York vs Accrington ST — League Two
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York and Accrington ST meet in the League Two 2026 season on 20 October 2026. York have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Accrington ST have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for York and 1.15 for Accrington ST. The models give York a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Accrington ST win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| York | Home | Away | Accrington ST | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 90% | 80% | 71% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 50% | 40% | 43% | 44% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 20% | 0% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 10% | 20% | 29% | 33% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| York | Home | Away | Accrington ST | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 90% | 100% | 57% | 44% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 57% | 44% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 20% | 40% | 14% | 11% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 10% | 0% | 43% | 56% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| York | Accrington ST | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 21% |
| BTTS | 80% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| York | Accrington ST | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | York | Accrington ST | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 88% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 63% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 13% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 13% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 13% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | York | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.7 | 3.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 78% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 63% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | |
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 | |
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●York have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●69% of York's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of York's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●82% of York's points have been earned at home.
- ●Accrington ST have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Accrington ST have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Accrington ST have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Accrington ST's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Accrington ST's points have been earned at home.
- ●Accrington ST have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Accrington ST have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.