Swindon Town vs Crewe — League Two
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Swindon Town and Crewe meet in the League Two 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Swindon Town have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Crewe have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Swindon Town and 1.17 for Crewe. The models give Swindon Town a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Crewe win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Swindon Town—
Crewe13º
Position
9º
1.43
PPG
1.57
43%
Win %
29%
1.14
Goals / game
1.00
1.57
Conceded / game
0.71
60%
BTTS %
64%
13%
Clean sheet %
36%
80%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.0
Avg corners
4.8
9.4
Avg shots
13.1
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
0.8
11.0
Avg fouls
12.0
43.6%
Avg possession
47.9%
Home vs Away
Swindon Town
Home (3)
—
Crewe
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
1.67
100%
Win %
33%
2.67
Goals / game
0.67
1.00
Conceded / game
0.33
75%
BTTS %
43%
13%
Clean sheet %
57%
88%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.0
Avg corners
4.8
9.4
Avg shots
13.1
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
0.8
43.6%
Avg possession
47.9%
Goals Scored
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Crewe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 88% | 43% | 86% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 63% | 29% | 36% | 29% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 38% | 14% | 14% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 13% | 57% | 14% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Crewe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 88% | 86% | 64% | 86% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 25% | 57% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 13% | 57% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 14% | 36% | 14% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Swindon Town | Crewe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS | 60% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Swindon Town | Crewe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 7% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Swindon Town (H)L
Crystal Palace U211–2
Crystal Palace U211–2W
Colchester3–1
Colchester3–1W
Port Vale3–1
Port Vale3–1W
Cheltenham2–1
Cheltenham2–1W
Leyton Orient2–1
Leyton Orient2–1L
Bristol City1–3
Bristol City1–3Crewe (A)DColchester1–1
Colchester1–1DPort Vale0–0
Port Vale0–0L
Barnsley2–3
Barnsley2–3W
Crawley Town1–0
Crawley Town1–0D
Chester0–0
Chester0–0W
AFC Telford United3–0
AFC Telford United3–0Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
12.0
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Swindon Town | Crewe | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 75% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 63% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 63% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 63% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 63% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 38% | 38% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Swindon Town | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.1 | 7.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 63% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
12
Swindon Town
44%
5
Draws
19%
10
Crewe
37%
81%
Over 1.5
22/27
70%
Over 2.5
19/27
33%
Over 3.5
9/27
56%
BTTS
15/27
21/02/26Crewe
Swindon Town
1–2Crewe30/08/25Swindon Town
Crewe
0–3Swindon Town11/01/25Crewe
Swindon Town
0–0Crewe24/08/24Swindon Town
Crewe
0–0Swindon Town13/01/24Swindon Town
Crewe
2–1Swindon Town12/08/23Crewe
Swindon Town
2–2Crewe29/04/23Swindon Town
Crewe
2–1Swindon Town19/11/22Crewe
Swindon Town
0–1Crewe06/11/21Swindon Town
Crewe
0–3Swindon Town20/02/21Crewe
Swindon Town
2–1Crewe01/12/20Swindon Town
Crewe
4–2Swindon Town11/01/20Crewe
Swindon Town
3–1Crewe19/10/19Swindon Town
Crewe
3–1Swindon Town22/04/19Crewe
Swindon Town
1–2Crewe02/10/18Swindon Town
Crewe
1–0Swindon Town27/01/18Crewe
Swindon Town
4–3Crewe23/12/17Swindon Town
Crewe
0–3Swindon Town16/01/16Crewe
Swindon Town
4–3Crewe05/09/15Swindon Town
Crewe
1–3Swindon Town28/02/15Swindon Town
Crewe
0–0Swindon Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |  Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Swindon Town- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Swindon Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●100% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Swindon Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Swindon Town's points have been earned at home.
Crewe- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Swindon TownLASalford City0–1
Salford City0–1LAYork0–4
York0–4WHColchester3–1
Colchester3–1WHPort Vale3–1
Port Vale3–1LAOldham0–3
Oldham0–3WHCheltenham2–1
Cheltenham2–1–HAccrington ST26/09
Accrington ST26/09–ARochdale03/10
Rochdale03/10–HCrewe10/10
Crewe10/10CreweDHShrewsbury1–1
Shrewsbury1–1DAColchester1–1
Colchester1–1DHYork1–1
York1–1DHWalsall2–2
Walsall2–2DAPort Vale0–0
Port Vale0–0WHNorthampton1–0
Northampton1–0–ARotherham26/09
Rotherham26/09–HBristol Rovers03/10
Bristol Rovers03/10–ASwindon Town10/10
Swindon Town10/10Top Scorers
Swindon TownA. Drinan6 ⚽
Aaron Drinan4 ⚽
P. Glatzel3 ⚽
F. Holman1 ⚽
L. Millard1 ⚽
Louis Millard1 ⚽
CreweJ. March4 ⚽
F. Roberts2 ⚽
J. Gibson2 ⚽
J. Lankester2 ⚽
A. Thibaut2 ⚽
L. Moore2 ⚽
Cards Given
Swindon TownJ. Debayo3 🟨
Dan Butler1 🟨
Daniel Butterworth1 🟨
I. Holloway1 🟨
C. Ripley1 🟨
Anthony Munda1 🟨
CreweM. Demetriou4 🟨
Calum·Agius1 🟨
J. Gibson1 🟨
J. March1 🟨
C. Agius1 🟨
Joe White1 🟨