Watford vs Lincoln — Championship
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Vicarage Road·Watford·England·22,200
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Watford and Lincoln meet in the Championship 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Watford have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Lincoln have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Watford and 1.35 for Lincoln. The models give Watford a 33% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Lincoln win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Watford—
Lincoln22º
Position
17º
0.80
PPG
1.22
20%
Win %
33%
0.80
Goals / game
0.78
1.90
Conceded / game
1.22
56%
BTTS %
44%
13%
Clean sheet %
33%
56%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.2
Avg corners
3.5
14.4
Avg shots
11.9
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
10.9
Avg fouls
13.1
48.7%
Avg possession
40.5%
Home vs Away
Watford
Home (5)
—
Lincoln
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
1.80
40%
Win %
60%
1.20
Goals / game
0.80
1.80
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
38%
22%
Clean sheet %
38%
67%
Over 2.5 %
62%
4.2
Avg corners
3.5
14.4
Avg shots
11.9
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
48.7%
Avg possession
40.5%
Goals Scored
| Watford | Home | Away | Lincoln | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 78% | 57% | 72% | 60% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 14% | 11% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 11% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 22% | 43% | 28% | 40% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Watford | Home | Away | Lincoln | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 78% | 100% | 67% | 80% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 33% | 57% | 50% | 60% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 22% | 14% | 28% | 20% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 22% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Watford | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 56% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Watford | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 63% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 81% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 63% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 94% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Watford (H)L
Burnley0–4
Burnley0–4L
Stoke City1–2
Stoke City1–2W
Preston2–1
Preston2–1D
West Ham1–1
West Ham1–1L
Peterborough1–5
Peterborough1–5W
Southampton2–1
Southampton2–1Lincoln (A)L
Sheffield Utd0–3
Sheffield Utd0–3W
Bristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0WPreston1–0
Preston1–0L
Bournemouth0–4
Bournemouth0–4W
Bolton1–0
Bolton1–0W
Blackpool4–1
Blackpool4–1Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.6
115 games
10.3
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Watford | Lincoln | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 75% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 75% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 67% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 42% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 33% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 25% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Watford | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 6.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 58% | 58% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 |  Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Watford- ●Watford have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Watford have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Watford have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Watford have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Watford's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Watford's points have been earned at home.
- ●Watford have conceded 79% of their goals in the first half.
Lincoln- ●Lincoln have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lincoln have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Lincoln's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
WatfordLACardiff1–5
Cardiff1–5LHBurnley0–4
Burnley0–4LABristol City0–1
Bristol City0–1LHStoke City1–2
Stoke City1–2WHPreston2–1
Preston2–1LAWest Brom0–1
West Brom0–1–HCharlton17/10
Charlton17/10–AWolves24/10
Wolves24/10–ANorwich31/10
Norwich31/10LincolnLASheffield Utd0–3
Sheffield Utd0–3LHSwansea1–2
Swansea1–2WABristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0WAPreston1–0
Preston1–0DHSouthampton1–1
Southampton1–1DHBlackburn0–0
Blackburn0–0–HWest Ham14/10
West Ham14/10–AMillwall17/10
Millwall17/10–HBurnley24/10
Burnley24/10Top Scorers
WatfordA. Nabizada3 ⚽
M. Doumbia2 ⚽
L. Kjerrumgaard2 ⚽
Hector Kyprianou1 ⚽
I. Bravo1 ⚽
M. Bola1 ⚽
LincolnB. House2 ⚽
D. Jefferies2 ⚽
T. Bayliss2 ⚽
F. Draper2 ⚽
R. Hackett-Fairchild1 ⚽
R. Street1 ⚽
Cards Given
Watford3 🟨
Edo Kayembe3 🟨
Amin Nabizada3 🟨
Iker Bravo2 🟨
H. Kyprianou2 🟨
E. Bove2 🟨
LincolnF. Draper4 🟨
Conor McGrandles2 🟨
C. Cohen2 🟨
C. McGrandles2 🟨
Ben House2 🟨
B. House2 🟨