Port Vale vs Chesterfield — League Two
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Port Vale and Chesterfield meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Port Vale have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Chesterfield have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Port Vale and 0.96 for Chesterfield. The models give Port Vale a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Chesterfield win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Port Vale—
Chesterfield23º
Position
8º
0.71
PPG
1.57
14%
Win %
43%
0.43
Goals / game
1.43
1.29
Conceded / game
1.14
25%
BTTS %
58%
42%
Clean sheet %
25%
33%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.6
Avg corners
4.4
10.7
Avg shots
15.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
13.9
Avg fouls
10.5
46.9%
Avg possession
55.4%
Home vs Away
Port Vale
Home (3)
—
Chesterfield
Away (3)
1.67
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
0.67
Goals / game
1.33
0.33
Conceded / game
1.00
20%
BTTS %
67%
80%
Clean sheet %
17%
20%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.6
Avg corners
4.4
10.7
Avg shots
15.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
46.9%
Avg possession
55.4%
Goals Scored
| Port Vale | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 80% | 43% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 14% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 14% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 20% | 57% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Port Vale | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 20% | 86% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 57% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 80% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Port Vale | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 25% |
| BTTS | 25% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Port Vale | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Port Vale (H)W
Exeter City1–0
Exeter City1–0D
Crewe0–0
Crewe0–0D
Tranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1W
Real Murcia1–0
Real Murcia1–0W
Tamworth5–0
Tamworth5–0L
Lincoln0–2
Lincoln0–2Chesterfield (A)W
Oldham2–1
Oldham2–1L
Rotherham1–2
Rotherham1–2W
Salford City1–0
Salford City1–0L
Fleetwood Town0–1
Fleetwood Town0–1D
Scunthorpe1–1
Scunthorpe1–1L
FC Halifax Town2–3
FC Halifax Town2–3Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
8.5
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Port Vale | Chesterfield | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 50% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 71% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 57% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 25% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 13% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 13% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Port Vale | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 86% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 38% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
5
Port Vale
38%
2
Draws
15%
6
Chesterfield
46%
69%
Over 1.5
9/13
46%
Over 2.5
6/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
46%
BTTS
6/13
25/01/25Port Vale
Chesterfield
1–1Port Vale14/09/24Chesterfield
Port Vale
1–0Chesterfield31/07/21Port Vale
Chesterfield
0–1Port Vale30/03/18Chesterfield
Port Vale
2–1Chesterfield19/08/17Port Vale
Chesterfield
2–0Port Vale08/04/17Port Vale
Chesterfield
1–0Port Vale30/12/16Chesterfield
Port Vale
1–0Chesterfield02/04/16Port Vale
Chesterfield
4–2Port Vale21/11/15Chesterfield
Port Vale
3–2Chesterfield10/01/15Port Vale
Chesterfield
3–0Port Vale30/08/14Chesterfield
Port Vale
1–2Chesterfield01/04/13Port Vale
Chesterfield
2–2Port Vale08/12/12Chesterfield
Port Vale
0–2Chesterfield| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Port Vale- ●Port Vale have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Port Vale have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Port Vale have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●89% of Port Vale's goals conceded were conceded away.
Chesterfield- ●Chesterfield have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
Port ValeLAWalsall0–2
Walsall0–2WHExeter City1–0
Exeter City1–0LASalford City0–1
Salford City0–1LASwindon Town1–3
Swindon Town1–3DHCrewe0–0
Crewe0–0DHTranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1–HNorthampton26/09
Northampton26/09–AColchester03/10
Colchester03/10–HGrimsby10/10
Grimsby10/10ChesterfieldWHYork2–0
York2–0WAOldham2–1
Oldham2–1DHBarnet3–3
Barnet3–3DHGillingham1–1
Gillingham1–1LARotherham1–2
Rotherham1–2WASalford City1–0
Salford City1–0–ACheltenham26/09
Cheltenham26/09–HTranmere03/10
Tranmere03/10–ACrawley Town10/10
Crawley Town10/10Top Scorers
Port ValeM. Faal2 ⚽
R. Walters2 ⚽
J. Lawrence-Gabriel2 ⚽
J. Moon1 ⚽
O. Hernandez1 ⚽
Oliver Lynch1 ⚽
ChesterfieldLouie Marsh3 ⚽
J. Koroma2 ⚽
Joel Randall2 ⚽
Lee Bonis2 ⚽
Dilan Markanday2 ⚽
Cheyenne Dunkley1 ⚽
Cards Given
Port Vale4 🟨
Kyle Dempsey2 🟨
Ben Garrity2 🟨
J. Lawrence-Gabriel2 🟨
George Byers1 🟨
Cameron Humphreys1 🟨
ChesterfieldK. McFadzean3 🟨
Alfie Pond2 🟨
George McEachran2 🟨
Remeao Hutton2 🟨
Junior Eccleston1 🟨
J. Simpson1 🟨