Barnet vs Swindon Town — League Two
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The Hive Stadium·London·England·6,418
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Barnet and Swindon Town meet in the League Two 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Barnet have recorded 7 wins from 16 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 88% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Swindon Town have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for Barnet and 0.87 for Swindon Town. The models give Barnet a 65% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Swindon Town win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Barnet—
Swindon Town1º
Position
13º
2.14
PPG
1.43
57%
Win %
43%
2.43
Goals / game
1.14
1.43
Conceded / game
1.57
88%
BTTS %
56%
13%
Clean sheet %
13%
75%
Over 2.5 %
75%
6.1
Avg corners
4.2
15.8
Avg shots
9.7
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
14.4
Avg fouls
11.3
50.8%
Avg possession
45.4%
Home vs Away
Barnet
Home (4)
—
Swindon Town
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
0.25
75%
Win %
0%
2.50
Goals / game
0.00
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
90%
BTTS %
43%
10%
Clean sheet %
14%
80%
Over 2.5 %
71%
6.1
Avg corners
4.2
15.8
Avg shots
9.7
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
50.8%
Avg possession
45.4%
Goals Scored
| Barnet | Home | Away | Swindon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 90% | 100% | 63% | 78% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 70% | 50% | 44% | 56% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 30% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 10% | 0% | 38% | 22% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Barnet | Home | Away | Swindon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 90% | 83% | 88% | 89% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 40% | 33% | 44% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 17% | 31% | 11% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 10% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barnet | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 19% |
| BTTS | 88% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barnet | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 81% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Barnet (H)W
Fleetwood Town3–1
Fleetwood Town3–1W
Accrington ST2–1
Accrington ST2–1D
Cheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2W
Arsenal U215–1
Arsenal U215–1W
Salford City3–1
Salford City3–1D
Bromley1–1
Bromley1–1Swindon Town (A)LSalford City0–1
Salford City0–1L
York0–4
York0–4L
Oldham0–3
Oldham0–3D
Northampton0–0
Northampton0–0L
Cardiff2–3
Cardiff2–3W
Forest Green4–1
Forest Green4–1Number of Corners
11.5
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
10.8
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Barnet | Swindon Town | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 88% | 56% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 44% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 63% | 33% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 33% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 38% | 33% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Barnet | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 6.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 88% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
2
Barnet
25%
1
Draws
13%
5
Swindon Town
63%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
17/02/26Swindon Town
Barnet
1–2Swindon Town19/08/25Barnet
Swindon Town
0–2Barnet01/01/18Swindon Town
Barnet
1–2Swindon Town02/09/17Barnet
Swindon Town
1–4Barnet03/04/12Swindon Town
Barnet
0–2Swindon Town07/02/12Barnet
Swindon Town
1–0Barnet10/01/12Swindon Town
Barnet
1–1Swindon Town24/09/11Barnet
Swindon Town
4–0Barnet| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |  Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Barnet- ●Barnet have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Barnet failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Barnet have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Barnet have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Barnet have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Barnet have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barnet have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Swindon Town- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Swindon Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●100% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Swindon Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Swindon Town's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
BarnetWHFleetwood Town3–1
Fleetwood Town3–1WHAccrington ST2–1
Accrington ST2–1DAChesterfield3–3
Chesterfield3–3DAExeter City1–1
Exeter City1–1DHCheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2WAShrewsbury3–1
Shrewsbury3–1–HYork03/10
York03/10–ABristol Rovers10/10
Bristol Rovers10/10–ATranmere17/10
Tranmere17/10Swindon TownLASalford City0–1
Salford City0–1LAYork0–4
York0–4WHColchester3–1
Colchester3–1WHPort Vale3–1
Port Vale3–1LAOldham0–3
Oldham0–3WHCheltenham2–1
Cheltenham2–1–HAccrington ST26/09
Accrington ST26/09–ARochdale03/10
Rochdale03/10–HCrewe10/10
Crewe10/10Top Scorers
BarnetK. Tshimanga5 ⚽
C. Lakin4 ⚽
T. Knowles4 ⚽
Charlie Lakin3 ⚽
Kabongo Tshimanga2 ⚽
B. Siaw2 ⚽
Swindon TownA. Drinan6 ⚽
Aaron Drinan4 ⚽
P. Glatzel3 ⚽
F. Holman1 ⚽
L. Millard1 ⚽
Louis Millard1 ⚽
Cards Given
BarnetNnamdi Ofoborh2 🟨
T. Knowles2 🟨
B. Comley2 🟨
Idris Kanu2 🟨
Oisin Gallagher2 🟨
Z. Williams2 🟨
Swindon TownJ. Debayo3 🟨
Dan Butler2 🟨
James Debayo2 🟨
I. Holloway1 🟨
Daniel Butterworth1 🟨
C. Ripley1 🟨