Exeter City vs Crewe — League Two
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Exeter City and Crewe meet in the League Two 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Exeter City have recorded 3 wins from 15 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.80 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Crewe have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Exeter City and 0.96 for Crewe. The models give Exeter City a 38% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Crewe win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Exeter City—
Crewe21º
Position
9º
0.75
PPG
1.50
13%
Win %
25%
0.50
Goals / game
1.00
0.75
Conceded / game
0.75
33%
BTTS %
69%
33%
Clean sheet %
31%
20%
Over 2.5 %
44%
4.7
Avg corners
5.0
11.6
Avg shots
12.4
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.0
13.2
Avg fouls
13.4
43.0%
Avg possession
47.4%
Home vs Away
Exeter City
Home (4)
—
Crewe
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
1.50
25%
Win %
25%
0.75
Goals / game
0.75
0.25
Conceded / game
0.50
33%
BTTS %
50%
67%
Clean sheet %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.7
Avg corners
5.0
11.6
Avg shots
12.4
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.0
43.0%
Avg possession
47.4%
Goals Scored
| Exeter City | Home | Away | Crewe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 53% | 67% | 44% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 22% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 33% | 56% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Exeter City | Home | Away | Crewe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 33% | 89% | 69% | 88% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 67% | 11% | 31% | 13% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Exeter City | Crewe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 7% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 19% |
| BTTS | 33% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Exeter City | Crewe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Exeter City (H)D
Tranmere0–0
Tranmere0–0W
Tottenham Hotspur U212–0
Tottenham Hotspur U212–0D
Walsall0–0
Walsall0–0D
Barnet1–1
Barnet1–1W
Accrington ST2–0
Accrington ST2–0D
Bristol City1–1
Bristol City1–1Crewe (A)D
Rotherham1–1
Rotherham1–1D
Colchester1–1
Colchester1–1D
Port Vale0–0
Port Vale0–0L
Barnsley2–3
Barnsley2–3W
Crawley Town1–0
Crawley Town1–0D
Chester0–0
Chester0–0Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.8
82 games
11.5
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Exeter City | Crewe | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 70% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 60% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 60% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 60% | 61% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 60% | 45% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 60% | 37% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 60% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 40% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Exeter City | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 90% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
5
Exeter City
63%
2
Draws
25%
1
Crewe
13%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
03/03/20Crewe
Exeter City
1–1Crewe05/10/19Exeter City
Crewe
1–1Exeter City23/02/19Exeter City
Crewe
1–2Exeter City15/12/18Crewe
Exeter City
1–0Crewe20/02/18Exeter City
Crewe
1–2Exeter City16/09/17Crewe
Exeter City
3–0Crewe04/02/17Crewe
Exeter City
4–0Crewe10/09/16Exeter City
Crewe
2–0Exeter City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 |  Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 |  York | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Salford City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 | Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Swindon Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 |  Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 |  Newport County | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Accrington ST | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Exeter City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Exeter City- ●Exeter City have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Exeter City have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Exeter City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Exeter City have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●100% of Exeter City's points have been earned at home.
Crewe- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Crewe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●63% of Crewe's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Exeter CityLABristol Rovers0–1
Bristol Rovers0–1DHTranmere0–0
Tranmere0–0LAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1DHWalsall0–0
Walsall0–0DHBarnet1–1
Barnet1–1LAYork1–2
York1–2–HRotherham03/10
Rotherham03/10–AShrewsbury10/10
Shrewsbury10/10–AColchester17/10
Colchester17/10CreweDARotherham1–1
Rotherham1–1DHShrewsbury1–1
Shrewsbury1–1DAColchester1–1
Colchester1–1DHYork1–1
York1–1DHWalsall2–2
Walsall2–2DAPort Vale0–0
Port Vale0–0–HBristol Rovers03/10
Bristol Rovers03/10–ASwindon Town10/10
Swindon Town10/10–HRochdale17/10
Rochdale17/10Top Scorers
Exeter CityJ. Fitzwater2 ⚽
Charlie Cummins2 ⚽
J. Gordon1 ⚽
Josh Gordon1 ⚽
K. Wilson1 ⚽
L. Woodhouse1 ⚽
CreweJ. March4 ⚽
F. Roberts2 ⚽
A. Thibaut2 ⚽
J. Gibson2 ⚽
J. Lankester2 ⚽
Jack Lankester2 ⚽
Cards Given
Exeter CityE. Sutherland3 🟨
C. Cummins2 🟨
Edward James2 🟨
G. Edwards1 🟨
Ethan Sutherland1 🟨
Danny Rose1 🟨
CreweM. Demetriou4 🟨
L. Billington2 🟨
J. Gibson1 🟨
J. March1 🟨
J. White1 🟨
Joe White1 🟨