Rotherham vs Newport County — League Two
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Rotherham and Newport County meet in the League Two 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Rotherham have recorded 5 wins from 20 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Newport County have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Rotherham and 1.41 for Newport County. The models give Rotherham a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Newport County win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Rotherham—
Newport County20º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
1.30
20%
Win %
30%
1.20
Goals / game
1.30
1.60
Conceded / game
1.20
60%
BTTS %
52%
20%
Clean sheet %
38%
35%
Over 2.5 %
62%
3.4
Avg corners
3.3
11.1
Avg shots
10.8
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
12.6
Avg fouls
12.5
49.2%
Avg possession
37.9%
Home vs Away
Rotherham
Home (5)
—
Newport County
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
0.40
20%
Win %
0%
1.60
Goals / game
0.80
2.00
Conceded / game
1.60
78%
BTTS %
46%
0%
Clean sheet %
46%
56%
Over 2.5 %
54%
3.4
Avg corners
3.3
11.1
Avg shots
10.8
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
49.2%
Avg possession
37.9%
Goals Scored
| Rotherham | Home | Away | Newport County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 78% | 82% | 76% | 88% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 22% | 18% | 48% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 11% | 0% | 19% | 13% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 22% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Rotherham | Home | Away | Newport County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 64% | 62% | 75% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 56% | 18% | 38% | 50% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 44% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 46% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rotherham | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS | 60% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rotherham | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 19% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Rotherham (H)L
Gillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4L
Bradford0–4
Bradford0–4D
Crewe1–1
Crewe1–1D
Salford City3–3
Salford City3–3W
Chesterfield2–1
Chesterfield2–1D
York1–1
York1–1Newport County (A)DGillingham0–0
Gillingham0–0W
Swindon Town2–0
Swindon Town2–0D
Accrington ST0–0
Accrington ST0–0L
Northampton0–1
Northampton0–1LSalford City1–2
Salford City1–2L
Bristol Rovers3–5
Bristol Rovers3–5Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.9
102 games
8.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Rotherham | Newport County | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 58% | 75% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 25% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 0% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rotherham | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 58% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 58% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 42% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Team Insights
Rotherham- ●Rotherham have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Rotherham's goals have been scored at home.
Newport County- ●Newport County have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Newport County have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Newport County have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newport County have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Newport County's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Newport County's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●85% of Newport County's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
RotherhamLHGillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4LAExeter City0–1
Exeter City0–1DHCrewe1–1
Crewe1–1WANorthampton1–0
Northampton1–0DHSalford City3–3
Salford City3–3LABristol Rovers0–1
Bristol Rovers0–1–AFleetwood Town17/10
Fleetwood Town17/10–HNewport County20/10
Newport County20/10–HShrewsbury24/10
Shrewsbury24/10Newport CountyWHColchester1–0
Colchester1–0DAGillingham0–0
Gillingham0–0WHGrimsby2–1
Grimsby2–1DAAccrington ST0–0
Accrington ST0–0DHFleetwood Town1–1
Fleetwood Town1–1LANorthampton0–1
Northampton0–1–HYork17/10
York17/10–ARotherham20/10
Rotherham20/10–ACheltenham24/10
Cheltenham24/10Top Scorers
RotherhamPaul Mullin5 ⚽
F. Tavares3 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
Jili Buyabu2 ⚽
J. Buyabu1 ⚽
Denzel Hall1 ⚽
Newport CountyS. Gwengwe7 ⚽
Y. Bamba3 ⚽
H. Biggins3 ⚽
Christian Doidge3 ⚽
C. Jarvis2 ⚽
K. Cameron2 ⚽
Cards Given
RotherhamJosh Austerfield4 🟨
B. Cover3 🟨
Jili Buyabu2 🟨
Dominic Iorfa2 🟨
Jayce Fitzgerald2 🟨
J. Buyabu2 🟨
Newport CountyM. Dibley-Dias3 🟨
L. Jenkins2 🟨
A. Merritt2 🟨
Cameron Norman2 🟨
Harrison Biggins2 🟨
Cameron Evans1 🟨