Rotherham vs Gillingham — League Two
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Rotherham and Gillingham meet in the League Two 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Rotherham have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Gillingham have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Rotherham and 1.37 for Gillingham. The models give Rotherham a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Gillingham win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Rotherham—
Gillingham14º
Position
4º
1.29
PPG
1.71
29%
Win %
43%
1.43
Goals / game
1.57
1.43
Conceded / game
0.86
60%
BTTS %
33%
27%
Clean sheet %
42%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.9
Avg corners
3.3
11.9
Avg shots
9.9
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.6
Avg fouls
11.7
46.0%
Avg possession
44.1%
Home vs Away
Rotherham
Home (3)
—
Gillingham
Away (3)
1.67
PPG
1.67
33%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.67
Conceded / game
0.67
83%
BTTS %
60%
0%
Clean sheet %
40%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
3.9
Avg corners
3.3
11.9
Avg shots
9.9
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
46.0%
Avg possession
44.1%
Goals Scored
| Rotherham | Home | Away | Gillingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 83% | 89% | 67% | 57% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 22% | 42% | 29% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 17% | 0% | 25% | 14% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 17% | 11% | 33% | 43% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Rotherham | Home | Away | Gillingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 100% | 56% | 58% | 57% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 22% | 17% | 29% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 0% | 44% | 42% | 43% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rotherham | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rotherham | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 53% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Rotherham (H)D
Salford City3–3
Salford City3–3W
Chesterfield2–1
Chesterfield2–1D
York1–1
York1–1L
West Brom1–4
West Brom1–4D
Derby1–1
Derby1–1L
Sheffield Utd0–2
Sheffield Utd0–2Gillingham (A)W
Rochdale4–1
Rochdale4–1DChesterfield1–1
Chesterfield1–1D
Fleetwood Town0–0
Fleetwood Town0–0W
Ebbsfleet United2–1
Ebbsfleet United2–1W
Dover3–0
Dover3–0L
Barnet2–6
Barnet2–6Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
9.3
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Rotherham | Gillingham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 57% | 86% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 43% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 43% | 71% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 43% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rotherham | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 57% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 43% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 71% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
7
Rotherham
64%
1
Draws
9%
3
Gillingham
27%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
64%
Over 2.5
7/11
36%
Over 3.5
4/11
45%
BTTS
5/11
30/04/22Rotherham
Gillingham
0–2Rotherham07/12/21Gillingham
Rotherham
5–1Gillingham02/11/19Rotherham
Gillingham
0–3Rotherham17/04/18Rotherham
Gillingham
0–1Rotherham28/10/17Gillingham
Rotherham
1–3Gillingham05/04/14Rotherham
Gillingham
3–4Rotherham30/11/13Gillingham
Rotherham
4–1Gillingham01/04/13Rotherham
Gillingham
1–0Rotherham08/12/12Gillingham
Rotherham
1–2Gillingham21/02/12Rotherham
Gillingham
0–0Rotherham27/08/11Gillingham
Rotherham
3–0Gillingham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |  Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Rotherham- ●Rotherham have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Gillingham- ●Gillingham have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Gillingham have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Gillingham have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gillingham have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Gillingham have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gillingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gillingham have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
RotherhamWANorthampton1–0
Northampton1–0DHSalford City3–3
Salford City3–3LABristol Rovers0–1
Bristol Rovers0–1DATranmere2–2
Tranmere2–2WHChesterfield2–1
Chesterfield2–1DHYork1–1
York1–1–HCrewe26/09
Crewe26/09–AExeter City03/10
Exeter City03/10–HGillingham10/10
Gillingham10/10GillinghamWHBristol Rovers3–0
Bristol Rovers3–0WHTranmere2–0
Tranmere2–0WARochdale4–1
Rochdale4–1DAChesterfield1–1
Chesterfield1–1DHNorthampton1–1
Northampton1–1DAFleetwood Town0–0
Fleetwood Town0–0–AYork26/09
York26/09–HNewport County03/10
Newport County03/10–ARotherham10/10
Rotherham10/10Top Scorers
RotherhamF. Tavares3 ⚽
Paul Mullin2 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
E. Otoo1 ⚽
K. Spence1 ⚽
J. Buyabu1 ⚽
GillinghamJames Brophy3 ⚽
S. Kendall2 ⚽
Lamin Sillah1 ⚽
L. Dayal1 ⚽
K. Harris1 ⚽
D. Theodore1 ⚽
Cards Given
RotherhamB. Cover3 🟨
Josh Austerfield3 🟨
J. Buyabu2 🟨
Denzel Hall1 🟨
F. Tavares1 🟨
E. Otoo1 🟨
GillinghamK. Harris2 🟨
R. McKenzie2 🟨
Conor McManus2 🟨
Eli King1 🟨
J. Brophy1 🟨
Garath McCleary1 🟨