Grimsby vs Northampton — League Two
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Grimsby and Northampton meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Grimsby have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 53% of games. Northampton have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Grimsby and 0.80 for Northampton. The models give Grimsby a 63% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Northampton win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Grimsby—
Northampton3º
Position
22º
1.86
PPG
0.86
43%
Win %
14%
1.57
Goals / game
0.43
0.86
Conceded / game
0.86
47%
BTTS %
29%
53%
Clean sheet %
29%
47%
Over 2.5 %
29%
8.4
Avg corners
4.8
14.6
Avg shots
9.9
5.7
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.6
11.9
Avg fouls
11.6
53.0%
Avg possession
43.8%
Home vs Away
Grimsby
Home (4)
—
Northampton
Away (3)
2.50
PPG
0.33
75%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
0.33
0.50
Conceded / game
1.33
50%
BTTS %
38%
50%
Clean sheet %
13%
50%
Over 2.5 %
38%
8.4
Avg corners
4.8
14.6
Avg shots
9.9
5.7
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.6
53.0%
Avg possession
43.8%
Goals Scored
| Grimsby | Home | Away | Northampton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 57% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 75% | 43% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 14% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 43% | 64% | 67% | 63% |
Goals Conceded
| Grimsby | Home | Away | Northampton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 47% | 50% | 43% | 71% | 50% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 38% | 29% | 29% | 17% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 13% | 0% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 53% | 50% | 57% | 29% | 50% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Grimsby | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 7% |
| BTTS | 47% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 14% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Grimsby | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 53% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 21% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Grimsby (H)W
Crawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0W
Bristol Rovers2–0
Bristol Rovers2–0D
Fleetwood Town2–2
Fleetwood Town2–2W
Exeter City1–0
Exeter City1–0L
Blackpool1–3
Blackpool1–3W
Grimsby Borough3–2
Grimsby Borough3–2Northampton (A)L
Shrewsbury0–2
Shrewsbury0–2D
Gillingham1–1
Gillingham1–1L
Crewe0–1
Crewe0–1L
Leicester0–1
Leicester0–1W
Solihull Moors4–2
Solihull Moors4–2D
Cambridge United0–0
Cambridge United0–0Number of Corners
13.6
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
8.8
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Grimsby | Northampton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 75% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 71% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 71% | 38% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 57% | 13% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 57% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Grimsby | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 8.4 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 38% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Grimsby
29%
3
Draws
43%
2
Northampton
29%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
18/02/23Grimsby
Northampton
1–2Grimsby06/08/22Northampton
Grimsby
1–1Northampton29/02/20Northampton
Grimsby
0–3Northampton23/11/19Grimsby
Northampton
2–0Grimsby16/03/19Northampton
Grimsby
0–0Northampton24/11/18Grimsby
Northampton
2–2Grimsby07/12/13Northampton
Grimsby
2–0Northampton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Grimsby- ●Grimsby have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Grimsby have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Grimsby have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Grimsby's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Grimsby's points have been earned at home.
- ●Grimsby have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Northampton- ●83% of Northampton's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
GrimsbyWHCrawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0WHBristol Rovers2–0
Bristol Rovers2–0DACheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2DAAccrington ST2–2
Accrington ST2–2DHFleetwood Town2–2
Fleetwood Town2–2DAWalsall0–0
Walsall0–0–ANewport County26/09
Newport County26/09–HShrewsbury03/10
Shrewsbury03/10–APort Vale10/10
Port Vale10/10NorthamptonLHRotherham0–1
Rotherham0–1LAShrewsbury0–2
Shrewsbury0–2WHNewport County1–0
Newport County1–0DHCrawley Town1–1
Crawley Town1–1DAGillingham1–1
Gillingham1–1LACrewe0–1
Crewe0–1–APort Vale26/09
Port Vale26/09–HOldham03/10
Oldham03/10–AYork10/10
York10/10Top Scorers
GrimsbyA. Cook6 ⚽
J. Amaluzor3 ⚽
Kieran Green3 ⚽
H. Rodgers2 ⚽
C. Vernam2 ⚽
J. Walker1 ⚽
NorthamptonM. Warhurst2 ⚽
E. List1 ⚽
H. Saunders1 ⚽
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh1 ⚽
L. Briggs1 ⚽
M. Dyche1 ⚽
Cards Given
GrimsbyKieran Green2 🟨
C. McJannet2 🟨
Géza Dávid Turi1 🟨
H. Rodgers1 🟨
J. Kabia1 🟨
J. Sweeney1 🟨
NorthamptonL. Evans2 🟨
J. Wormleighton1 🟨
Joe Wormleighton1 🟨
L. Briggs1 🟨
J. Maxwell1 🟨
H. Saunders1 🟨