Accrington ST vs Gillingham — League Two
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Accrington ST and Gillingham meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Accrington ST have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Gillingham have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Accrington ST and 1.31 for Gillingham. The models give Accrington ST a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Gillingham win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Accrington ST | Home | Away | Gillingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 80% | 69% | 63% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 44% | 40% | 38% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 22% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 20% | 31% | 38% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Accrington ST | Home | Away | Gillingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 44% | 80% | 62% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 44% | 80% | 23% | 38% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 38% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 56% | 20% | 38% | 38% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Accrington ST | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 79% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 15% |
| BTTS | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 31% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Accrington ST | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Accrington ST | Gillingham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 88% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 75% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 13% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 25% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Accrington ST | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 6.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 75% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | |
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 | |
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Accrington ST have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Accrington ST have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Accrington ST have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Accrington ST's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Accrington ST's points have been earned at home.
- ●Accrington ST have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Accrington ST have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Gillingham have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Gillingham have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Gillingham have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gillingham have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Gillingham have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gillingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gillingham have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.