Newport County vs Colchester — League Two
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Newport County and Colchester meet in the League Two 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Newport County have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Colchester have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Newport County and 1.22 for Colchester. The models give Newport County a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Colchester win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Newport County | Home | Away | Colchester | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 73% | 67% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 40% | 45% | 40% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 27% | 13% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 27% | 33% | 25% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Newport County | Home | Away | Colchester | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 80% | 64% | 73% | 88% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 60% | 36% | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 40% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 20% | 36% | 27% | 13% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newport County | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 13% |
| BTTS | 56% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newport County | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Newport County | Colchester | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 57% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 57% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 86% | 43% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 71% | 43% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 14% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 14% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Newport County | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 57% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 29% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | |
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 | |
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Newport County have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Newport County have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●73% of Newport County's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Newport County's points have been earned at home.
- ●Colchester have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Colchester have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Colchester have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Colchester have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Colchester have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●63% of Colchester's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Colchester's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●89% of Colchester's points have been earned at home.