Crewe vs Rochdale — League Two
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Crewe and Rochdale meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Crewe have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Rochdale have won 14% of their 14 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Crewe and 0.78 for Rochdale. The models give Crewe a 55% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Rochdale win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Crewe—
Rochdale9º
Position
17º
1.57
PPG
1.00
29%
Win %
29%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.71
Conceded / game
1.43
67%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
21%
47%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.3
Avg corners
3.2
13.2
Avg shots
9.4
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.1
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.6
13.7
Avg fouls
10.6
47.9%
Avg possession
54.3%
Home vs Away
Crewe
Home (4)
—
Rochdale
Away (3)
1.50
PPG
0.33
25%
Win %
0%
1.25
Goals / game
0.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
88%
BTTS %
17%
13%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.3
Avg corners
3.2
13.2
Avg shots
9.4
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.1
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.6
47.9%
Avg possession
54.3%
Goals Scored
| Crewe | Home | Away | Rochdale | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 100% | 71% | 64% | 100% | 17% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 38% | 43% | 50% | 75% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 13% | 29% | 21% | 38% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 29% | 36% | 0% | 83% |
Goals Conceded
| Crewe | Home | Away | Rochdale | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 88% | 43% | 79% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 36% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 13% | 57% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Crewe | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Crewe | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 7% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 79% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Crewe (H)W
Aston Villa U214–1
Aston Villa U214–1D
Shrewsbury1–1
Shrewsbury1–1D
York1–1
York1–1D
Walsall2–2
Walsall2–2W
Northampton1–0
Northampton1–0W
Accrington ST2–1
Accrington ST2–1Rochdale (A)DWalsall0–0
Walsall0–0L
Colchester0–1
Colchester0–1L
Newport County0–3
Newport County0–3L
Bradford0–2
Bradford0–2D
Tranmere2–2
Tranmere2–2L
United of Manchester0–2
United of Manchester0–2Number of Corners
12.2
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
8.8
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Crewe | Rochdale | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 78% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 44% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 44% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 44% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 67% | 22% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 67% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 44% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Crewe | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 3.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.9 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 67% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
2
Crewe
22%
4
Draws
44%
3
Rochdale
33%
100%
Over 1.5
9/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
25/02/23Rochdale
Crewe
1–1Rochdale30/07/22Crewe
Rochdale
1–2Crewe24/04/21Rochdale
Crewe
1–1Rochdale09/01/21Crewe
Rochdale
3–3Crewe16/02/16Crewe
Rochdale
2–2Crewe06/02/16Rochdale
Crewe
2–0Rochdale03/03/15Crewe
Rochdale
4–0Crewe02/09/14Rochdale
Crewe
0–3Rochdale19/08/14Rochdale
Crewe
2–5Rochdale| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |  Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Crewe- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Rochdale- ●Rochdale have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Rochdale have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●86% of Rochdale's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
CreweDHShrewsbury1–1
Shrewsbury1–1DAColchester1–1
Colchester1–1DHYork1–1
York1–1DHWalsall2–2
Walsall2–2DAPort Vale0–0
Port Vale0–0WHNorthampton1–0
Northampton1–0–ARotherham26/09
Rotherham26/09–HBristol Rovers03/10
Bristol Rovers03/10–ASwindon Town10/10
Swindon Town10/10RochdaleWHOldham2–0
Oldham2–0DAWalsall0–0
Walsall0–0LHGillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4WHShrewsbury3–0
Shrewsbury3–0LAColchester0–1
Colchester0–1LHCrawley Town1–2
Crawley Town1–2–AFleetwood Town26/09
Fleetwood Town26/09–HSwindon Town03/10
Swindon Town03/10–ATranmere10/10
Tranmere10/10Top Scorers
CreweJ. March4 ⚽
F. Roberts2 ⚽
A. Thibaut2 ⚽
J. Gibson2 ⚽
J. Lankester2 ⚽
Jack Lankester2 ⚽
RochdaleI. Henderson5 ⚽
Z. Silcott-Duberry2 ⚽
E. Ebanks-Landell2 ⚽
L. Hannant2 ⚽
Daniel Moss1 ⚽
Cian Hayes1 ⚽
Cards Given
CreweM. Demetriou4 🟨
L. Billington2 🟨
J. Gibson1 🟨
J. March1 🟨
J. White1 🟨
Joe White1 🟨
RochdaleB. Bilongo3 🟨
T. Adebayo-Rowling2 🟨
L. Hannant2 🟨
D. Moss2 🟨
Edward Francis1 🟨
D. Brown1 🟨