MatchPulse

Middlesbrough vs Derby — Championship

← Back
England · Championship · Regular Season - 19
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1º · 2.15 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 21h
vs
–
–
Derby
Derby
23º · 0.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 16h
Riverside Stadium·Middlesbrough·England·34,988
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

From€8.99/Mo

Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime

Start 14-Day Free TrialUpgrade To Pro →

Middlesbrough and Derby meet in the Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Middlesbrough have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 2.05 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Derby have won 15% of their 20 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 10%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.14 for Middlesbrough and 1.30 for Derby. The models give Middlesbrough a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Derby win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 64%.

Season Statistics

Middlesbrough
—
Derby
1º
Position
23º
2.15
PPG
0.50
62%
Win %
7%
2.31
Goals / game
0.79
1.31
Conceded / game
2.07
74%
BTTS %
65%
21%
Clean sheet %
10%
74%
Over 2.5 %
55%
6.5
Avg corners
5.4
19.3
Avg shots
11.9
6.3
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
10.3
Avg fouls
12.4
57.6%
Avg possession
49.9%

Home vs Away

Middlesbrough
Home (7)
—
Derby
Away (7)
2.43
PPG
0.71
71%
Win %
14%
2.43
Goals / game
1.00
1.29
Conceded / game
2.14
70%
BTTS %
67%
30%
Clean sheet %
17%
80%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.5
Avg corners
5.4
19.3
Avg shots
11.9
6.3
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
57.6%
Avg possession
49.9%

Goals Scored

MiddlesbroughHomeAwayDerbyHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored95%100%89%71%56%83%
Over 1.5 Scored58%70%44%19%11%25%
Over 2.5 Scored37%40%33%5%0%8%
Failed To Score5%0%11%29%44%17%

Goals Conceded

MiddlesbroughHomeAwayDerbyHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded79%70%89%90%100%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded47%50%44%52%67%42%
Over 2.5 Conceded21%30%11%29%22%33%
Clean Sheets21%30%11%10%0%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MiddlesbroughDerby
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.584%86%
Over 2.574%57%
Over 3.553%29%
Over 4.521%10%
BTTS74%62%
BTTS & Win32%5%
BTTS & Draw32%24%
BTTS & Over 2.563%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MiddlesbroughDerby
Win 1st Half44%30%
Draw 1st Half33%20%
Loss 1st Half22%50%
Scored 1st Half56%55%
Conceded 1st Half44%65%
Win 2nd Half56%20%
Draw 2nd Half17%30%
Loss 2nd Half28%50%
Scored 2nd Half72%30%
Conceded 2nd Half50%60%
Over 0.5 HT78%95%
Over 1.5 HT39%50%

Recent Venue Form

Middlesbrough (H)
WCharlton3–0
DCardiff2–2
WWolves1–0
DMillwall2–2
WNorwich4–3
WWest Brom3–1
Derby (A)
LMillwall1–4
DSheffield Utd1–1
LQPR1–4
DBurnley1–1
LWest Ham0–3
WPortsmouth2–0

Number of Corners

10.6
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
10.4
165 games
10.8
Corners / Match
15 games
Match CornersMiddlesbroughDerbyLeague Avg
Over 694%93%88%
Over 781%93%79%
Over 863%93%67%
Over 963%67%57%
Over 1044%53%46%
Over 1144%33%38%
Over 1231%33%30%
Over 1325%27%22%

Team Corners

Team CornersMiddlesbroughDerby
Corners Earned / Match6.55.4
Corners Against / Match4.15.4
Over 2.5 Corners For94%87%
Over 3.5 Corners For69%73%
Over 4.5 Corners For63%60%
Over 2.5 Corners Against69%93%
Over 3.5 Corners Against63%87%
Over 4.5 Corners Against44%60%

