Swindon Town vs Walsall — League Two
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Swindon Town and Walsall meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Swindon Town have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Walsall have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 0.85 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 15%, Over 2.5 at 31%, and clean sheets at 69%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Swindon Town and 1.28 for Walsall. The models give Swindon Town a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Walsall win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Swindon Town—
Walsall13º
Position
2º
1.43
PPG
1.86
43%
Win %
43%
1.14
Goals / game
1.43
1.57
Conceded / game
0.57
60%
BTTS %
15%
13%
Clean sheet %
69%
80%
Over 2.5 %
31%
4.0
Avg corners
5.5
9.4
Avg shots
14.3
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.0
Avg fouls
13.5
43.6%
Avg possession
52.1%
Home vs Away
Swindon Town
Home (3)
—
Walsall
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
1.67
100%
Win %
33%
2.67
Goals / game
1.67
1.00
Conceded / game
0.67
75%
BTTS %
17%
13%
Clean sheet %
67%
88%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.0
Avg corners
5.5
9.4
Avg shots
14.3
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
43.6%
Avg possession
52.1%
Goals Scored
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Walsall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 88% | 43% | 38% | 29% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 63% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 38% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 13% | 57% | 62% | 71% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Walsall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 88% | 86% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 25% | 57% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 13% | 57% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 14% | 69% | 71% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Swindon Town | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS | 60% | 15% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Swindon Town | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 62% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 23% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Swindon Town (H)L
Crystal Palace U211–2
Crystal Palace U211–2W
Colchester3–1
Colchester3–1W
Port Vale3–1
Port Vale3–1W
Cheltenham2–1
Cheltenham2–1W
Leyton Orient2–1
Leyton Orient2–1L
Bristol City1–3
Bristol City1–3Walsall (A)D
Exeter City0–0
Exeter City0–0D
Crewe2–2
Crewe2–2W
Gillingham3–0
Gillingham3–0WBristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0L
AFC Telford United0–1
AFC Telford United0–1D
Leamington0–0
Leamington0–0Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
12.1
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Swindon Town | Walsall | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 88% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 88% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 75% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 38% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 38% | 25% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Swindon Town | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.1 | 6.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 50% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
10
Swindon Town
43%
5
Draws
22%
8
Walsall
35%
87%
Over 1.5
20/23
61%
Over 2.5
14/23
26%
Over 3.5
6/23
57%
BTTS
13/23
06/04/26Walsall
Swindon Town
2–1Walsall02/08/25Swindon Town
Walsall
2–1Swindon Town01/03/25Swindon Town
Walsall
0–1Swindon Town17/08/24Walsall
Swindon Town
0–4Walsall16/04/24Swindon Town
Walsall
2–1Swindon Town16/09/23Walsall
Swindon Town
2–0Walsall14/03/23Swindon Town
Walsall
0–0Swindon Town26/12/22Walsall
Swindon Town
1–2Walsall09/08/22Swindon Town
Walsall
2–0Swindon Town07/05/22Swindon Town
Walsall
0–3Swindon Town22/02/22Walsall
Swindon Town
5–0Walsall04/12/21Swindon Town
Walsall
1–2Swindon Town02/11/19Walsall
Swindon Town
2–1Walsall17/04/17Swindon Town
Walsall
1–0Swindon Town22/10/16Walsall
Swindon Town
0–2Walsall19/04/16Swindon Town
Walsall
1–1Swindon Town24/11/15Walsall
Swindon Town
2–1Walsall21/04/15Walsall
Swindon Town
3–3Walsall26/12/14Swindon Town
Walsall
1–4Swindon Town28/01/14Swindon Town
Walsall
1–1Swindon Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Swindon Town- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Swindon Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●100% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Swindon Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Swindon Town's points have been earned at home.
Walsall- ●Walsall have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Walsall have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Walsall have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Walsall have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Walsall have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Swindon TownLASalford City0–1
Salford City0–1LAYork0–4
York0–4WHColchester3–1
Colchester3–1WHPort Vale3–1
Port Vale3–1LAOldham0–3
Oldham0–3WHCheltenham2–1
Cheltenham2–1–HAccrington ST26/09
Accrington ST26/09–ARochdale03/10
Rochdale03/10–HCrewe10/10
Crewe10/10WalsallWHPort Vale2–0
Port Vale2–0DHRochdale0–0
Rochdale0–0DAExeter City0–0
Exeter City0–0DACrewe2–2
Crewe2–2WHAccrington ST3–2
Accrington ST3–2DHGrimsby0–0
Grimsby0–0–ATranmere26/09
Tranmere26/09–HCrawley Town03/10
Crawley Town03/10–AFleetwood Town10/10
Fleetwood Town10/10Top Scorers
Swindon TownA. Drinan6 ⚽
Aaron Drinan4 ⚽
P. Glatzel3 ⚽
F. Holman1 ⚽
L. Millard1 ⚽
Louis Millard1 ⚽
WalsallA. Pressley6 ⚽
Andrew Dallas1 ⚽
C. Clarke1 ⚽
C. Crew1 ⚽
H. Burke1 ⚽
I. Moore1 ⚽
Cards Given
Swindon TownJ. Debayo3 🟨
Dan Butler1 🟨
Daniel Butterworth1 🟨
I. Holloway1 🟨
C. Ripley1 🟨
Anthony Munda1 🟨
WalsallI. Moore3 🟨
T. Sodje2 🟨
E. Ahui2 🟨
Elicha Ahui2 🟨
S. Sprangler2 🟨
D. Skura1 🟨