Northampton vs Tranmere — League Two
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Northampton and Tranmere meet in the League Two 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Northampton have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Tranmere have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Northampton and 0.85 for Tranmere. The models give Northampton a 43% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Tranmere win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 38%.
Season Statistics
Northampton—
Tranmere22º
Position
10º
0.86
PPG
1.43
14%
Win %
29%
0.43
Goals / game
1.29
0.86
Conceded / game
1.00
29%
BTTS %
40%
29%
Clean sheet %
50%
29%
Over 2.5 %
30%
4.8
Avg corners
3.3
9.9
Avg shots
10.8
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.5
11.6
Avg fouls
12.4
43.8%
Avg possession
48.0%
Home vs Away
Northampton
Home (4)
—
Tranmere
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
0.75
25%
Win %
0%
0.50
Goals / game
0.75
0.50
Conceded / game
1.25
17%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
17%
Over 2.5 %
25%
4.8
Avg corners
3.3
9.9
Avg shots
10.8
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.5
43.8%
Avg possession
48.0%
Goals Scored
| Northampton | Home | Away | Tranmere | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 36% | 33% | 38% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 64% | 67% | 63% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Northampton | Home | Away | Tranmere | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 88% | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 17% | 38% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 17% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 50% | 13% | 50% | 67% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Northampton | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 79% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 0% |
| BTTS | 29% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 14% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Northampton | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 21% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
Northampton (H)L
Rotherham0–1
Rotherham0–1W
Newport County1–0
Newport County1–0D
Crawley Town1–1
Crawley Town1–1L
Brighton U210–3
Brighton U210–3D
Swindon Town0–0
Swindon Town0–0D
Coventry0–0
Coventry0–0Tranmere (A)D
Exeter City0–0
Exeter City0–0L
Gillingham0–2
Gillingham0–2DNewport County2–2
Newport County2–2D
Port Vale1–1
Port Vale1–1L
Milton Keynes Dons0–3
Milton Keynes Dons0–3W
Cheltenham3–1
Cheltenham3–1Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.8
72 games
8.1
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Northampton | Tranmere | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 75% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 38% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 38% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 13% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 13% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Northampton | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 38% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
5
Northampton
63%
2
Draws
25%
1
Tranmere
13%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
08/05/23Northampton
Tranmere
0–1Northampton03/12/22Tranmere
Northampton
0–0Tranmere05/03/22Tranmere
Northampton
3–2Tranmere23/10/21Northampton
Tranmere
0–2Northampton05/02/19Northampton
Tranmere
1–2Northampton01/09/18Tranmere
Northampton
1–1Tranmere14/03/15Tranmere
Northampton
1–0Tranmere28/12/14Northampton
Tranmere
2–1Northampton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |  Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Northampton- ●83% of Northampton's points have been earned at home.
Tranmere- ●Tranmere have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of Tranmere's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
NorthamptonLHRotherham0–1
Rotherham0–1LAShrewsbury0–2
Shrewsbury0–2WHNewport County1–0
Newport County1–0DHCrawley Town1–1
Crawley Town1–1DAGillingham1–1
Gillingham1–1LACrewe0–1
Crewe0–1–HOldham03/10
Oldham03/10–AYork10/10
York10/10–AGrimsby17/10
Grimsby17/10TranmereDAExeter City0–0
Exeter City0–0LAGillingham0–2
Gillingham0–2WHOldham2–0
Oldham2–0DHRotherham2–2
Rotherham2–2DANewport County2–2
Newport County2–2DAPort Vale1–1
Port Vale1–1–HWalsall26/09
Walsall26/09–AChesterfield03/10
Chesterfield03/10–HRochdale10/10
Rochdale10/10Top Scorers
NorthamptonM. Warhurst2 ⚽
E. List1 ⚽
H. Saunders1 ⚽
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh1 ⚽
L. Briggs1 ⚽
M. Dyche1 ⚽
TranmereJ. Davies4 ⚽
C. Whitaker3 ⚽
Dylan Jones2 ⚽
T. Ince2 ⚽
Z. Okoro2 ⚽
D. Jones1 ⚽
Cards Given
NorthamptonL. Evans2 🟨
J. Wormleighton1 🟨
Joe Wormleighton1 🟨
L. Briggs1 🟨
J. Maxwell1 🟨
H. Saunders1 🟨
TranmereJ. Senior2 🟨
Jacob Slater2 🟨
C. Whitaker2 🟨
J. Davies2 🟨
B. Faulkner2 🟨
Nathan Smith2 🟨