Birmingham vs Swansea — Championship
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Birmingham and Swansea meet in the Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Birmingham have recorded 9 wins from 17 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Swansea have won 56% of their 16 matches, with 1.31 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Birmingham and 1.50 for Swansea. The models give Birmingham a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Swansea win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Birmingham—
Swansea3º
Position
1º
1.70
PPG
2.30
40%
Win %
70%
1.70
Goals / game
1.60
1.10
Conceded / game
0.70
65%
BTTS %
38%
35%
Clean sheet %
44%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.9
Avg corners
4.1
12.8
Avg shots
12.4
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.3
Avg fouls
9.6
49.9%
Avg possession
55.0%
Home vs Away
Birmingham
Home (5)
—
Swansea
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
2.40
20%
Win %
80%
2.20
Goals / game
1.80
1.40
Conceded / game
1.00
88%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
33%
88%
Over 2.5 %
83%
5.9
Avg corners
4.1
12.8
Avg shots
12.4
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.7
49.9%
Avg possession
55.0%
Goals Scored
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Swansea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 89% | 69% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 75% | 44% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 25% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 11% | 31% | 40% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Swansea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 88% | 44% | 56% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 63% | 11% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 13% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 13% | 56% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Birmingham | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 0% |
| BTTS | 65% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Birmingham | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 76% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 6% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 94% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Birmingham (H)W
Preston4–0
Preston4–0D
Middlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2D
Wolves2–2
Wolves2–2D
Southampton1–1
Southampton1–1L
Brentford1–6
Brentford1–6D
Bristol City2–2
Bristol City2–2Swansea (A)W
Millwall1–0
Millwall1–0W
Lincoln2–1
Lincoln2–1LSouthampton1–3
Southampton1–3W
Derby3–0
Derby3–0W
Stoke City2–1
Stoke City2–1L
Merthyr Town0–3
Merthyr Town0–3Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.6
115 games
8.9
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Birmingham | Swansea | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 82% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 73% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 64% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 36% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 27% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 18% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 9% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 9% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Birmingham | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 36% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
6
Birmingham
35%
8
Draws
47%
3
Swansea
18%
65%
Over 1.5
11/17
53%
Over 2.5
9/17
35%
Over 3.5
6/17
59%
BTTS
10/17
08/08/26Birmingham
Swansea
0–1Birmingham17/01/26Birmingham
Swansea
1–1Birmingham20/09/25Swansea
Birmingham
1–0Swansea13/01/24Swansea
Birmingham
2–2Swansea05/08/23Birmingham
Swansea
1–1Birmingham04/02/23Birmingham
Swansea
3–4Birmingham08/11/22Swansea
Birmingham
2–2Swansea19/03/22Birmingham
Swansea
0–0Birmingham23/10/21Swansea
Birmingham
2–1Swansea02/04/21Swansea
Birmingham
1–0Swansea19/09/20Birmingham
Swansea
0–0Birmingham08/07/20Swansea
Birmingham
1–3Swansea25/08/19Birmingham
Swansea
3–0Birmingham29/01/19Birmingham
Swansea
3–3Birmingham17/08/18Swansea
Birmingham
0–0Swansea25/01/14Swansea
Birmingham
1–2Swansea25/09/13Swansea
Birmingham
3–1Swansea| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 |  Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Birmingham- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Birmingham have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Birmingham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 73% of their goals in the first half.
Swansea- ●Swansea have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Swansea have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Swansea have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Swansea have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Swansea have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Swansea have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Swansea have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Swansea have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
BirminghamWHPreston4–0
Preston4–0WAWest Brom1–0
West Brom1–0DHMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WADerby2–1
Derby2–1LANorwich1–2
Norwich1–2DHWolves2–2
Wolves2–2–HQPR17/10
QPR17/10–ACardiff24/10
Cardiff24/10–ALincoln31/10
Lincoln31/10SwanseaWAMillwall1–0
Millwall1–0WHNorwich2–1
Norwich2–1WALincoln2–1
Lincoln2–1WHBurnley3–1
Burnley3–1LASouthampton1–3
Southampton1–3DHWrexham0–0
Wrexham0–0–HWest Ham17/10
West Ham17/10–AQPR24/10
QPR24/10–HBlackburn31/10
Blackburn31/10Top Scorers
BirminghamA. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
August Priske3 ⚽
K. Furuhashi2 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽
Liam Millar2 ⚽
SwanseaA. Idah3 ⚽
J. Opoku3 ⚽
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo3 ⚽
Zan Vipotnik2 ⚽
Adam Idah2 ⚽
Eom Ji-Sung2 ⚽
Cards Given
BirminghamB. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Carlos Vicente3 🟨
Phil Neumann3 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
Alex Cochrane2 🟨
C. Klarer1 🟨
SwanseaFilip Lissah3 🟨
M. Widell2 🟨
F. Lissah2 🟨
Jay Fulton2 🟨
J. Fulton1 🟨
E. Just1 🟨