Chesterfield vs Colchester — League Two
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Chesterfield and Colchester meet in the League Two 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Chesterfield have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Colchester have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Chesterfield and 1.14 for Colchester. The models give Chesterfield a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Colchester win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Chesterfield | Home | Away | Colchester | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 71% | 83% | 69% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 43% | 33% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 29% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 29% | 17% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Chesterfield | Home | Away | Colchester | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 71% | 83% | 75% | 88% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 29% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 29% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 29% | 17% | 25% | 13% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chesterfield | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 13% |
| BTTS | 62% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chesterfield | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 62% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Chesterfield | Colchester | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 44% | 50% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 44% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 38% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 38% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 13% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 13% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chesterfield | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 56% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 25% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | |
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 | |
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Chesterfield have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Colchester have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Colchester have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Colchester have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Colchester have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Colchester have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●63% of Colchester's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Colchester's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●89% of Colchester's points have been earned at home.