Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers — League Two
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Shrewsbury and Bristol Rovers meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Shrewsbury have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.87 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Bristol Rovers have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Shrewsbury and 1.10 for Bristol Rovers. The models give Shrewsbury a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Bristol Rovers win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Shrewsbury—
Bristol Rovers18º
Position
6º
1.00
PPG
1.71
29%
Win %
57%
0.71
Goals / game
1.71
1.57
Conceded / game
1.57
33%
BTTS %
50%
40%
Clean sheet %
29%
33%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.8
Avg corners
5.6
12.4
Avg shots
17.0
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.3
13.9
Avg fouls
11.7
41.6%
Avg possession
48.1%
Home vs Away
Shrewsbury
Home (3)
—
Bristol Rovers
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
0.75
67%
Win %
25%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
33%
BTTS %
43%
67%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.8
Avg corners
5.6
12.4
Avg shots
17.0
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.3
41.6%
Avg possession
48.1%
Goals Scored
| Shrewsbury | Home | Away | Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 100% | 33% | 79% | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 33% | 0% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 17% | 0% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 0% | 67% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Shrewsbury | Home | Away | Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 33% | 78% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 44% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 33% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 67% | 22% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shrewsbury | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 21% |
| BTTS | 33% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shrewsbury | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 7% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Shrewsbury (H)W
Northampton2–0
Northampton2–0W
Salford City1–0
Salford City1–0L
Barnet1–3
Barnet1–3L
West Brom1–4
West Brom1–4W
Everton U211–0
Everton U211–0W
Isle of Man4–0
Isle of Man4–0Bristol Rovers (A)L
Gillingham0–3
Gillingham0–3L
Grimsby0–2
Grimsby0–2W
Crawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0L
York2–3
York2–3D
Forest Green2–2
Forest Green2–2W
Salisbury3–2
Salisbury3–2Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
9.0
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Shrewsbury | Bristol Rovers | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 57% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 43% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 43% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 43% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 43% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 29% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 29% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shrewsbury | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 29% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
6
Shrewsbury
30%
5
Draws
25%
9
Bristol Rovers
45%
60%
Over 1.5
12/20
30%
Over 2.5
6/20
10%
Over 3.5
2/20
35%
BTTS
7/20
17/03/26Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
1–0Shrewsbury01/01/26Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
0–3Bristol Rovers04/03/25Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
0–0Bristol Rovers22/10/24Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
1–0Shrewsbury01/04/24Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
0–0Shrewsbury16/09/23Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
0–2Bristol Rovers02/05/23Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
2–1Bristol Rovers27/08/22Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
1–1Shrewsbury27/02/21Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
2–1Shrewsbury20/10/20Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
0–1Bristol Rovers29/02/20Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
0–1Shrewsbury23/11/19Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
3–4Bristol Rovers09/02/19Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
1–1Shrewsbury01/09/18Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
1–1Bristol Rovers03/02/18Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
1–2Shrewsbury17/10/17Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
4–0Bristol Rovers01/04/17Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
2–0Shrewsbury17/12/16Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
2–0Bristol Rovers14/02/12Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
1–0Bristol Rovers13/09/11Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
1–0Shrewsbury| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |  Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Shrewsbury- ●Shrewsbury have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shrewsbury have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●73% of Shrewsbury's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Shrewsbury's points have been earned at home.
- ●Shrewsbury have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Bristol Rovers- ●Bristol Rovers have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Bristol Rovers's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Bristol Rovers's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Bristol Rovers's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
ShrewsburyDACrewe1–1
Crewe1–1WHNorthampton2–0
Northampton2–0LAFleetwood Town0–2
Fleetwood Town0–2LARochdale0–3
Rochdale0–3WHSalford City1–0
Salford City1–0LHBarnet1–3
Barnet1–3–HColchester26/09
Colchester26/09–AGrimsby03/10
Grimsby03/10–HExeter City10/10
Exeter City10/10Bristol RoversLAGillingham0–3
Gillingham0–3LAGrimsby0–2
Grimsby0–2WHRotherham1–0
Rotherham1–0WHColchester2–0
Colchester2–0WACrawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0WHNewport County5–3
Newport County5–3–HExeter City26/09
Exeter City26/09–ACrewe03/10
Crewe03/10–HBarnet10/10
Barnet10/10Top Scorers
ShrewsburyJ. Davison2 ⚽
W. Boyle2 ⚽
George Lloyd1 ⚽
I. Fletcher1 ⚽
A. Jude-Boyd1 ⚽
J. Ruffels1 ⚽
Bristol RoversF. Cavegn3 ⚽
T. Leigh3 ⚽
B. Kamwa3 ⚽
E. Harrison3 ⚽
M. Rijks2 ⚽
T. James2 ⚽
Cards Given
ShrewsburyS. Stubbs3 🟨
T. Anderson2 🟨
A. Jude-Boyd2 🟨
J. Gbode2 🟨
J. Davison1 🟨
Gavin Cowan1 🟨
Bristol RoversT. Leigh2 🟨
T. James2 🟨
Kofi Balmer2 🟨
C. Mola1 🟨
J. Quigley1 🟨
Ellis Harrison1 🟨