southampton0–1LASwansea1–2
Swansea1–2LHBolton3–4
Bolton3–4LAMiddlesbrough3–4
Middlesbrough3–4WHBirmingham2–1
Birmingham2–1WASheffield Utd3–1
Sheffield Utd3–1–HPortsmouth17/10
Portsmouth17/10–ACharlton24/10
Charlton24/10–HWatford31/10
Watford31/10Top Scorers
DerbyS. Szmodics4 ⚽
C. Morris2 ⚽
B. Clark2 ⚽
C. Smith1 ⚽
D. Brown1 ⚽
J. Ward1 ⚽
NorwichMohamed Toure3 ⚽
M. Toure3 ⚽
A. Brooks3 ⚽
M. Kvistgaarden2 ⚽
A. Slimane2 ⚽
H. Darling2 ⚽
Cards Given
DerbyL. Travis3 🟨
3 🟨
Mohammed Fuseini2 🟨
D. Ozoh2 🟨
Alex Mowatt2 🟨
D. Sanderson2 🟨
NorwichJ. Cordoba5 🟨
Kellen Fisher2 🟨
A. Brooks2 🟨
Jack Stacey2 🟨
Jose Cordoba2 🟨
Ante Crnac1 🟨