Cardiff vs Burnley — Championship
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Cardiff and Burnley meet in the Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Cardiff have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 2.19 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 81% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Burnley have won 6% of their 18 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 83%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for Cardiff and 1.44 for Burnley. The models give Cardiff a 52% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Burnley win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff—
Burnley18º
Position
21º
1.00
PPG
0.80
20%
Win %
10%
1.60
Goals / game
1.50
1.50
Conceded / game
1.90
81%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Clean sheet %
11%
75%
Over 2.5 %
61%
7.1
Avg corners
5.6
17.4
Avg shots
14.8
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.1
Avg fouls
9.8
63.3%
Avg possession
52.6%
Home vs Away
Cardiff
Home (5)
—
Burnley
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
2.40
Goals / game
1.60
1.20
Conceded / game
2.20
89%
BTTS %
80%
0%
Clean sheet %
20%
78%
Over 2.5 %
70%
7.1
Avg corners
5.6
17.4
Avg shots
14.8
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
63.3%
Avg possession
52.6%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff | Home | Away | Burnley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 89% | 71% | 89% | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 56% | 43% | 22% | 38% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 44% | 29% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 11% | 29% | 11% | 13% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff | Home | Away | Burnley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 44% | 57% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 11% | 0% | 28% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 11% |
| BTTS | 81% | 83% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 44% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 13% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 94% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff (H)W
Watford5–1
Watford5–1W
Charlton3–1
Charlton3–1D
Stoke City1–1
Stoke City1–1D
Sheffield Utd2–2
Sheffield Utd2–2L
Norwich1–2
Norwich1–2D
Wrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1Burnley (A)WWatford4–0
Watford4–0L
Swansea1–3
Swansea1–3DWrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1LNorwich1–4
Norwich1–4D
Bradford0–0
Bradford0–0L
West Brom1–3
West Brom1–3Number of Corners
11.4
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.6
115 games
10.2
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Cardiff | Burnley | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 92% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 42% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 58% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 58% | 33% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 17% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cardiff | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.1 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 92% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 50% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
3
Cardiff
21%
6
Draws
43%
5
Burnley
36%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
23/09/25Cardiff
Burnley
1–2Cardiff04/03/25Burnley
Cardiff
1–2Burnley17/08/24Cardiff
Burnley
5–0Cardiff08/05/23Cardiff
Burnley
3–0Cardiff01/10/22Burnley
Cardiff
1–1Burnley13/04/19Cardiff
Burnley
2–0Cardiff30/09/18Burnley
Cardiff
1–2Burnley05/04/16Cardiff
Burnley
0–0Cardiff28/11/15Burnley
Cardiff
2–2Burnley20/04/13Cardiff
Burnley
1–1Cardiff27/10/12Burnley
Cardiff
4–0Burnley18/03/12Burnley
Cardiff
0–0Burnley25/10/11Burnley
Cardiff
1–0Burnley20/08/11Cardiff
Burnley
1–1Cardiff| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Cardiff- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Cardiff have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Cardiff have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Cardiff's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Cardiff's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Cardiff have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Burnley- ●Burnley have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Burnley have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
CardiffWHWatford5–1
Watford5–1LABlackburn1–2
Blackburn1–2WHCharlton3–1
Charlton3–1LABolton0–1
Bolton0–1DHStoke City1–1
Stoke City1–1LAPortsmouth0–2
Portsmouth0–2–AMiddlesbrough17/10
Middlesbrough17/10–HBirmingham24/10
Birmingham24/10–AWolves31/10
Wolves31/10BurnleyDHCharlton2–2
Charlton2–2WAWatford4–0
Watford4–0DHDerby1–1
Derby1–1LASwansea1–3
Swansea1–3DAWrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1LHBristol City1–2
Bristol City1–2–HWolves16/10
Wolves16/10–ALincoln24/10
Lincoln24/10–HPortsmouth31/10
Portsmouth31/10Top Scorers
CardiffY. Salech7 ⚽
Jack Moylan4 ⚽
C. Ashford4 ⚽
C. Willock3 ⚽
I. Davies3 ⚽
J. Moylan2 ⚽
BurnleyZ. Flemming5 ⚽
Zeki Amdouni3 ⚽
J. Laurent2 ⚽
Largie Ramazani2 ⚽
Jacob Bruun Larsen2 ⚽
Aaron Ramsey1 ⚽
Cards Given
CardiffPerry Tian Hee Ng3 🟨
A. Robertson2 🟨
Alexander Sean Pablo Robertson2 🟨
Joel Colwill2 🟨
Ollie·Tanner2 🟨
I. Davies1 🟨
BurnleyJ. Laurent4 🟨
Z. Flemming2 🟨
Ugo Raghouber2 🟨
Lucas Pires Silva2 🟨
Igor Júlio2 🟨
Armando Broja1 🟨