Head to Head · 24 matches

11
Middlesbrough
46%
6
Draws
25%
7
Derby
29%
71%
Over 1.5
17/24
42%
Over 2.5
10/24
17%
Over 3.5
4/24
46%
BTTS
11/24
01/01/26
Derby
1–0
Middlesbrough
29/11/25
Middlesbrough
2–1
Derby
01/03/25
Middlesbrough
1–0
Derby
17/08/24
Derby
1–0
Middlesbrough
12/02/22
Middlesbrough
4–1
Derby
21/08/21
Derby
0–0
Middlesbrough
13/02/21
Derby
2–1
Middlesbrough
25/11/20
Middlesbrough
3–0
Derby
11/01/20
Middlesbrough
2–2
Derby
02/11/19
Derby
2–0
Middlesbrough
01/01/19
Derby
1–1
Middlesbrough
27/10/18
Middlesbrough
1–1
Derby
21/04/18
Derby
1–2
Middlesbrough
25/11/17
Middlesbrough
0–3
Derby
02/01/16
Middlesbrough
2–0
Derby
18/08/15
Derby
1–1
Middlesbrough
17/03/15
Derby
0–1
Middlesbrough
13/12/14
Middlesbrough
2–0
Derby
05/04/14
Middlesbrough
1–0
Derby
04/12/13
Derby
2–1
Middlesbrough
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Middlesbrough13841+1328
2Birmingham14752+1326
3Stoke City14824+526
4Swansea14824+526
5West Brom14743+525
6Southampton14842+1524
7Wolves13733+724
8West Ham13643+1522
9Sheffield Utd14644+322
10Portsmouth14644+322
11QPR14563+521
12Norwich14608+318
13Millwall14536-118
14Blackburn14536-218
15Bristol City13535-218
16Bolton14527-717
17Lincoln14437-1015
18Cardiff13355-114
19Wrexham13355-414
20Watford14428-1014
21Charlton14356-1114
22Burnley14176-810
23Derby14149-187
24Preston141211-185

Team Insights

Middlesbrough
  • ●Middlesbrough have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Derby
  • ●Derby have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
  • ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Derby have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Derby have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Derby have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Derby have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●64% of Derby's goals have been scored away.
  • ●71% of Derby's points have been earned away.
  • ●Derby have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Derby have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
WHCharlton21º3–0
WABolton16º5–1
DHCardiff18º2–2
WAStoke City3º3–2
WHWolves7º1–0
DABirmingham2º2–2
DHMillwall13º2–2
WHNorwich12º4–3
LACrystal Palace0–3
WAQPR11º1–0
DerbyDerby
LHNorwich12º0–4
LAMillwall13º1–4
DASheffield Utd9º1–1
LHStoke City3º0–1
LAQPR11º1–4
DHWrexham19º1–1
DABurnley22º1–1
LHBirmingham2º1–2
LHWest Brom5º0–1
LAWest Ham8º0–3

Season Schedule

Middlesbrough
WHCharlton3–0
WABolton5–1
DHCardiff2–2
WAStoke City3–2
WHWolves1–0
DABirmingham2–2
–AWrexham04/11
–AWatford07/11
–HBristol City21/11
Derby
LHNorwich0–4
LAMillwall1–4
DASheffield Utd1–1
LHStoke City0–1
LAQPR1–4
DHWrexham1–1
–HBolton06/11
–ASouthampton21/11
–AWolves24/11

Top Scorers

Middlesbrough
will lankshear9 ⚽
W. Lankshear6 ⚽
Sebastian Berhalter3 ⚽
Amario Cozier-Duberry3 ⚽
J. Sarmiento2 ⚽
L. Castledine2 ⚽
Derby
S. Szmodics4 ⚽
B. Clark2 ⚽
C. Morris2 ⚽
Bobby Clark2 ⚽
D. Brown1 ⚽
C. Smith1 ⚽

Cards Given

Middlesbrough
Riley McGree3 🟨
Ashley Phillips2 🟨
2 🟨
Neto Borges2 🟨
Sebastian Berhalter2 🟨
W. Lankshear2 🟨
Derby
L. Travis3 🟨
D. Ozoh3 🟨
3 🟨
Dion Sanderson2 🟨
Alex Mowatt2 🟨
D. Sanderson2 🟨