Port Vale vs Grimsby — League Two
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Port Vale and Grimsby meet in the League Two 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Port Vale have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Grimsby have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 53%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Port Vale and 1.15 for Grimsby. The models give Port Vale a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Grimsby win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Port Vale—
Grimsby23º
Position
3º
0.71
PPG
1.86
14%
Win %
43%
0.43
Goals / game
1.57
1.29
Conceded / game
0.86
25%
BTTS %
47%
42%
Clean sheet %
53%
33%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.6
Avg corners
8.4
10.7
Avg shots
14.6
3.0
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.3
13.9
Avg fouls
11.9
46.9%
Avg possession
53.0%
Home vs Away
Port Vale
Home (3)
—
Grimsby
Away (3)
1.67
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
0%
0.67
Goals / game
1.33
0.33
Conceded / game
1.33
20%
BTTS %
43%
80%
Clean sheet %
57%
20%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.6
Avg corners
8.4
10.7
Avg shots
14.6
3.0
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.3
46.9%
Avg possession
53.0%
Goals Scored
| Port Vale | Home | Away | Grimsby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 80% | 43% | 80% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 14% | 60% | 75% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 14% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 20% | 57% | 20% | 0% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Port Vale | Home | Away | Grimsby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 20% | 86% | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 57% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 29% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 80% | 14% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Port Vale | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS | 25% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Port Vale | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Port Vale (H)W
Exeter City1–0
Exeter City1–0D
Crewe0–0
Crewe0–0D
Tranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1W
Real Murcia1–0
Real Murcia1–0W
Tamworth5–0
Tamworth5–0L
Lincoln0–2
Lincoln0–2Grimsby (A)D
Cheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2D
Accrington ST2–2
Accrington ST2–2D
Walsall0–0
Walsall0–0D
Boston United0–0
Boston United0–0W
Hartlepool3–0
Hartlepool3–0D
Zorya Luhansk1–1
Zorya Luhansk1–1Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
13.6
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Port Vale | Grimsby | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 100% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 71% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 57% | 71% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 71% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 57% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 57% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Port Vale | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 8.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 86% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 57% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
1
Port Vale
8%
4
Draws
33%
7
Grimsby
58%
67%
Over 1.5
8/12
42%
Over 2.5
5/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
21/04/25Grimsby
Port Vale
2–2Grimsby29/12/24Port Vale
Grimsby
3–0Port Vale21/07/23Grimsby
Port Vale
1–1Grimsby01/05/21Port Vale
Grimsby
1–0Port Vale09/01/21Grimsby
Port Vale
3–0Grimsby24/08/19Port Vale
Grimsby
5–2Port Vale26/12/18Grimsby
Port Vale
0–1Grimsby06/10/18Port Vale
Grimsby
2–0Port Vale10/03/18Port Vale
Grimsby
1–1Port Vale07/10/17Grimsby
Port Vale
1–2Grimsby22/11/11Port Vale
Grimsby
1–0Port Vale12/11/11Grimsby
Port Vale
0–0Grimsby| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Port Vale- ●Port Vale have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Port Vale have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Port Vale have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●89% of Port Vale's goals conceded were conceded away.
Grimsby- ●Grimsby have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Grimsby have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Grimsby have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Grimsby's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Grimsby's points have been earned at home.
- ●Grimsby have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Port ValeLAWalsall0–2
Walsall0–2WHExeter City1–0
Exeter City1–0LASalford City0–1
Salford City0–1LASwindon Town1–3
Swindon Town1–3DHCrewe0–0
Crewe0–0DHTranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1–HNorthampton26/09
Northampton26/09–AColchester03/10
Colchester03/10–HGrimsby10/10
Grimsby10/10GrimsbyWHCrawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0WHBristol Rovers2–0
Bristol Rovers2–0DACheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2DAAccrington ST2–2
Accrington ST2–2DHFleetwood Town2–2
Fleetwood Town2–2DAWalsall0–0
Walsall0–0–ANewport County26/09
Newport County26/09–HShrewsbury03/10
Shrewsbury03/10–APort Vale10/10
Port Vale10/10Top Scorers
Port ValeM. Faal2 ⚽
R. Walters2 ⚽
J. Lawrence-Gabriel2 ⚽
J. Moon1 ⚽
O. Hernandez1 ⚽
Oliver Lynch1 ⚽
GrimsbyA. Cook6 ⚽
J. Amaluzor3 ⚽
Kieran Green3 ⚽
H. Rodgers2 ⚽
C. Vernam2 ⚽
J. Walker1 ⚽
Cards Given
Port Vale4 🟨
Kyle Dempsey2 🟨
Ben Garrity2 🟨
J. Lawrence-Gabriel2 🟨
George Byers1 🟨
Cameron Humphreys1 🟨
GrimsbyKieran Green2 🟨
C. McJannet2 🟨
Géza Dávid Turi1 🟨
H. Rodgers1 🟨
J. Kabia1 🟨
J. Sweeney1 🟨