Stoke City vs QPR — Championship
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Stoke City and QPR meet in the Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Stoke City have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.37 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. QPR have won 50% of their 20 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Stoke City and 1.27 for QPR. The models give Stoke City a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an QPR win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Stoke City—
QPR3º
Position
11º
1.86
PPG
1.50
57%
Win %
36%
1.57
Goals / game
1.57
1.21
Conceded / game
1.21
58%
BTTS %
60%
37%
Clean sheet %
30%
42%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.4
Avg corners
5.7
11.6
Avg shots
14.7
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.9
13.4
Avg fouls
8.5
47.1%
Avg possession
49.0%
Home vs Away
Stoke City
Home (7)
—
QPR
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.29
57%
Win %
29%
1.71
Goals / game
1.14
0.86
Conceded / game
1.57
42%
BTTS %
64%
50%
Clean sheet %
27%
33%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.4
Avg corners
5.7
11.6
Avg shots
14.7
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.9
47.1%
Avg possession
49.0%
Goals Scored
| Stoke City | Home | Away | QPR | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 83% | 100% | 76% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 42% | 38% | 48% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 8% | 0% | 33% | 30% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 17% | 0% | 24% | 20% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Stoke City | Home | Away | QPR | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 50% | 88% | 71% | 70% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 17% | 25% | 24% | 20% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 8% | 25% | 10% | 0% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 50% | 13% | 29% | 30% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stoke City | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 29% |
| BTTS | 60% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stoke City | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Stoke City (H)W
Preston2–0
Preston2–0D
Bristol City0–0
Bristol City0–0L
Middlesbrough2–3
Middlesbrough2–3W
Sheffield Utd2–1
Sheffield Utd2–1W
Charlton4–0
Charlton4–0W
Norwich1–0
Norwich1–0QPR (A)L
Southampton1–4
Southampton1–4L
Birmingham0–3
Birmingham0–3D
West Ham1–1
West Ham1–1D
West Brom1–1
West Brom1–1DCharlton0–0
Charlton0–0W
Blackburn2–1
Blackburn2–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
10.4
165 games
9.5
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Stoke City | QPR | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 81% | 73% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 60% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 53% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 47% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 40% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 20% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stoke City | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 81% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 94% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 33% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
7
Stoke City
32%
7
Draws
32%
8
QPR
36%
55%
Over 1.5
12/22
36%
Over 2.5
8/22
32%
Over 3.5
7/22
41%
BTTS
9/22
17/01/26QPR
Stoke City
0–0QPR20/09/25Stoke City
QPR
1–0Stoke City29/03/25QPR
Stoke City
3–1QPR23/11/24Stoke City
QPR
1–1Stoke City14/02/24QPR
Stoke City
1–0QPR28/11/23Stoke City
QPR
4–2Stoke City29/04/23QPR
Stoke City
0–1QPR17/09/22Stoke City
QPR
0–0Stoke City23/04/22QPR
Stoke City
1–0QPR05/12/21Stoke City
QPR
0–2Stoke City01/05/21QPR
Stoke City
0–2QPR15/12/20Stoke City
QPR
0–0Stoke City15/02/20Stoke City
QPR
4–2Stoke City03/08/19QPR
Stoke City
1–2QPR09/03/19Stoke City
QPR
0–0Stoke City24/11/18QPR
Stoke City
2–2QPR31/01/15QPR
Stoke City
3–1QPR20/09/14Stoke City
QPR
2–2Stoke City20/04/13Stoke City
QPR
0–2Stoke City10/11/12QPR
Stoke City
1–0QPR| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 |  Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 25 |
| 6 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 7 |  Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Team Insights
Stoke City- ●Stoke City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Stoke City have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Stoke City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Stoke City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Stoke City have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
QPR- ●QPR have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●QPR have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●QPR have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●QPR failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●QPR failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●QPR have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of QPR's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of QPR's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●QPR have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Stoke CityWABlackburn2–1
Blackburn2–1WHPreston2–0
Preston2–0DHBristol City0–0
Bristol City0–0WADerby1–0
Derby1–0LHMiddlesbrough2–3
Middlesbrough2–3WABolton2–1
Bolton2–1–APortsmouth07/11
Portsmouth07/11–HBirmingham21/11
Birmingham21/11–HMillwall25/11
Millwall25/11QPRDHBurnley1–1
Burnley1–1LASouthampton1–4
Southampton1–4WHSwansea5–0
Swansea5–0LABirmingham0–3
Birmingham0–3WHDerby4–1
Derby4–1DAWest Ham1–1
West Ham1–1–HLincoln07/11
Lincoln07/11–AMillwall21/11
Millwall21/11–ANorwich24/11
Norwich24/11Top Scorers
Stoke CityJack Mcglynn4 ⚽
S. Gallagher3 ⚽
Ben Wilmot2 ⚽
Justin Devenny2 ⚽
E. Galbraith2 ⚽
R. Bozenik2 ⚽
QPRRichard Kone4 ⚽
R. Burrell3 ⚽
A. Lloyd3 ⚽
I. Chair3 ⚽
P. Smyth3 ⚽
K. Saito2 ⚽
Cards Given
Stoke CityEthan Galbraith4 🟨
El Hadji Soumare3 🟨
S. Ingelsson3 🟨
B. Lawal2 🟨
Bae Jun-Ho2 🟨
Luke Graham2 🟨
QPRGlen Kamara4 🟨
Jonathan Varane3 🟨
J. Clarke-Salter2 🟨
Harvey Vale2 🟨
Jake Clarke-Salter2 🟨
Julien Stéphan2 🟨