Colchester vs Exeter City — League Two
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Colchester and Exeter City meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Colchester have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Exeter City have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 0.86 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 21%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Colchester and 0.94 for Exeter City. The models give Colchester a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Exeter City win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Colchester—
Exeter City15º
Position
20º
1.29
PPG
0.86
29%
Win %
14%
1.14
Goals / game
0.57
1.43
Conceded / game
0.71
50%
BTTS %
36%
25%
Clean sheet %
36%
50%
Over 2.5 %
21%
3.4
Avg corners
4.9
12.8
Avg shots
12.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
11.6
Avg fouls
13.3
48.1%
Avg possession
41.6%
Home vs Away
Colchester
Home (4)
—
Exeter City
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
1.25
Goals / game
0.33
0.75
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
38%
13%
Clean sheet %
13%
38%
Over 2.5 %
38%
3.4
Avg corners
4.9
12.8
Avg shots
12.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
48.1%
Avg possession
41.6%
Goals Scored
| Colchester | Home | Away | Exeter City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 75% | 63% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 38% | 38% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 25% | 38% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Colchester | Home | Away | Exeter City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 88% | 63% | 64% | 33% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 13% | 38% | 36% | 67% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Colchester | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 21% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Colchester | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Colchester (H)D
Cheltenham1–1
Cheltenham1–1D
Crewe1–1
Crewe1–1W
Rochdale1–0
Rochdale1–0W
Oldham2–1
Oldham2–1L
Southampton0–2
Southampton0–2L
Charlton0–2
Charlton0–2Exeter City (A)DCheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2L
Port Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1L
York1–2
York1–2L
Grimsby0–1
Grimsby0–1L
Plymouth0–2
Plymouth0–2L
Torquay1–2
Torquay1–2Number of Corners
7.4
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
9.4
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Colchester | Exeter City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 89% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 78% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 67% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 13% | 44% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Colchester | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 38% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 44% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
4
Colchester
25%
4
Draws
25%
8
Exeter City
50%
81%
Over 1.5
13/16
56%
Over 2.5
9/16
38%
Over 3.5
6/16
56%
BTTS
9/16
15/04/22Colchester
Exeter City
2–0Colchester23/11/21Exeter City
Colchester
3–1Exeter City23/02/21Exeter City
Colchester
1–2Exeter City24/11/20Colchester
Exeter City
6–1Colchester22/06/20Colchester
Exeter City
3–1Colchester18/06/20Exeter City
Colchester
1–0Exeter City25/01/20Colchester
Exeter City
0–0Colchester29/12/19Exeter City
Colchester
2–2Exeter City16/03/19Colchester
Exeter City
3–0Colchester24/11/18Exeter City
Colchester
1–1Exeter City05/05/18Colchester
Exeter City
1–0Colchester09/12/17Exeter City
Colchester
3–1Exeter City21/01/17Colchester
Exeter City
3–0Colchester03/09/16Exeter City
Colchester
2–3Exeter City31/03/12Colchester
Exeter City
1–1Colchester31/12/11Exeter City
Colchester
2–0Exeter City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Colchester- ●Colchester have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Colchester have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Colchester have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Colchester have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Colchester have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●63% of Colchester's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Colchester's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●89% of Colchester's points have been earned at home.
Exeter City- ●Exeter City have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Exeter City have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Exeter City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Exeter City have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●100% of Exeter City's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
ColchesterDHCheltenham1–1
Cheltenham1–1DHCrewe1–1
Crewe1–1LASwindon Town1–3
Swindon Town1–3LABristol Rovers0–2
Bristol Rovers0–2WHRochdale1–0
Rochdale1–0WHOldham2–1
Oldham2–1–AShrewsbury26/09
Shrewsbury26/09–HPort Vale03/10
Port Vale03/10–ANewport County10/10
Newport County10/10Exeter CityDHTranmere0–0
Tranmere0–0LAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1DHWalsall0–0
Walsall0–0DHBarnet1–1
Barnet1–1LAYork1–2
York1–2WHAccrington ST2–0
Accrington ST2–0–ABristol Rovers26/09
Bristol Rovers26/09–HRotherham03/10
Rotherham03/10–AShrewsbury10/10
Shrewsbury10/10Top Scorers
ColchesterH. Anderson3 ⚽
J. Payne2 ⚽
F. Terry1 ⚽
Harry Anderson1 ⚽
E. Iandolo1 ⚽
B. Ihionvien1 ⚽
Exeter CityJ. Fitzwater2 ⚽
J. Gordon2 ⚽
Danny Rose1 ⚽
K. Wilson1 ⚽
L. Woodhouse1 ⚽
Lakyle·Samuel1 ⚽
Cards Given
ColchesterAdrian Moyosoreoluwa Ameer Akande1 🟨
E. Iandolo1 🟨
Ellis Iandolo1 🟨
Harry Anderson1 🟨
J. Tucker1 🟨
Jaden Williams1 🟨
Exeter CityE. Sutherland3 🟨
C. Cummins2 🟨
Edward James2 🟨
G. Edwards1 🟨
Ethan Sutherland1 🟨
Danny Rose1 🟨