MatchPulse

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town — League Two

← Back
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
9º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 13d 21h
vs
–
–
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
17º · 1.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town meet in the League Two 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Bristol Rovers have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Swindon Town have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 1.26 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Bristol Rovers and 0.86 for Swindon Town. The models give Bristol Rovers a 58% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Swindon Town win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Bristol Rovers
—
Swindon Town
9º
Position
17º
1.50
PPG
1.10
50%
Win %
30%
1.50
Goals / game
0.90
1.70
Conceded / game
1.40
56%
BTTS %
53%
28%
Clean sheet %
11%
61%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.8
Avg corners
4.6
16.6
Avg shots
10.2
4.7
Avg shots on target
2.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.8
Avg fouls
11.3
46.4%
Avg possession
47.0%

Home vs Away

Bristol Rovers
Home (5)
—
Swindon Town
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
0.20
80%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.00
1.20
Conceded / game
1.80
56%
BTTS %
38%
33%
Clean sheet %
13%
44%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.8
Avg corners
4.6
16.6
Avg shots
10.2
4.7
Avg shots on target
2.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.6
46.4%
Avg possession
47.0%

Goals Scored

Bristol RoversHomeAwaySwindon TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored83%89%78%58%73%38%
Over 1.5 Scored44%33%56%37%45%25%
Over 2.5 Scored17%11%22%21%27%13%
Failed To Score17%11%22%42%27%63%

Goals Conceded

Bristol RoversHomeAwaySwindon TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded72%67%78%89%91%88%
Over 1.5 Conceded61%44%78%37%27%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded33%22%44%26%9%50%
Clean Sheets28%33%22%11%9%13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Bristol RoversSwindon Town
Over 0.5100%95%
Over 1.583%74%
Over 2.561%63%
Over 3.544%42%
Over 4.522%16%
BTTS56%53%
BTTS & Win11%26%
BTTS & Draw17%5%
BTTS & Over 2.550%47%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%16%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Bristol RoversSwindon Town
Win 1st Half39%26%
Draw 1st Half33%37%
Loss 1st Half28%37%
Scored 1st Half56%53%
Conceded 1st Half44%53%
Win 2nd Half33%21%
Draw 2nd Half39%26%
Loss 2nd Half28%53%
Scored 2nd Half61%32%
Conceded 2nd Half50%68%
Over 0.5 HT83%79%
Over 1.5 HT50%47%

Recent Venue Form

Bristol Rovers (H)
LBarnet1–3
WExeter City1–0
WRotherham1–0
WColchester2–0
DChelsea U212–2
WNewport County5–3
Swindon Town (A)
LRochdale0–1
LSalford City0–1
LYork0–4
LOldham0–3
DNorthampton0–0
LCardiff2–3

Number of Corners

9.2
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.9
102 games
11.2
Corners / Match
12 games
Match CornersBristol RoversSwindon TownLeague Avg
Over 673%100%81%
Over 764%75%75%
Over 855%58%63%
Over 945%50%60%
Over 1036%42%43%
Over 1127%42%35%
Over 1218%42%21%
Over 1318%33%16%

Team Corners

Team CornersBristol RoversSwindon Town
Corners Earned / Match5.84.6
Corners Against / Match3.46.6
Over 2.5 Corners For82%83%
Over 3.5 Corners For73%67%
Over 4.5 Corners For64%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against55%83%
Over 3.5 Corners Against36%83%
Over 4.5 Corners Against27%67%

Head to Head · 14 matches

4
Bristol Rovers
29%
4
Draws
29%
6
Swindon Town
43%
64%
Over 1.5
9/14
43%
Over 2.5
6/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
43%
BTTS
6/14
28/02/26
Swindon Town
1–1
Bristol Rovers
13/12/25
Bristol Rovers
0–3
Swindon Town
08/10/24
Swindon Town
4–0
Bristol Rovers
18/10/22
Bristol Rovers
3–0
Swindon Town
22/01/22
Swindon Town
1–1
Bristol Rovers
02/10/21
Bristol Rovers
1–3
Swindon Town
23/03/21
Bristol Rovers
0–1
Swindon Town
21/11/20
Swindon Town
1–0
Bristol Rovers
13/11/19
Bristol Rovers
1–0
Swindon Town
08/11/17
Bristol Rovers
2–4
Swindon Town
28/01/17
Bristol Rovers
1–0
Swindon Town
20/09/16
Swindon Town
1–2
Bristol Rovers
31/03/12
Swindon Town
0–0
Bristol Rovers
10/12/11
Bristol Rovers
1–1
Swindon Town
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Salford City10613+519
2Barnet8530+918
3Crewe10460+518
4Gillingham10442+516
5York9432+615
6Walsall9360+615
7Chesterfield10433+315
8Cheltenham10433015
9Bristol Rovers10505-215
10Rochdale10424-114
11Grimsby10343+213
12Newport County10343+113
13Tranmere10262012
14Exeter City10334012
15Accrington ST10253-111
16Fleetwood Town10253-111
17Swindon Town10325-511
18Shrewsbury10325-611
19Colchester9243-310
20Rotherham10244-410
21Oldham9225-48
22Port Vale8224-58
23Northampton8143-37
24Crawley Town8125-75

Team Insights

Bristol Rovers
  • ●Bristol Rovers have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Bristol Rovers have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Bristol Rovers have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Bristol Rovers have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Bristol Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Bristol Rovers have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●67% of Bristol Rovers's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●65% of Bristol Rovers's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●80% of Bristol Rovers's points have been earned at home.
Swindon Town
  • ●Swindon Town have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Swindon Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Swindon Town have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●100% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●91% of Swindon Town's points have been earned at home.
LHBarnet2º1–3
LAWycombe1–4
LACrewe3º1–3
WHExeter City14º1–0
LAGillingham4º0–3
LAGrimsby11º0–2
WHRotherham20º1–0
WHColchester19º2–0
WACrawley Town24º2–0
LHCrewe3º0–1
LARochdale10º0–1
DHAccrington ST15º1–1
LASalford City1º0–1
LAYork5º0–4
WHColchester19º3–1
WHPort Vale22º3–1
LAOldham21º0–3

Season Schedule

Bristol Rovers
LHBarnet1–3
LACrewe1–3
WHExeter City1–0
LAGillingham0–3
LAGrimsby0–2
WHRotherham1–0
–AShrewsbury17/10
–HSalford City20/10
–HSwindon Town24/10
Swindon Town
LHCrewe0–1
LARochdale0–1
DHAccrington ST1–1
LASalford City0–1
LAYork0–4
WHColchester3–1
–HWalsall17/10
–ABarnet20/10
–ABristol Rovers24/10

Top Scorers

Bristol Rovers
T. Leigh3 ⚽
Ellis Harrison3 ⚽
B. Kamwa3 ⚽
F. Cavegn3 ⚽
M. Rijks2 ⚽
E. Harrison2 ⚽
Swindon Town
A. Drinan6 ⚽
Aaron Drinan4 ⚽
P. Glatzel3 ⚽
Joseph Hungbo1 ⚽
F. Holman1 ⚽
Ben Middlemas1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bristol Rovers
Tommy Leigh3 🟨
Steve Evans3 🟨
Shaqai Forde2 🟨
Clinton Mola2 🟨
Ellis Harrison2 🟨
Ben Purrington2 🟨
Swindon Town
J. Debayo3 🟨
Kaelan Majekodunmi3 🟨
Ollie Clarke2 🟨
Dan Butler2 🟨
James Debayo2 🟨
I. Holloway1 🟨