Newport County vs York — League Two
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Newport County and York meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Newport County have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. York have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 79%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Newport County and 1.17 for York. The models give Newport County a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an York win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Newport County—
York19º
Position
7º
0.86
PPG
1.57
14%
Win %
43%
1.43
Goals / game
1.86
1.57
Conceded / game
1.43
56%
BTTS %
79%
31%
Clean sheet %
7%
69%
Over 2.5 %
71%
3.4
Avg corners
6.5
10.1
Avg shots
16.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.4
12.6
Avg fouls
9.8
40.1%
Avg possession
61.9%
Home vs Away
Newport County
Home (3)
—
York
Away (4)
1.67
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.75
60%
BTTS %
80%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
40%
3.4
Avg corners
6.5
10.1
Avg shots
16.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.4
40.1%
Avg possession
61.9%
Goals Scored
| Newport County | Home | Away | York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 73% | 86% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 40% | 45% | 50% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 11% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Newport County | Home | Away | York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 80% | 64% | 93% | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 60% | 36% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 40% | 9% | 29% | 22% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 20% | 36% | 7% | 11% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newport County | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 29% |
| BTTS | 56% | 79% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newport County | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 79% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Newport County (H)D
Fleetwood Town1–1
Fleetwood Town1–1D
Tranmere2–2
Tranmere2–2W
Rochdale3–0
Rochdale3–0L
AS Roma1–4
AS Roma1–4L
Reading0–4
Reading0–4W
Oldham3–2
Oldham3–2York (A)L
Chesterfield0–2
Chesterfield0–2D
Crewe1–1
Crewe1–1L
Cheltenham2–3
Cheltenham2–3D
Rotherham1–1
Rotherham1–1L
Pickering Town2–4
Pickering Town2–4DRochdale1–1
Rochdale1–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
10.4
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Newport County | York | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 88% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 86% | 63% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 71% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 38% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 25% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 25% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Newport County | York |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 6.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 57% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 50% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
5
Newport County
56%
1
Draws
11%
3
York
33%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
33%
BTTS
3/9
16/01/16Newport County
York
0–1Newport County05/09/15York
Newport County
0–3York25/04/15Newport County
York
0–2Newport County11/10/14York
Newport County
3–1York26/04/14Newport County
York
1–0Newport County19/10/13York
Newport County
3–0York12/05/12York
Newport County
0–2York14/04/12Newport County
York
1–1Newport County03/04/12York
Newport County
2–1York| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |  Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Newport County- ●Newport County have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Newport County have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●73% of Newport County's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Newport County's points have been earned at home.
York- ●York have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●69% of York's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of York's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●82% of York's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Newport CountyDAAccrington ST0–0
Accrington ST0–0DHFleetwood Town1–1
Fleetwood Town1–1LANorthampton0–1
Northampton0–1LASalford City1–2
Salford City1–2DHTranmere2–2
Tranmere2–2LABristol Rovers3–5
Bristol Rovers3–5–HGrimsby26/09
Grimsby26/09–AGillingham03/10
Gillingham03/10–HColchester10/10
Colchester10/10YorkLAChesterfield0–2
Chesterfield0–2WHSwindon Town4–0
Swindon Town4–0DACrewe1–1
Crewe1–1LACheltenham2–3
Cheltenham2–3WHExeter City2–1
Exeter City2–1DARotherham1–1
Rotherham1–1–HGillingham26/09
Gillingham26/09–ABarnet03/10
Barnet03/10–HNorthampton10/10
Northampton10/10Top Scorers
Newport CountyS. Gwengwe7 ⚽
Y. Bamba3 ⚽
H. Biggins3 ⚽
K. Cameron2 ⚽
C. Jarvis2 ⚽
C. Brennan1 ⚽
YorkA. Newby4 ⚽
Alex Newby3 ⚽
Ollie Pearce2 ⚽
H. Boyes2 ⚽
G. Olley2 ⚽
T. Hewson2 ⚽
Cards Given
Newport CountyM. Dibley-Dias2 🟨
L. Jenkins2 🟨
A. Merritt2 🟨
C. Doidge1 🟨
Cameron Evans1 🟨
C. Norman1 🟨
YorkM. Williams2 🟨
O. Banks2 🟨
Ollie Banks2 🟨
Mark Kitching1 🟨
Morgan·Williams1 🟨
Ollie Pearce1 🟨