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Stoke City vs Birmingham — Championship

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Stoke City
Stoke City
6º · 1.73 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 1h
vs
–
–
Birmingham
Birmingham
4º · 1.82 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 1h
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Stoke City and Birmingham meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Stoke City have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Birmingham have won 56% of their 18 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 39%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Stoke City and 1.39 for Birmingham. The models give Stoke City a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Birmingham win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Stoke City
—
Birmingham
6º
Position
4º
1.73
PPG
1.82
55%
Win %
45%
1.64
Goals / game
1.82
1.45
Conceded / game
1.00
65%
BTTS %
61%
29%
Clean sheet %
39%
47%
Over 2.5 %
72%
4.0
Avg corners
5.5
11.2
Avg shots
12.7
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.6
Avg fouls
12.3
45.2%
Avg possession
50.1%

Home vs Away

Stoke City
Home (5)
—
Birmingham
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
2.00
60%
Win %
60%
2.00
Goals / game
1.20
1.20
Conceded / game
0.80
50%
BTTS %
44%
40%
Clean sheet %
56%
40%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.0
Avg corners
5.5
11.2
Avg shots
12.7
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.1
45.2%
Avg possession
50.1%

Goals Scored

Stoke CityHomeAwayBirminghamHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored94%90%100%94%100%89%
Over 1.5 Scored35%40%29%61%78%44%
Over 2.5 Scored6%10%0%22%33%11%
Failed To Score6%10%0%6%0%11%

Goals Conceded

Stoke CityHomeAwayBirminghamHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded71%60%86%61%78%44%
Over 1.5 Conceded24%20%29%33%56%11%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%10%29%6%11%0%
Clean Sheets29%40%14%39%22%56%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Stoke CityBirmingham
Over 0.5100%94%
Over 1.576%78%
Over 2.547%72%
Over 3.524%39%
Over 4.512%6%
BTTS65%61%
BTTS & Win18%22%
BTTS & Draw24%28%
BTTS & Over 2.541%56%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Stoke CityBirmingham
Win 1st Half35%44%
Draw 1st Half53%33%
Loss 1st Half12%22%
Scored 1st Half59%78%
Conceded 1st Half29%50%
Win 2nd Half29%50%
Draw 2nd Half29%44%
Loss 2nd Half41%6%
Scored 2nd Half47%67%
Conceded 2nd Half59%33%
Over 0.5 HT65%94%
Over 1.5 HT29%44%

Recent Venue Form

Stoke City (H)
LMiddlesbrough2–3
WSheffield Utd2–1
WCharlton4–0
WNorwich1–0
DHull City1–1
LSwansea1–2
Birmingham (A)
WWest Brom1–0
WDerby2–1
LNorwich1–2
WWrexham2–1
DSheffield Utd0–0
WSwansea1–0

Number of Corners

8.9
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.4
131 games
10.2
Corners / Match
13 games
Match CornersStoke CityBirminghamLeague Avg
Over 677%92%89%
Over 769%92%80%
Over 846%77%67%
Over 931%62%57%
Over 1031%31%46%
Over 1123%31%38%
Over 1215%23%28%
Over 138%15%21%

Team Corners

Team CornersStoke CityBirmingham
Corners Earned / Match4.05.5
Corners Against / Match4.94.8
Over 2.5 Corners For77%92%
Over 3.5 Corners For62%85%
Over 4.5 Corners For31%62%
Over 2.5 Corners Against92%92%
Over 3.5 Corners Against69%62%
Over 4.5 Corners Against54%46%

Head to Head · 17 matches

4
Stoke City
24%
6
Draws
35%
7
Birmingham
41%
71%
Over 1.5
12/17
41%
Over 2.5
7/17
24%
Over 3.5
4/17
53%
BTTS
9/17
24/01/26
Birmingham
1–1
Stoke City
13/09/25
Stoke City
1–0
Birmingham
20/01/24
Stoke City
1–2
Birmingham
26/12/23
Birmingham
1–3
Stoke City
10/04/23
Birmingham
0–0
Stoke City
05/11/22
Stoke City
1–2
Birmingham
19/02/22
Stoke City
2–2
Birmingham
14/08/21
Birmingham
0–0
Stoke City
10/04/21
Birmingham
2–0
Stoke City
04/10/20
Stoke City
1–1
Birmingham
12/07/20
Stoke City
2–0
Birmingham
31/08/19
Birmingham
2–1
Stoke City
26/12/18
Birmingham
2–0
Stoke City
20/10/18
Stoke City
0–1
Birmingham
29/10/13
Birmingham
7–7
Stoke City
12/02/11
Birmingham
1–0
Stoke City
09/11/10
Stoke City
3–2
Birmingham
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Swansea11722+823
2West Ham11641+1822
3Middlesbrough11641+622
4Birmingham11551+920
5West Brom11623+320
6Stoke City11614+219
7Southampton11632+1117
8Wolves10523+317
9QPR11452+317
10Blackburn11434+115
11Sheffield Utd11434+115
12Millwall11434015
13Portsmouth10424014
14Wrexham11353-114
15Bolton11425-314
16Bristol City11425-314
17Charlton11353-514
18Lincoln11335-1012
19Cardiff11254+111
20Watford11326-911
21Norwich11308-49
22Burnley11155-58
23Derby11137-116
24Preston11119-154

Team Insights

Stoke City
  • ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Stoke City have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Stoke City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Stoke City have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Stoke City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Stoke City have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Birmingham
  • ●Birmingham have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Birmingham have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Birmingham have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Birmingham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Birmingham have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●70% of Birmingham's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Birmingham have conceded 73% of their goals in the first half.
WADerby23º1–0
LHMiddlesbrough3º2–3
WABolton15º2–1
WHSheffield Utd11º2–1
WAWatford20º2–1
DACardiff19º1–1
WHCharlton17º4–0
WHNorwich21º1–0
LAWolves8º1–4
DHHull City1–1
WHQPR9º3–0
WHPreston24º4–0
WAWest Brom5º1–0
DHMiddlesbrough3º2–2
WADerby23º2–1
LANorwich21º1–2
DHWolves8º2–2
DHSouthampton7º1–1
WAWrexham14º2–1
LHBrentford1–6

Season Schedule

Stoke City
WADerby1–0
LHMiddlesbrough2–3
WABolton2–1
WHSheffield Utd2–1
WAWatford2–1
DACardiff1–1
–HBristol City24/10
–HPreston31/10
–ABlackburn03/11
Birmingham
WHQPR3–0
WHPreston4–0
WAWest Brom1–0
DHMiddlesbrough2–2
WADerby2–1
LANorwich1–2
–ACardiff24/10
–ALincoln31/10
–HMillwall03/11

Top Scorers

Stoke City
S. Gallagher3 ⚽
E. Galbraith2 ⚽
Jack Mcglynn2 ⚽
Justin Devenny2 ⚽
R. Bozenik2 ⚽
Ben Wilmot1 ⚽
Birmingham
A. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
Liam Millar4 ⚽
August Priske3 ⚽
Demarai Gray2 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽

Cards Given

Stoke City
Ethan Galbraith3 🟨
S. Ingelsson3 🟨
Maksym Taloverov2 🟨
Bae Jun-Ho2 🟨
B. Lawal2 🟨
Luke Graham2 🟨
Birmingham
B. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Carlos Vicente3 🟨
Phil Neumann3 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
Christoph·Klarer2 🟨
Alex Cochrane2 🟨