Wolves vs Derby — Championship
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Wolves and Derby meet in the Championship 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Wolves have recorded 11 wins from 19 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.68 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Derby have won 16% of their 19 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Wolves and 1.32 for Derby. The models give Wolves a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Derby win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Wolves—
Derby4º
Position
23º
1.75
PPG
0.58
50%
Win %
8%
1.67
Goals / game
0.83
1.33
Conceded / game
1.75
47%
BTTS %
63%
42%
Clean sheet %
11%
53%
Over 2.5 %
53%
6.7
Avg corners
5.5
15.7
Avg shots
12.2
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.7
Avg fouls
12.8
54.5%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Wolves
Home (6)
—
Derby
Away (6)
1.83
PPG
0.83
50%
Win %
17%
1.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.17
Conceded / game
1.83
56%
BTTS %
64%
44%
Clean sheet %
18%
67%
Over 2.5 %
45%
6.7
Avg corners
5.5
15.7
Avg shots
12.2
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
54.5%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Wolves | Home | Away | Derby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 74% | 63% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 44% | 60% | 21% | 13% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 26% | 38% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Wolves | Home | Away | Derby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 56% | 60% | 89% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 33% | 20% | 47% | 63% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 13% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 44% | 40% | 11% | 0% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Wolves | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 5% |
| BTTS | 47% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Wolves | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 28% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Wolves (H)W
Watford1–0
Watford1–0D
Portsmouth1–1
Portsmouth1–1L
Bolton1–3
Bolton1–3W
West Brom1–0
West Brom1–0W
Stoke City4–1
Stoke City4–1D
Blackburn2–2
Blackburn2–2Derby (A)D
Sheffield Utd1–1
Sheffield Utd1–1L
QPR1–4
QPR1–4D
Burnley1–1
Burnley1–1L
West Ham0–3
West Ham0–3WPortsmouth2–0
Portsmouth2–0L
Charlton1–2
Charlton1–2Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
11.1
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Wolves | Derby | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 92% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 92% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 92% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 77% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 62% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 38% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 38% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 31% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Wolves | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.7 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 93% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 80% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 62% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
4
Wolves
40%
2
Draws
20%
4
Derby
40%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
11/04/18Derby
Wolves
2–0Derby12/08/17Wolves
Derby
0–2Wolves29/04/17Wolves
Derby
3–1Wolves05/11/16Derby
Wolves
2–3Derby27/02/16Derby
Wolves
2–1Derby18/10/15Wolves
Derby
4–2Wolves20/03/15Derby
Wolves
2–0Derby08/11/14Wolves
Derby
5–0Wolves16/02/13Wolves
Derby
0–0Wolves25/08/12Derby
Wolves
1–1Derby| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Wolves- ●Wolves have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Wolves have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Wolves failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Wolves have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Wolves failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Wolves have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Wolves have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Derby- ●Derby have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Derby have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Derby have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Derby have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Derby's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
WolvesWHWatford1–0
Watford1–0DHPortsmouth1–1
Portsmouth1–1WABurnley2–1
Burnley2–1LHBolton1–3
Bolton1–3LAMiddlesbrough0–1
Middlesbrough0–1WHWest Brom1–0
West Brom1–0–HCardiff31/10
Cardiff31/10–ABristol City04/11
Bristol City04/11–AWrexham07/11
Wrexham07/11DerbyDASheffield Utd1–1
Sheffield Utd1–1LHStoke City0–1
Stoke City0–1LAQPR1–4
QPR1–4DHWrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1DABurnley1–1
Burnley1–1LHBirmingham1–2
Birmingham1–2–AMillwall31/10
Millwall31/10–HNorwich03/11
Norwich03/11–HBolton06/11
Bolton06/11Top Scorers
WolvesF. Lopez5 ⚽
Fer López3 ⚽
R. Gomes3 ⚽
R. Jimenez2 ⚽
A. Armstrong2 ⚽
H. Bueno1 ⚽
DerbyS. Szmodics4 ⚽
Bobby Clark2 ⚽
C. Morris2 ⚽
B. Clark2 ⚽
J. Ward1 ⚽
L. Salvesen1 ⚽
Cards Given
WolvesThomas Doyle3 🟨
Sean Neave3 🟨
Paulo César da Silva Peixoto2 🟨
Kieran Trippier2 🟨
Marshall Munetsi2 🟨
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde2 🟨
DerbyL. Travis3 🟨
D. Ozoh3 🟨
3 🟨
Dion Sanderson2 🟨
Alex Mowatt2 🟨
D. Sanderson2 🟨