Stoke City vs Birmingham — Championship
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Stoke City and Birmingham meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Stoke City have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Birmingham have won 56% of their 18 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Stoke City and 1.39 for Birmingham. The models give Stoke City a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Birmingham win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Birmingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 90% | 100% | 94% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 40% | 29% | 61% | 78% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 10% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 10% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Birmingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 60% | 86% | 61% | 78% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 29% | 33% | 56% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 10% | 29% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 40% | 14% | 39% | 22% | 56% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stoke City | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 6% |
| BTTS | 65% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stoke City | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Stoke City | Birmingham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 92% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 92% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 77% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 31% | 62% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 31% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 31% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 23% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 15% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stoke City | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 31% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 54% | 46% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 23 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +18 | 22 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 | |
| 16 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 14 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 12 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 11 | |
| 20 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 | |
| 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -4 | 9 | |
| 22 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 | |
| 24 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -15 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stoke City have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Birmingham have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Birmingham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 73% of their goals in the first half.