Birmingham vs Bolton — Championship
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Birmingham and Bolton meet in the Championship 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Birmingham have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Bolton have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 1.26 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Birmingham and 1.33 for Bolton. The models give Birmingham a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Bolton win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Birmingham—
Bolton2º
Position
16º
1.86
PPG
1.21
50%
Win %
36%
1.86
Goals / game
1.36
0.93
Conceded / game
1.86
60%
BTTS %
58%
35%
Clean sheet %
26%
70%
Over 2.5 %
58%
5.2
Avg corners
5.3
13.0
Avg shots
13.6
4.4
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.5
Avg fouls
10.3
50.0%
Avg possession
50.4%
Home vs Away
Birmingham
Home (7)
—
Bolton
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.57
43%
Win %
43%
2.43
Goals / game
1.43
1.00
Conceded / game
1.57
78%
BTTS %
60%
22%
Clean sheet %
20%
89%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.2
Avg corners
5.3
13.0
Avg shots
13.6
4.4
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
50.0%
Avg possession
50.4%
Goals Scored
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Bolton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 82% | 70% | 78% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 80% | 45% | 35% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 40% | 18% | 15% | 0% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 18% | 30% | 22% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Bolton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 70% | 55% | 70% | 67% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 50% | 9% | 40% | 44% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 10% | 0% | 30% | 33% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 30% | 45% | 30% | 33% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Birmingham | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 25% |
| BTTS | 57% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Birmingham | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 76% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 5% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 95% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Birmingham (H)W
Millwall3–0
Millwall3–0W
QPR3–0
QPR3–0W
Preston4–0
Preston4–0D
Middlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2D
Wolves2–2
Wolves2–2D
Southampton1–1
Southampton1–1Bolton (A)W
Charlton1–0
Charlton1–0DSouthampton0–0
Southampton0–0WWolves3–1
Wolves3–1W
Norwich4–3
Norwich4–3LMillwall0–4
Millwall0–4L
Sheffield Utd2–3
Sheffield Utd2–3Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
10.4
165 games
10.9
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Birmingham | Bolton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 81% | 93% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 60% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 47% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 27% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Birmingham | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 94% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 87% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 47% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
7
Birmingham
44%
3
Draws
19%
6
Bolton
38%
50%
Over 1.5
8/16
44%
Over 2.5
7/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
44%
BTTS
7/16
04/03/25Birmingham
Bolton
3–1Birmingham22/10/24Bolton
Birmingham
2–0Bolton12/02/19Bolton
Birmingham
0–1Bolton22/08/18Birmingham
Bolton
1–0Birmingham03/04/18Birmingham
Bolton
0–1Birmingham15/08/17Bolton
Birmingham
0–0Bolton23/02/16Bolton
Birmingham
1–0Bolton20/10/15Birmingham
Bolton
0–1Birmingham02/05/15Birmingham
Bolton
0–1Birmingham18/10/14Bolton
Birmingham
0–1Bolton03/05/14Birmingham
Bolton
2–2Birmingham05/10/13Bolton
Birmingham
1–2Bolton29/12/12Birmingham
Bolton
3–1Birmingham18/09/12Bolton
Birmingham
2–1Bolton02/04/11Bolton
Birmingham
2–1Bolton29/08/10Birmingham
Bolton
2–2Birmingham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 |  Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 25 |
| 6 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 7 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Team Insights
Birmingham- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Birmingham have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Birmingham have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Birmingham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Bolton- ●Bolton have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bolton have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bolton have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bolton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bolton failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bolton have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bolton have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bolton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bolton have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Bolton's points have been earned away.
- ●Bolton have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BirminghamWHMillwall3–0
Millwall3–0WALincoln3–1
Lincoln3–1LACardiff0–1
Cardiff0–1WHQPR3–0
QPR3–0WHPreston4–0
Preston4–0WAWest Brom1–0
West Brom1–0–HSwansea07/11
Swansea07/11–AStoke City21/11
Stoke City21/11–ABurnley25/11
Burnley25/11BoltonWACharlton1–0
Charlton1–0LHBristol City2–3
Bristol City2–3LHMiddlesbrough1–5
Middlesbrough1–5DASouthampton0–0
Southampton0–0WAWolves3–1
Wolves3–1LHStoke City1–2
Stoke City1–2–ADerby06/11
Derby06/11–HPortsmouth21/11
Portsmouth21/11–HWest Brom25/11
West Brom25/11Top Scorers
BirminghamAugust Priske5 ⚽
A. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
Liam Millar4 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽
Alex Cochrane2 ⚽
BoltonR. Rodrigues4 ⚽
Sam Dalby4 ⚽
Atsuki Ito2 ⚽
Josh Sheehan2 ⚽
S. Dalby2 ⚽
T. Gale2 ⚽
Cards Given
BirminghamB. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Phil Neumann3 🟨
Carlos Vicente3 🟨
Alex Cochrane3 🟨
Christoph·Klarer3 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
BoltonJosh Sheehan3 🟨
C. Forino-Joseph2 🟨
Akin Famewo2 🟨
B. Davies1 🟨
Ethan Erhahon1 🟨
Ben Davies1 🟨