England · League Two · Regular Season - 12

Rochdale

16º · 1.25 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 24d 4h

–

Grimsby

6º · 1.63 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 24d 4h

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Rochdale and Grimsby meet in the League Two 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Rochdale have recorded 3 wins from 15 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Grimsby have won 41% of their 17 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 47%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Rochdale and 1.36 for Grimsby. The models give Rochdale a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Grimsby win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

Rochdale

—

Grimsby

16º

Position

6º

1.25

PPG

1.63

38%

Win %

38%

1.13

Goals / game

1.50

1.38

Conceded / game

1.00

53%

BTTS %

53%

20%

Clean sheet %

47%

67%

Over 2.5 %

53%

3.4

Avg corners

7.2

9.7

Avg shots

13.4

3.4

Avg shots on target

5.1

1.4

Avg yellow cards

1.3

10.8

Avg fouls

12.0

53.5%

Avg possession

53.1%

Home vs Away

Rochdale

Home (4)

—

Grimsby

Away (4)

1.50

PPG

0.75

50%

Win %

1.75

Goals / game

1.25

1.50

Conceded / game

1.50

75%

BTTS %

56%

25%

Clean sheet %

44%

88%

Over 2.5 %

56%

3.4

Avg corners

7.2

9.7

Avg shots

13.4

3.4

Avg shots on target

5.1

1.4

Avg yellow cards

1.3

53.5%

Avg possession

53.1%

Goals Scored

	Rochdale	Home	Away	Grimsby	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	67%	100%	29%	82%	100%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	53%	75%	29%	53%	75%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	20%	38%	0%	18%	25%	11%
Failed To Score	33%	0%	71%	18%	0%	33%

Goals Conceded

	Rochdale	Home	Away	Grimsby	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	80%	75%	86%	53%	50%	56%
Over 1.5 Conceded	67%	75%	57%	41%	38%	44%
Over 2.5 Conceded	33%	50%	14%	6%	13%	0%
Clean Sheets	20%	25%	14%	47%	50%	44%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Rochdale	Grimsby
Over 0.5	93%	82%
Over 1.5	87%	76%
Over 2.5	67%	53%
Over 3.5	40%	35%
Over 4.5	27%	12%
BTTS	53%	53%
BTTS & Win	7%	12%
BTTS & Draw	27%	24%
BTTS & Over 2.5	53%	47%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	13%	6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Rochdale	Grimsby
Win 1st Half	20%	47%
Draw 1st Half	40%	35%
Loss 1st Half	40%	18%
Scored 1st Half	47%	59%
Conceded 1st Half	73%	41%
Win 2nd Half	20%	24%
Draw 2nd Half	40%	59%
Loss 2nd Half	40%	18%
Scored 2nd Half	53%	53%
Conceded 2nd Half	73%	41%
Over 0.5 HT	87%	76%
Over 1.5 HT	47%	47%

Recent Venue Form

Rochdale (H)

Liverpool U213–3

Oldham2–0

Gillingham1–4

Shrewsbury3–0

Crawley Town1–2

FC Halifax Town2–3

Grimsby (A)

Newport County1–2

Notts County1–2

Cheltenham2–2

Accrington ST2–2

Walsall0–0

Boston United0–0

Number of Corners

8.9

Corners / Match

10 games

League Avg

9.8

82 games

12.0

Corners / Match

9 games

Match Corners	Rochdale	Grimsby	League Avg
Over 6	80%	89%	79%
Over 7	70%	89%	72%
Over 8	50%	89%	63%
Over 9	50%	89%	61%
Over 10	40%	56%	45%
Over 11	20%	56%	37%
Over 12	0%	44%	21%
Over 13	0%	44%	16%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Rochdale	Grimsby
Corners Earned / Match	3.4	7.2
Corners Against / Match	5.5	4.8
Over 2.5 Corners For	70%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	50%	78%
Over 4.5 Corners For	40%	78%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	100%	78%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	80%	67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	70%	56%

Head to Head · 4 matches

Rochdale

50%

Draws

Grimsby

50%

Over 1.5

2/4

Over 2.5

0/4

Over 3.5

0/4

BTTS

0/4

19/07/25

Rochdale

2–0

Grimsby

11/03/23

Grimsby

1–0

Rochdale

13/08/22

Rochdale

0–1

Grimsby

14/08/18

Grimsby

0–2

Rochdale

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	+7	15
2	Cheltenham	8	4	3	1	+4	15
3	Bristol Rovers	8	5	0	3	+2	15
4	York	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Walsall	8	3	5	0	+6	14
6	Grimsby	8	3	4	1	+4	13
7	Salford City	8	4	1	3	+2	13
8	Gillingham	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	Crewe	8	2	6	0	+2	12
10	Tranmere	8	2	5	1	+2	11
11	Chesterfield	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Swindon Town	8	3	2	3	-3	11
13	Rotherham	8	2	4	2	0	10
14	Fleetwood Town	8	2	4	2	0	10
15	Colchester	8	2	4	2	-2	10
16	Rochdale	8	3	1	4	-2	10
17	Newport County	8	2	3	3	0	9
18	Shrewsbury	8	2	2	4	-6	8
19	Accrington ST	8	1	4	3	-3	7
20	Oldham	8	2	1	5	-4	7
21	Exeter City	8	1	3	4	-2	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	-7	4

Team Insights

Rochdale

●Rochdale have won their last 2 matches.
●Rochdale have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●78% of Rochdale's goals have been scored at home.
●Rochdale have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.

Grimsby

●Grimsby have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
●Grimsby have won their last 2 home matches.
●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●Grimsby have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Grimsby have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●75% of Grimsby's goals conceded were conceded away.
●77% of Grimsby's points have been earned at home.
●Grimsby have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.