Shrewsbury vs Exeter City — League Two
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Shrewsbury and Exeter City meet in the League Two 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Shrewsbury have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.87 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Exeter City have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 15%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Shrewsbury and 0.78 for Exeter City. The models give Shrewsbury a 49% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Exeter City win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Shrewsbury—
Exeter City18º
Position
20º
1.00
PPG
0.86
29%
Win %
14%
0.71
Goals / game
0.57
1.57
Conceded / game
0.71
33%
BTTS %
31%
40%
Clean sheet %
38%
33%
Over 2.5 %
15%
4.8
Avg corners
5.1
12.4
Avg shots
11.4
3.3
Avg shots on target
2.9
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.9
Avg fouls
13.0
41.6%
Avg possession
39.8%
Home vs Away
Shrewsbury
Home (3)
—
Exeter City
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
0.00
67%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
33%
BTTS %
29%
67%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
29%
4.8
Avg corners
5.1
12.4
Avg shots
11.4
3.3
Avg shots on target
2.9
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.1
41.6%
Avg possession
39.8%
Goals Scored
| Shrewsbury | Home | Away | Exeter City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 100% | 33% | 54% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 33% | 0% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 0% | 67% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Shrewsbury | Home | Away | Exeter City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 33% | 78% | 62% | 33% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 44% | 23% | 0% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 33% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 67% | 22% | 38% | 67% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shrewsbury | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 15% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 0% |
| BTTS | 33% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shrewsbury | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 7% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Shrewsbury (H)W
Northampton2–0
Northampton2–0W
Salford City1–0
Salford City1–0L
Barnet1–3
Barnet1–3L
West Brom1–4
West Brom1–4W
Everton U211–0
Everton U211–0W
Isle of Man4–0
Isle of Man4–0Exeter City (A)L
Port Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1L
York1–2
York1–2L
Grimsby0–1
Grimsby0–1L
Plymouth0–2
Plymouth0–2L
Torquay1–2
Torquay1–2W
Weston-super-Mare2–0
Weston-super-Mare2–0Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
9.8
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Shrewsbury | Exeter City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 88% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 88% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 75% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 38% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shrewsbury | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Shrewsbury
33%
2
Draws
22%
4
Exeter City
44%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
22%
BTTS
2/9
08/03/25Shrewsbury
Exeter City
2–0Shrewsbury17/10/24Exeter City
Shrewsbury
0–2Exeter City12/03/24Exeter City
Shrewsbury
0–3Exeter City28/11/23Shrewsbury
Exeter City
0–0Shrewsbury14/02/23Shrewsbury
Exeter City
0–0Shrewsbury13/09/22Exeter City
Shrewsbury
3–2Exeter City31/07/21Shrewsbury
Exeter City
0–2Shrewsbury11/04/15Exeter City
Shrewsbury
4–0Exeter City22/11/14Shrewsbury
Exeter City
3–2Shrewsbury| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Shrewsbury- ●Shrewsbury have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shrewsbury have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●73% of Shrewsbury's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Shrewsbury's points have been earned at home.
- ●Shrewsbury have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Exeter City- ●Exeter City have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Exeter City have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Exeter City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Exeter City have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●100% of Exeter City's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
ShrewsburyDACrewe1–1
Crewe1–1WHNorthampton2–0
Northampton2–0LAFleetwood Town0–2
Fleetwood Town0–2LARochdale0–3
Rochdale0–3WHSalford City1–0
Salford City1–0LHBarnet1–3
Barnet1–3–HColchester26/09
Colchester26/09–AGrimsby03/10
Grimsby03/10–HExeter City10/10
Exeter City10/10Exeter CityDHTranmere0–0
Tranmere0–0LAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1DHWalsall0–0
Walsall0–0DHBarnet1–1
Barnet1–1LAYork1–2
York1–2WHAccrington ST2–0
Accrington ST2–0–ABristol Rovers26/09
Bristol Rovers26/09–HRotherham03/10
Rotherham03/10–AShrewsbury10/10
Shrewsbury10/10Top Scorers
ShrewsburyJ. Davison2 ⚽
W. Boyle2 ⚽
George Lloyd1 ⚽
I. Fletcher1 ⚽
A. Jude-Boyd1 ⚽
J. Ruffels1 ⚽
Exeter CityJ. Fitzwater2 ⚽
J. Gordon1 ⚽
Danny Rose1 ⚽
Louie Cayless1 ⚽
R. Cole1 ⚽
S. Cox1 ⚽
Cards Given
ShrewsburyS. Stubbs3 🟨
T. Anderson2 🟨
A. Jude-Boyd2 🟨
J. Gbode2 🟨
J. Davison1 🟨
Gavin Cowan1 🟨
Exeter CityE. Sutherland3 🟨
C. Cummins2 🟨
J. Doyle-Hayes1 🟨
G. Edwards1 🟨
Edward James1 🟨
Danny Rose1 🟨