England · Championship · Regular Season - 18

Southampton

6º · 2.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 24d 0h

–

Middlesbrough

1º · 2.15 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 5h

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Southampton and Middlesbrough meet in the Championship 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Southampton have recorded 12 wins from 18 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.06 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Middlesbrough have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 2.05 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Southampton and 1.46 for Middlesbrough. The models give Southampton a 52% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Middlesbrough win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Southampton

—

Middlesbrough

6º

Position

1º

2.00

PPG

2.15

57%

Win %

62%

2.07

Goals / game

2.31

1.00

Conceded / game

1.31

72%

BTTS %

74%

28%

Clean sheet %

21%

61%

Over 2.5 %

74%

5.1

Avg corners

6.5

15.3

Avg shots

19.3

4.8

Avg shots on target

6.3

1.7

Avg yellow cards

1.2

8.1

Avg fouls

10.3

55.9%

Avg possession

57.6%

Home vs Away

Southampton

Home (7)

—

Middlesbrough

Away (6)

2.71

PPG

1.83

86%

Win %

50%

2.86

Goals / game

2.17

0.71

Conceded / game

1.33

75%

BTTS %

78%

25%

Clean sheet %

11%

75%

Over 2.5 %

67%

5.1

Avg corners

6.5

15.3

Avg shots

19.3

4.8

Avg shots on target

6.3

1.7

Avg yellow cards

1.2

55.9%

Avg possession

57.6%

Goals Scored

	Southampton	Home	Away	Middlesbrough	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	95%	88%	100%	95%	100%	89%
Over 1.5 Scored	47%	63%	36%	58%	70%	44%
Over 2.5 Scored	37%	63%	18%	37%	40%	33%
Failed To Score	5%	13%	0%	5%	0%	11%

Goals Conceded

	Southampton	Home	Away	Middlesbrough	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	74%	75%	73%	79%	70%	89%
Over 1.5 Conceded	21%	13%	27%	47%	50%	44%
Over 2.5 Conceded	5%	13%	0%	21%	30%	11%
Clean Sheets	26%	25%	27%	21%	30%	11%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Southampton	Middlesbrough
Over 0.5	95%	100%
Over 1.5	79%	84%
Over 2.5	58%	74%
Over 3.5	42%	53%
Over 4.5	26%	21%
BTTS	74%	74%
BTTS & Win	42%	32%
BTTS & Draw	16%	32%
BTTS & Over 2.5	58%	63%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Southampton	Middlesbrough
Win 1st Half	53%	44%
Draw 1st Half	32%	33%
Loss 1st Half	16%	22%
Scored 1st Half	68%	56%
Conceded 1st Half	47%	44%
Win 2nd Half	53%	56%
Draw 2nd Half	26%	17%
Loss 2nd Half	21%	28%
Scored 2nd Half	63%	72%
Conceded 2nd Half	42%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	84%	78%
Over 1.5 HT	42%	39%

Recent Venue Form

Southampton (H)

QPR4–1

Bolton0–0

Portsmouth1–0

Bristol City4–1

Swansea3–1

Millwall5–1

Middlesbrough (A)

Bolton5–1

Stoke City3–2

Birmingham2–2

Crystal Palace0–3

QPR1–0

Burnley1–1

Number of Corners

9.7

Corners / Match

16 games

League Avg

10.4

165 games

10.6

Corners / Match

16 games

Match Corners	Southampton	Middlesbrough	League Avg
Over 6	75%	94%	88%
Over 7	63%	81%	79%
Over 8	38%	63%	67%
Over 9	38%	63%	57%
Over 10	31%	44%	46%
Over 11	31%	44%	38%
Over 12	19%	31%	30%
Over 13	13%	25%	22%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Southampton	Middlesbrough
Corners Earned / Match	5.1	6.5
Corners Against / Match	4.6	4.1
Over 2.5 Corners For	81%	94%
Over 3.5 Corners For	69%	69%
Over 4.5 Corners For	63%	63%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	81%	69%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	56%	63%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	31%	44%

