Swansea vs Cardiff — Championship
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Swansea and Cardiff meet in the Championship 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Swansea have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 32% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Cardiff have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 5%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Swansea and 1.21 for Cardiff. The models give Swansea a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Cardiff win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Swansea—
Cardiff4º
Position
18º
1.86
PPG
1.08
57%
Win %
23%
1.50
Goals / game
1.46
1.14
Conceded / game
1.54
32%
BTTS %
74%
42%
Clean sheet %
5%
53%
Over 2.5 %
74%
4.3
Avg corners
6.5
12.2
Avg shots
16.3
4.4
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
9.9
Avg fouls
9.9
57.7%
Avg possession
61.1%
Home vs Away
Swansea
Home (7)
—
Cardiff
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
0.29
57%
Win %
0%
1.57
Goals / game
0.86
0.43
Conceded / game
2.00
25%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.3
Avg corners
6.5
12.2
Avg shots
16.3
4.4
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
57.7%
Avg possession
61.1%
Goals Scored
| Swansea | Home | Away | Cardiff | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 58% | 75% | 79% | 90% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 50% | 38% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 17% | 13% | 32% | 40% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 42% | 25% | 21% | 10% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Swansea | Home | Away | Cardiff | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 75% | 95% | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 17% | 50% | 53% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 50% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Swansea | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 32% |
| BTTS | 35% | 74% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Swansea | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 11% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 68% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Swansea (H)W
Blackburn4–0
Blackburn4–0L
West Ham0–1
West Ham0–1W
Norwich2–1
Norwich2–1W
Burnley3–1
Burnley3–1D
Wrexham0–0
Wrexham0–0W
Watford2–0
Watford2–0Cardiff (A)L
Wolves0–3
Wolves0–3D
Middlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2LBlackburn1–2
Blackburn1–2L
Bolton0–1
Bolton0–1L
Portsmouth0–2
Portsmouth0–2L
QPR1–2
QPR1–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.4
165 games
11.1
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Swansea | Cardiff | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 93% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 73% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 53% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 53% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 53% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 33% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Swansea | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 6.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 93% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 40% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
8
Swansea
57%
2
Draws
14%
4
Cardiff
29%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
36%
Over 2.5
5/14
14%
Over 3.5
2/14
14%
BTTS
2/14
18/01/25Swansea
Cardiff
3–0Swansea25/08/24Cardiff
Swansea
1–1Cardiff16/03/24Cardiff
Swansea
2–0Cardiff16/09/23Swansea
Cardiff
2–0Swansea01/04/23Swansea
Cardiff
2–3Swansea23/10/22Cardiff
Swansea
2–0Cardiff02/04/22Swansea
Cardiff
0–4Swansea17/10/21Cardiff
Swansea
3–0Cardiff20/03/21Cardiff
Swansea
0–1Cardiff12/12/20Swansea
Cardiff
0–2Swansea12/01/20Swansea
Cardiff
0–0Swansea27/10/19Cardiff
Swansea
1–0Cardiff08/02/14Cardiff
Swansea
3–0Cardiff03/11/13Swansea
Cardiff
1–0Swansea| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 25 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 7 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Team Insights
Swansea- ●Swansea have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Swansea have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Swansea failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Swansea have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Swansea have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●81% of Swansea's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Swansea have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Cardiff- ●Cardiff have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Cardiff have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cardiff have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●68% of Cardiff's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Cardiff's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Cardiff's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Cardiff have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SwanseaLAPortsmouth1–3
Portsmouth1–3WHBlackburn4–0
Blackburn4–0LAQPR0–5
QPR0–5LHWest Ham0–1
West Ham0–1WAMillwall1–0
Millwall1–0WHNorwich2–1
Norwich2–1–ABirmingham07/11
Birmingham07/11–HWest Brom21/11
West Brom21/11–AMiddlesbrough24/11
Middlesbrough24/11CardiffLAWolves0–3
Wolves0–3WHBirmingham1–0
Birmingham1–0DAMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WHWatford5–1
Watford5–1LABlackburn1–2
Blackburn1–2WHCharlton3–1
Charlton3–1–HWest Ham04/11
West Ham04/11–HBurnley07/11
Burnley07/11–ANorwich21/11
Norwich21/11Top Scorers
SwanseaZan Vipotnik3 ⚽
J. Opoku3 ⚽
A. Idah3 ⚽
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo3 ⚽
Adam Idah2 ⚽
Eom Ji-Sung2 ⚽
CardiffY. Salech7 ⚽
Jack Moylan5 ⚽
C. Ashford4 ⚽
C. Willock3 ⚽
I. Davies3 ⚽
J. Moylan2 ⚽
Cards Given
SwanseaFilip Lissah3 🟨
Vitor Matos2 🟨
Jay Fulton2 🟨
F. Lissah2 🟨
M. Widell2 🟨
E. Just1 🟨
CardiffJoel Bagan4 🟨
Perry Tian Hee Ng3 🟨
Joel Colwill2 🟨
Alexander Sean Pablo Robertson2 🟨
A. Robertson2 🟨
Brian Barry-Murphy2 🟨