Cheltenham vs Newport County — League Two
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Cheltenham and Newport County meet in the League Two 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Cheltenham have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Newport County have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Cheltenham and 1.32 for Newport County. The models give Cheltenham a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Newport County win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cheltenham | Home | Away | Newport County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 78% | 83% | 76% | 88% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 48% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 11% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 22% | 17% | 24% | 13% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Cheltenham | Home | Away | Newport County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 100% | 83% | 62% | 75% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 78% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 11% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 0% | 17% | 38% | 25% | 46% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cheltenham | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 14% |
| BTTS | 73% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cheltenham | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 19% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Cheltenham | Newport County | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 75% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 25% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cheltenham | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 42% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 | |
| 18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 | |
| 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 | |
| 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Newport County have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Newport County have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Newport County have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newport County have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Newport County's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Newport County's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●85% of Newport County's points have been earned at home.