Head to Head · 10 matches

Southampton

40%

Draws

30%

Middlesbrough

30%

80%

Over 1.5

8/10

60%

Over 2.5

6/10

10%

Over 3.5

1/10

60%

BTTS

6/10

12/05/26

Southampton

2–1

Middlesbrough

09/05/26

Middlesbrough

0–0

Southampton

04/01/26

Middlesbrough

4–0

Southampton

27/09/25

Southampton

1–1

Middlesbrough

29/03/24

Southampton

1–1

Middlesbrough

23/09/23

Middlesbrough

2–1

Southampton

13/05/17

Middlesbrough

1–2

Southampton

11/12/16

Southampton

1–0

Middlesbrough

21/04/12

Middlesbrough

2–1

Southampton

29/10/11

Southampton

3–0

Middlesbrough

Championship

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	+13	28
2	Birmingham	14	7	5	2	+13	26
3	Stoke City	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Swansea	14	8	2	4	+5	26
5	West Brom	14	7	4	3	+5	25
6	Southampton	14	8	4	2	+15	24
7	Wolves	13	7	3	3	+7	24
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	+15	22
9	Sheffield Utd	14	6	4	4	+3	22
10	Portsmouth	14	6	4	4	+3	22
11	QPR	14	5	6	3	+5	21
12	Norwich	14	6	0	8	+3	18
13	Millwall	14	5	3	6	-1	18
14	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	-2	18
15	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	-2	18
16	Bolton	14	5	2	7	-7	17
17	Lincoln	14	4	3	7	-10	15
18	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	-1	14
19	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	-4	14
20	Watford	14	4	2	8	-10	14
21	Charlton	14	3	5	6	-11	14
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	-8	10
23	Derby	14	1	4	9	-18	7
24	Preston	14	1	2	11	-18	5

Team Insights

Southampton

●Southampton have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
●Southampton have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
●Southampton have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
●Southampton have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Southampton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
●Southampton have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
●Southampton failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
●Southampton have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
●69% of Southampton's goals have been scored at home.

Middlesbrough

●Middlesbrough have won their last 2 matches.
●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
●Middlesbrough have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
●Middlesbrough have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
●Middlesbrough have won their last 2 away matches.
●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Middlesbrough have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
●Middlesbrough have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
●Middlesbrough have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
●Middlesbrough have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.

Southampton

DAWest Brom5º1–1

WHQPR11º4–1

WAWest Ham8º3–2

DHBolton16º0–0

WANorwich12º1–0

WHPortsmouth10º1–0

LAWrexham19º1–2

WHBristol City15º4–1

WHSwansea4º3–1

DALincoln17º1–1

Middlesbrough

WHCharlton21º3–0

WABolton16º5–1

DHCardiff18º2–2

WAStoke City3º3–2

WHWolves7º1–0

DABirmingham2º2–2

DHMillwall13º2–2

WHNorwich12º4–3

LACrystal Palace0–3

WAQPR11º1–0

Season Schedule

Southampton

West Brom1–1

QPR4–1

West Ham3–2

Bolton0–0

Norwich1–0

Portsmouth1–0

–A

Preston07/11

–H

Derby21/11

–A

Sheffield Utd24/11

Middlesbrough

Charlton3–0

Bolton5–1

Cardiff2–2

Stoke City3–2

Wolves1–0

Birmingham2–2

–A

Wrexham04/11

–A

Watford07/11

–H

Bristol City21/11

Top Scorers

Southampton

C. Larin5 ⚽

Kuryu Matsuki4 ⚽

Cyle Larin3 ⚽

L. Scienza3 ⚽

Finn Azaz2 ⚽

James Bree2 ⚽

Middlesbrough

will lankshear9 ⚽

W. Lankshear6 ⚽

Sebastian Berhalter3 ⚽

Amario Cozier-Duberry3 ⚽

J. Sarmiento2 ⚽

L. Castledine2 ⚽

Cards Given

Southampton

Cameron Bragg3 🟨

3 🟨

J. Bree2 🟨

Cyle Larin2 🟨

F. Downes2 🟨

Flynn Downes2 🟨

Middlesbrough

Riley McGree3 🟨

Ashley Phillips2 🟨

2 🟨

Neto Borges2 🟨

Sebastian Berhalter2 🟨

W. Lankshear2 🟨

Southampton vs Middlesbrough — Championship

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 10 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given