Gillingham vs Grimsby — League Two
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Gillingham and Grimsby meet in the League Two 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Gillingham have recorded 7 wins from 16 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Grimsby have won 35% of their 20 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Gillingham and 1.13 for Grimsby. The models give Gillingham a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Grimsby win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Gillingham—
Grimsby4º
Position
11º
1.60
PPG
1.30
40%
Win %
30%
1.50
Goals / game
1.30
1.00
Conceded / game
1.10
38%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
45%
56%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.0
Avg corners
7.3
8.5
Avg shots
14.1
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
12.9
Avg fouls
12.0
46.3%
Avg possession
53.3%
Home vs Away
Gillingham
Home (5)
—
Grimsby
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
0.60
40%
Win %
0%
1.20
Goals / game
1.00
0.80
Conceded / game
1.40
22%
BTTS %
50%
44%
Clean sheet %
40%
44%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.0
Avg corners
7.3
8.5
Avg shots
14.1
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
46.3%
Avg possession
53.3%
Goals Scored
| Gillingham | Home | Away | Grimsby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 56% | 71% | 75% | 90% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 22% | 57% | 45% | 60% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 11% | 43% | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 44% | 29% | 25% | 10% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Gillingham | Home | Away | Grimsby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 56% | 71% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 14% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 44% | 29% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gillingham | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 10% |
| BTTS | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 31% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gillingham | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 65% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Gillingham (H)D
Newport County0–0
Newport County0–0L
Cambridge United1–4
Cambridge United1–4W
Bristol Rovers3–0
Bristol Rovers3–0W
Tranmere2–0
Tranmere2–0D
Northampton1–1
Northampton1–1L
Walsall0–3
Walsall0–3Grimsby (A)L
Port Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1LNewport County1–2
Newport County1–2L
Notts County1–2
Notts County1–2D
Cheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2D
Accrington ST2–2
Accrington ST2–2DWalsall0–0
Walsall0–0Number of Corners
8.2
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.9
102 games
12.2
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Gillingham | Grimsby | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 64% | 92% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 55% | 92% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 92% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 92% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 67% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 42% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 42% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gillingham | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 7.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 45% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 27% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 18% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 58% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Gillingham
13%
3
Draws
38%
4
Grimsby
50%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
25%
Over 2.5
2/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
18/04/26Grimsby
Gillingham
1–4Grimsby18/10/25Gillingham
Grimsby
1–0Gillingham28/01/25Gillingham
Grimsby
1–1Gillingham01/10/24Grimsby
Gillingham
0–1Grimsby16/03/24Grimsby
Gillingham
1–1Grimsby02/09/23Gillingham
Grimsby
2–0Gillingham14/02/23Grimsby
Gillingham
2–1Grimsby13/09/22Gillingham
Grimsby
1–1Gillingham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 |  Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Team Insights
Gillingham- ●Gillingham have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gillingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gillingham have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gillingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Grimsby- ●Grimsby have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Grimsby have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Grimsby have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Grimsby's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Grimsby's points have been earned at home.
- ●Grimsby have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Grimsby have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GillinghamWARotherham4–1
Rotherham4–1DHNewport County0–0
Newport County0–0LAYork0–3
York0–3WHBristol Rovers3–0
Bristol Rovers3–0WHTranmere2–0
Tranmere2–0WARochdale4–1
Rochdale4–1–AAccrington ST17/10
Accrington ST17/10–HPort Vale20/10
Port Vale20/10–HGrimsby24/10
Grimsby24/10GrimsbyLAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1LHShrewsbury1–2
Shrewsbury1–2LANewport County1–2
Newport County1–2WHCrawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0WHBristol Rovers2–0
Bristol Rovers2–0DACheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2–HNorthampton17/10
Northampton17/10–ARochdale20/10
Rochdale20/10–AGillingham24/10
Gillingham24/10Top Scorers
GillinghamJames Brophy3 ⚽
Ronan Chapman Hale3 ⚽
Lamin Sillah2 ⚽
L. Dayal2 ⚽
S. Kendall2 ⚽
K. Harris1 ⚽
GrimsbyA. Cook6 ⚽
J. Amaluzor3 ⚽
Kieran Green3 ⚽
C. Vernam2 ⚽
H. Rodgers2 ⚽
Géza Dávid Turi1 ⚽
Cards Given
GillinghamK. Harris2 🟨
Logan Dobbs2 🟨
Garath McCleary2 🟨
Conor McManus2 🟨
Jack Daley2 🟨
R. McKenzie2 🟨
GrimsbyKieran Green3 🟨
Maldini Kacurri2 🟨
C. McJannet2 🟨
Finn Cartwright2 🟨
Géza Dávid Turi1 🟨
Charles Vernam1 🟨