Wrexham vs Middlesbrough — Championship
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Wrexham and Middlesbrough meet in the Championship 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Wrexham have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.92 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Middlesbrough have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Wrexham and 1.48 for Middlesbrough. The models give Wrexham a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Middlesbrough win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Wrexham—
Middlesbrough17º
Position
2º
1.10
PPG
2.10
20%
Win %
60%
1.10
Goals / game
2.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.40
54%
BTTS %
75%
31%
Clean sheet %
19%
38%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.8
Avg corners
5.6
10.8
Avg shots
17.4
3.4
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.3
10.8
Avg fouls
10.7
49.1%
Avg possession
57.3%
Home vs Away
Wrexham
Home (5)
—
Middlesbrough
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.60
20%
Win %
40%
1.20
Goals / game
1.60
1.40
Conceded / game
1.40
100%
BTTS %
75%
0%
Clean sheet %
13%
60%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.8
Avg corners
5.6
10.8
Avg shots
17.4
3.4
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.3
49.1%
Avg possession
57.3%
Goals Scored
| Wrexham | Home | Away | Middlesbrough | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 100% | 50% | 94% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 15% | 20% | 13% | 50% | 63% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 13% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 0% | 50% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Wrexham | Home | Away | Middlesbrough | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 100% | 50% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 40% | 13% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 38% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 0% | 50% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Wrexham | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 19% |
| BTTS | 54% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Wrexham | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Wrexham (H)L
West Brom1–2
West Brom1–2W
Southampton2–1
Southampton2–1D
Burnley1–1
Burnley1–1L
Birmingham1–2
Birmingham1–2D
Watford1–1
Watford1–1L
Sunderland0–1
Sunderland0–1Middlesbrough (A)W
Stoke City3–2
Stoke City3–2DBirmingham2–2
Birmingham2–2L
Crystal Palace0–3
Crystal Palace0–3W
QPR1–0
QPR1–0DBurnley1–1
Burnley1–1W
Doncaster3–1
Doncaster3–1Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
10.6
119 games
9.9
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Wrexham | Middlesbrough | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 92% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 77% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 54% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 54% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 31% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 31% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 23% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 15% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Wrexham | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 54% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Wrexham
0%
2
Draws
67%
1
Middlesbrough
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
07/08/26Wrexham
Middlesbrough
1–0Wrexham02/05/26Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2–2Middlesbrough25/10/25Wrexham
Middlesbrough
1–1Wrexham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 |  Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Wrexham- ●Wrexham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Wrexham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Wrexham have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Wrexham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
Middlesbrough- ●Middlesbrough have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
WrexhamLHWest Brom1–2
West Brom1–2DADerby1–1
Derby1–1WHSouthampton2–1
Southampton2–1LAWest Ham0–6
West Ham0–6DHBurnley1–1
Burnley1–1DASwansea0–0
Swansea0–0–HPreston17/10
Preston17/10–ABlackburn24/10
Blackburn24/10–ASheffield Utd30/10
Sheffield Utd30/10MiddlesbroughWAStoke City3–2
Stoke City3–2WHWolves1–0
Wolves1–0DABirmingham2–2
Birmingham2–2DHMillwall2–2
Millwall2–2WHNorwich4–3
Norwich4–3WAQPR1–0
QPR1–0–HCardiff17/10
Cardiff17/10–ABolton23/10
Bolton23/10–HCharlton31/10
Charlton31/10Top Scorers
WrexhamK. Moore2 ⚽
Kieffer Moore2 ⚽
J. Ekomie1 ⚽
Jacques Ekomié1 ⚽
Oliver Rathbone1 ⚽
C. Doyle1 ⚽
MiddlesbroughW. Lankshear6 ⚽
will lankshear4 ⚽
Sebastian Berhalter2 ⚽
J. Sarmiento2 ⚽
Amario Cozier-Duberry2 ⚽
L. Castledine2 ⚽
Cards Given
WrexhamD. Hyam2 🟨
Dominic Hyam2 🟨
Ben Whiteman1 🟨
C. Doyle1 🟨
B. Whiteman1 🟨
B. Cadamarteri1 🟨
Middlesbrough2 🟨
Neto Borges2 🟨
Riley McGree2 🟨
Sebastian Berhalter2 🟨
W. Lankshear2 🟨
A.Malanda2 🟨