Stoke City vs Millwall — Championship
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Stoke City and Millwall meet in the Championship 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Stoke City have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Millwall have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Stoke City and 1.28 for Millwall. The models give Stoke City a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Millwall win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Stoke City—
Millwall9º
Position
13º
1.67
PPG
1.25
50%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
1.58
1.33
Conceded / game
1.67
61%
BTTS %
48%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
44%
Over 2.5 %
52%
4.1
Avg corners
4.9
11.1
Avg shots
12.6
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
13.1
Avg fouls
12.9
46.5%
Avg possession
48.5%
Home vs Away
Stoke City
Home (6)
—
Millwall
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.17
50%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.33
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
45%
BTTS %
62%
45%
Clean sheet %
23%
36%
Over 2.5 %
46%
4.1
Avg corners
4.9
11.1
Avg shots
12.6
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
46.5%
Avg possession
48.5%
Goals Scored
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 82% | 100% | 76% | 63% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 36% | 29% | 33% | 50% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 9% | 0% | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 18% | 0% | 24% | 38% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 55% | 86% | 71% | 63% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 18% | 29% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 9% | 29% | 14% | 13% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 45% | 14% | 29% | 38% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stoke City | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 5% |
| BTTS | 61% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stoke City | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Stoke City (H)D
Bristol City0–0
Bristol City0–0L
Middlesbrough2–3
Middlesbrough2–3W
Sheffield Utd2–1
Sheffield Utd2–1W
Charlton4–0
Charlton4–0W
Norwich1–0
Norwich1–0D
Hull City1–1
Hull City1–1Millwall (A)L
Portsmouth1–2
Portsmouth1–2W
Preston1–0
Preston1–0DMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2L
Blackburn1–3
Blackburn1–3L
Southampton1–5
Southampton1–5W
Cambridge United1–0
Cambridge United1–0Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
11.4
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Stoke City | Millwall | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 87% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 80% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 73% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 67% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 53% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 47% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 40% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stoke City | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 79% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 60% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
2
Stoke City
13%
5
Draws
31%
9
Millwall
56%
50%
Over 1.5
8/16
19%
Over 2.5
3/16
6%
Over 3.5
1/16
25%
BTTS
4/16
21/04/26Millwall
Stoke City
1–3Millwall21/10/25Stoke City
Millwall
2–0Stoke City15/03/25Stoke City
Millwall
1–0Stoke City09/11/24Millwall
Stoke City
1–1Millwall23/12/23Millwall
Stoke City
0–0Millwall26/08/23Stoke City
Millwall
1–0Stoke City25/02/23Millwall
Stoke City
0–1Millwall30/07/22Stoke City
Millwall
2–0Stoke City19/03/22Millwall
Stoke City
2–0Millwall23/10/21Stoke City
Millwall
2–1Stoke City05/04/21Millwall
Stoke City
1–2Millwall12/09/20Stoke City
Millwall
0–0Stoke City11/01/20Millwall
Stoke City
0–0Millwall26/10/19Stoke City
Millwall
2–0Stoke City27/04/19Stoke City
Millwall
0–0Stoke City22/12/18Millwall
Stoke City
1–0Millwall| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Stoke City- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Stoke City have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stoke City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Millwall- ●Millwall have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Stoke CityDHBristol City0–0
Bristol City0–0WADerby1–0
Derby1–0LHMiddlesbrough2–3
Middlesbrough2–3WABolton2–1
Bolton2–1WHSheffield Utd2–1
Sheffield Utd2–1WAWatford2–1
Watford2–1–HPreston31/10
Preston31/10–ABlackburn03/11
Blackburn03/11–APortsmouth07/11
Portsmouth07/11MillwallLAPortsmouth1–2
Portsmouth1–2DHLincoln2–2
Lincoln2–2LHSwansea0–1
Swansea0–1WAPreston1–0
Preston1–0DHWest Ham2–2
West Ham2–2DAMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2–HDerby31/10
Derby31/10–ABirmingham03/11
Birmingham03/11–AWest Brom07/11
West Brom07/11Top Scorers
Stoke CityS. Gallagher3 ⚽
E. Galbraith2 ⚽
Jack Mcglynn2 ⚽
Justin Devenny2 ⚽
R. Bozenik2 ⚽
Ben Wilmot1 ⚽
MillwallLyndon Dykes4 ⚽
T. Arconte3 ⚽
J. Cooper3 ⚽
Camiel Neghli3 ⚽
M. Sykes3 ⚽
J. Coburn2 ⚽
Cards Given
Stoke CityEthan Galbraith3 🟨
S. Ingelsson3 🟨
B. Lawal2 🟨
Bae Jun-Ho2 🟨
El Hadji Soumare2 🟨
Luke Graham2 🟨
MillwallJenson Metcalfe4 🟨
Derek Mazou Sacko3 🟨
Zak Sturge3 🟨
Lyndon Dykes2 🟨
Kyrell Lisbie2 🟨
J. Metcalfe2 🟨