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Millwall vs QPR — Championship

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Millwall
Millwall
12º · 1.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 1h
vs
–
–
QPR
QPR
9º · 1.55 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 22h
The Den·London·England·20,146
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Millwall and QPR meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Millwall have recorded 7 wins from 20 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. QPR have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 28%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Millwall and 1.42 for QPR. The models give Millwall a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an QPR win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Millwall
—
QPR
12º
Position
9º
1.36
PPG
1.55
36%
Win %
36%
1.64
Goals / game
1.36
1.64
Conceded / game
1.09
45%
BTTS %
61%
30%
Clean sheet %
28%
50%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.9
Avg corners
5.6
12.8
Avg shots
14.7
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
13.0
Avg fouls
8.4
48.2%
Avg possession
49.3%

Home vs Away

Millwall
Home (6)
—
QPR
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
33%
1.83
Goals / game
1.17
1.33
Conceded / game
1.17
25%
BTTS %
60%
38%
Clean sheet %
30%
63%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.9
Avg corners
5.6
12.8
Avg shots
14.7
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
48.2%
Avg possession
49.3%

Goals Scored

MillwallHomeAwayQPRHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%63%83%72%75%70%
Over 1.5 Scored35%50%25%50%50%50%
Over 2.5 Scored10%25%0%33%25%40%
Failed To Score25%38%17%28%25%30%

Goals Conceded

MillwallHomeAwayQPRHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded70%63%75%72%75%70%
Over 1.5 Conceded35%38%33%22%25%20%
Over 2.5 Conceded15%13%17%6%0%10%
Clean Sheets30%38%25%28%25%30%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MillwallQPR
Over 0.5100%83%
Over 1.565%72%
Over 2.550%56%
Over 3.530%39%
Over 4.55%22%
BTTS45%61%
BTTS & Win5%39%
BTTS & Draw25%22%
BTTS & Over 2.535%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.515%11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MillwallQPR
Win 1st Half35%44%
Draw 1st Half35%39%
Loss 1st Half30%17%
Scored 1st Half40%50%
Conceded 1st Half30%33%
Win 2nd Half35%22%
Draw 2nd Half15%67%
Loss 2nd Half50%11%
Scored 2nd Half50%56%
Conceded 2nd Half55%50%
Over 0.5 HT65%67%
Over 1.5 HT25%39%

Recent Venue Form

Millwall (H)
DLincoln2–2
LSwansea0–1
DWest Ham2–2
LNewcastle0–1
WBolton4–0
LWrexham0–3
QPR (A)
LBirmingham0–3
DWest Ham1–1
DWest Brom1–1
DCharlton0–0
WBlackburn2–1
WPortsmouth3–1

Number of Corners

11.5
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.4
131 games
8.9
Corners / Match
12 games
Match CornersMillwallQPRLeague Avg
Over 686%67%89%
Over 779%50%80%
Over 871%42%67%
Over 964%42%57%
Over 1064%33%46%
Over 1157%25%38%
Over 1250%25%28%
Over 1343%17%21%

Team Corners

Team CornersMillwallQPR
Corners Earned / Match4.95.6
Corners Against / Match6.63.3
Over 2.5 Corners For64%83%
Over 3.5 Corners For50%50%
Over 4.5 Corners For36%42%
Over 2.5 Corners Against79%75%
Over 3.5 Corners Against71%42%
Over 4.5 Corners Against57%25%

Head to Head · 21 matches

7
Millwall
33%
8
Draws
38%
6
QPR
29%
90%
Over 1.5
19/21
38%
Over 2.5
8/21
19%
Over 3.5
4/21
62%
BTTS
13/21
08/08/26
QPR
1–1
Millwall
18/04/26
Millwall
2–0
QPR
18/10/25
QPR
1–2
Millwall
01/02/25
Millwall
2–1
QPR
21/09/24
QPR
1–1
Millwall
20/01/24
QPR
2–0
Millwall
26/12/23
Millwall
2–0
QPR
11/02/23
QPR
1–2
Millwall
14/09/22
Millwall
0–2
QPR
15/02/22
Millwall
2–0
QPR
07/08/21
QPR
1–1
Millwall
17/03/21
QPR
3–2
Millwall
08/12/20
Millwall
1–1
QPR
18/07/20
QPR
4–3
Millwall
21/09/19
Millwall
1–2
QPR
10/04/19
Millwall
0–0
QPR
19/09/18
QPR
2–0
Millwall
29/12/17
Millwall
1–0
QPR
12/09/17
QPR
2–2
Millwall
26/04/14
QPR
1–1
Millwall
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Swansea11722+823
2West Ham11641+1822
3Middlesbrough11641+622
4Birmingham11551+920
5West Brom11623+320
6Stoke City11614+219
7Southampton11632+1117
8Wolves10523+317
9QPR11452+317
10Blackburn11434+115
11Sheffield Utd11434+115
12Millwall11434015
13Portsmouth10424014
14Wrexham11353-114
15Bolton11425-314
16Bristol City11425-314
17Charlton11353-514
18Lincoln11335-1012
19Cardiff11254+111
20Watford11326-911
21Norwich11308-49
22Burnley11155-58
23Derby11137-116
24Preston11119-154

Team Insights

Millwall
  • ●Millwall have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Millwall have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
QPR
  • ●QPR failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●QPR failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●QPR failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●QPR have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
DHLincoln18º2–2
LHSwansea1º0–1
WAPreston24º1–0
DHWest Ham2º2–2
DAMiddlesbrough3º2–2
LABlackburn10º1–3
LHNewcastle0–1
WHBolton15º4–0
LHWrexham14º0–3
LASouthampton7º1–5
LABirmingham4º0–3
WHDerby23º4–1
DAWest Ham2º1–1
DHPreston24º2–2
DAWest Brom5º1–1
DACharlton17º0–0
LHMiddlesbrough3º0–1
WHCardiff19º2–1
WABlackburn10º2–1
DHBolton15º0–0

Season Schedule

Millwall
DHLincoln2–2
LHSwansea0–1
WAPreston1–0
DHWest Ham2–2
DAMiddlesbrough2–2
LABlackburn1–3
–APortsmouth24/10
–HDerby31/10
–ABirmingham03/11
QPR
LABirmingham0–3
WHDerby4–1
DAWest Ham1–1
DHPreston2–2
DAWest Brom1–1
DACharlton0–0
–HSwansea24/10
–ASouthampton31/10
–HBurnley03/11

Top Scorers

Millwall
Lyndon Dykes4 ⚽
M. Sykes3 ⚽
Camiel Neghli3 ⚽
J. Cooper3 ⚽
T. Arconte3 ⚽
Caleb Taylor2 ⚽
QPR
R. Burrell3 ⚽
P. Smyth3 ⚽
A. Lloyd3 ⚽
I. Chair3 ⚽
Nicolas Madsen2 ⚽
K. Saito2 ⚽

Cards Given

Millwall
Jenson Metcalfe4 🟨
Derek Mazou Sacko3 🟨
Zak Sturge3 🟨
Lyndon Dykes2 🟨
Kyrell Lisbie2 🟨
J. Metcalfe2 🟨
QPR
Glen Kamara4 🟨
Julien Stéphan2 🟨
Jake Clarke-Salter2 🟨
Harvey Vale2 🟨
J. Clarke-Salter2 🟨
R. Edwards2 🟨