Middlesbrough vs Bristol City — Championship
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Riverside Stadium·Middlesbrough·England·34,988
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Middlesbrough and Bristol City meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Middlesbrough have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Bristol City have won 35% of their 20 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.95 for Middlesbrough and 1.68 for Bristol City. The models give Middlesbrough a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Bristol City win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Middlesbrough—
Bristol City3º
Position
16º
2.00
PPG
1.27
55%
Win %
36%
2.00
Goals / game
1.09
1.45
Conceded / game
1.36
76%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
20%
71%
Over 2.5 %
40%
6.0
Avg corners
6.1
18.7
Avg shots
15.5
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.2
10.6
Avg fouls
11.0
57.3%
Avg possession
48.7%
Home vs Away
Middlesbrough
Home (6)
—
Bristol City
Away (5)
2.33
PPG
1.60
67%
Win %
40%
2.33
Goals / game
1.80
1.50
Conceded / game
1.80
78%
BTTS %
73%
22%
Clean sheet %
18%
78%
Over 2.5 %
55%
6.0
Avg corners
6.1
18.7
Avg shots
15.5
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.2
57.3%
Avg possession
48.7%
Goals Scored
| Middlesbrough | Home | Away | Bristol City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 88% | 60% | 33% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 67% | 38% | 40% | 22% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 13% | 40% | 67% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Middlesbrough | Home | Away | Bristol City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 78% | 88% | 80% | 78% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 56% | 50% | 25% | 11% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 33% | 13% | 10% | 0% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 22% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Middlesbrough | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS | 76% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Middlesbrough | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Middlesbrough (H)D
Cardiff2–2
Cardiff2–2W
Wolves1–0
Wolves1–0D
Millwall2–2
Millwall2–2W
Norwich4–3
Norwich4–3W
West Brom3–1
West Brom3–1W
Lincoln2–1
Lincoln2–1Bristol City (A)D
Charlton1–1
Charlton1–1W
Crystal Palace2–0
Crystal Palace2–0L
Southampton1–4
Southampton1–4W
Burnley2–1
Burnley2–1W
Preston3–1
Preston3–1D
Birmingham2–2
Birmingham2–2Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.4
131 games
11.3
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Middlesbrough | Bristol City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 42% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 25% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Middlesbrough | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 75% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
5
Middlesbrough
21%
5
Draws
21%
14
Bristol City
58%
79%
Over 1.5
19/24
50%
Over 2.5
12/24
25%
Over 3.5
6/24
63%
BTTS
15/24
14/03/26Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1–1Bristol City20/12/25Middlesbrough
Bristol City
2–0Middlesbrough21/02/25Middlesbrough
Bristol City
2–1Middlesbrough19/10/24Bristol City
Middlesbrough
0–2Bristol City10/02/24Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1–2Bristol City25/11/23Middlesbrough
Bristol City
3–2Middlesbrough10/04/23Middlesbrough
Bristol City
2–2Middlesbrough05/11/22Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1–1Bristol City19/02/22Middlesbrough
Bristol City
2–1Middlesbrough14/08/21Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2–1Bristol City23/02/21Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1–3Bristol City20/10/20Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0–1Middlesbrough11/07/20Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1–3Bristol City31/08/19Middlesbrough
Bristol City
2–2Middlesbrough02/04/19Bristol City
Middlesbrough
0–1Bristol City18/08/18Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0–2Middlesbrough14/04/18Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2–1Bristol City02/12/17Middlesbrough
Bristol City
2–1Middlesbrough16/01/16Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1–0Middlesbrough22/08/15Bristol City
Middlesbrough
0–1Bristol City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 2 |  West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 22 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 17 |
| 8 | Wolves | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  QPR | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 |  Portsmouth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 |  Bolton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 20 |  Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -4 | 9 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -15 | 4 |
Team Insights
Middlesbrough- ●Middlesbrough have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Middlesbrough's goals have been scored at home.
Bristol City- ●Bristol City have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bristol City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bristol City have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bristol City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bristol City have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bristol City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bristol City have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Bristol City's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
MiddlesbroughDHCardiff2–2
Cardiff2–2WAStoke City3–2
Stoke City3–2WHWolves1–0
Wolves1–0DABirmingham2–2
Birmingham2–2DHMillwall2–2
Millwall2–2WHNorwich4–3
Norwich4–3–ABolton23/10
Bolton23/10–HCharlton31/10
Charlton31/10–AWrexham04/11
Wrexham04/11Bristol CityLHSheffield Utd0–1
Sheffield Utd0–1LHBlackburn0–1
Blackburn0–1DACharlton1–1
Charlton1–1WHWatford1–0
Watford1–0LHLincoln0–1
Lincoln0–1LASouthampton1–4
Southampton1–4–AStoke City24/10
Stoke City24/10–ABolton31/10
Bolton31/10–HWolves04/11
Wolves04/11Top Scorers
MiddlesbroughW. Lankshear6 ⚽
will lankshear5 ⚽
Sebastian Berhalter2 ⚽
J. Sarmiento2 ⚽
Amario Cozier-Duberry2 ⚽
L. Castledine2 ⚽
Bristol CityL. Tolaj4 ⚽
S. Twine3 ⚽
D. Ballard2 ⚽
E. Yeboah1 ⚽
L. Eissat1 ⚽
J. Wallace1 ⚽
Cards Given
Middlesbrough2 🟨
Neto Borges2 🟨
Riley McGree2 🟨
Sebastian Berhalter2 🟨
W. Lankshear2 🟨
A.Malanda2 🟨
Bristol CityA. Randell3 🟨
Lisav Naif Eissat2 🟨
J. Knight2 🟨
1 🟨
Jason Knight1 🟨
Joe Williams1 🟨